The Triple Captains Podcast
Triple Captains is a strategy-first Fantasy Premier League (FPL) podcast built for managers who want more than noise, hype or hindsight analysis.
Hosted by Arc, Hots and Guffs, the show breaks down decision-making, sequencing and risk through a lens of data, context and lived experience — blending analytics with honest conversation about the emotional side of the game… meaning slander is never too far away.
Rather than chasing trends, Triple Captains focuses on the thinking behind the moves: chip strategy, fixture swings, squad structure, ownership dynamics and the realities that shape outcomes across a season.
This isn’t about perfect picks. It’s about understanding the game well enough to make better decisions over time.
The Triple Captains Podcast
FPL Value Explained: Who’s Overpriced, Underpriced & Worth It?
Use Left/Right to seek, Home/End to jump to start or end. Hold shift to jump forward or backward.
Price tags matter in Fantasy Premier League — but not in the way most managers think.
In this episode of the Triple Captains Podcast, we introduce a simple FPL value model and run a “value draft” to classify players into three buckets: overpriced, underpriced, and exactly right.
The goal isn’t just identifying bargains — it’s understanding how role, minutes and routes to points create real value in FPL.
We also review Gameweek 29 performances from the hosts, analyse key fixtures ahead of GW30, and debate the leading captaincy candidates including Bruno Fernandes, Mohamed Salah, Erling Haaland, João Pedro, Thiago and Bukayo Saka.
If you’ve ever wondered whether price actually reflects value in Fantasy Premier League — this episode breaks it down.
🎯 In this episode
– Why cheap players aren’t always good value
– How role changes create hidden FPL value
– The minutes + position + routes-to-points model
– When paying more is actually the smarter play
Plus:
– GW29 team reviews
– Games to target in GW30
– Captaincy decisions for the upcoming gameweek
⏱ CHAPTERS
00:00:00 Intro & Podcast Overview
00:00:50 Tale of Tape – Weekly Standings
00:03:30 Hots GW29 Team Review
00:05:34 Arc GW29 Team Review
00:08:09 Guffs GW29 Team Review
00:10:14 The FPL Value Model Explained
00:11:12 Cheap vs Real FPL Value
00:21:17 Hidden Value From Role Changes
00:28:13 Overpriced vs Underpriced Players
00:35:01 GW30 Fixtures to Target
00:35:20 Arsenal vs Everton Analysis
00:39:15 Liverpool vs Spurs Analysis
00:43:02 Manchester United vs Aston Villa
00:46:40 West Ham vs Manchester City
00:50:26 Captaincy Picks for GW30
Welcome, welcome, welcome. Um and we're here, and I'm in the middle. I'm in the middle. People, yes, it's me. After all the talk last week from someone, I'm back. I'm back. Well done. That's that's that's for later on. But welcome guys. Before we start by now, yeah well, you know, just chill. You're all still. Yeah, yeah. Chill, chill, Winston. But anyway, before we get into it, like always, please like, subscribe, share. We appreciate it. But listen, fellas, Hots, Mr. Big Mouth, talk to me. What's going on?
SPEAKER_02Um regards to FPL, it was a very, very bad week. Hence me not being in the greatest removes when it comes to FPL. Um, probably below the average score, I think, of the game week. It's hard to explain on what single thing went wrong because my whole team really didn't perform. It was literally just Arsenal. It's just one of those weeks. I am where I am in the league. I was on I was out of the millions into the thousands, so I've dropped back into the one mils. So yeah, hoping for a better week next week. That's that's about it. An arc.
SPEAKER_03It's good. How's your week?
SPEAKER_01Yeah, it was an okay week. Um realistically, um, when looking at it, and now that the dust has settled, it just um is one of those ones where there's a couple of decisions made incorrect um and you pay for it kind of thing. Really, it's just a variance of the week. Um as w we all took the impact of Pedro Square Hat trick, whether he had him, um then clearly your rank jumped, and if he didn't, it had an effect. Um it had one of those effects where even if he had even if your captain wasn't the right choice, if you had Pedro, you would have done okay. But it's uh kick in the teeth for me more from a point of view of the strategy that I'm on at the moment. Um so it makes an already impossible target quite impossible. Um so we'll see how we get on.
SPEAKER_03Yeah, I mean, um I had Joe Pedro, I mean I'll come to that later on. Um, but obviously as we gear up to game week 30 and we sort of closing to the end, the blank game week and also the doubles are coming into sharp focus, so most of the sort of shows will kind of be focused around those sort of chips going forward. Um but before we get into that, let's have a look at our teams and back to you, Mr. Hotz. You're bottom. So yeah, let's go for your team chip.
SPEAKER_02Let's do this. What are you smiling at? But just the happiness. Yeah, um, all jokes aside, yeah. As I said, it was a poor week. I think Ark touched on it when the sense of Pedro was sort of like the star of the week, he got that hat trick. He's been a bit of a fawn in my side, if I'm honest. Um literally Rayo and Gabriel done their thing for me, but apart from that, everyone else flopped. And when you only got two players performing for you, you're gonna get a lot of ranking that week. You know, it's just after a decent week where you know I gained some gained some points, but um, yeah, it's one of those weeks where no one's captain really did anything, but my team as a whole just didn't perform. And if it wasn't for Gabrielle, it would have been a lot worse. Not much really to say. I'm content. I got over it. It's you know, it was a long game week with FA Cups, etc. So it's not like it's hurting still now. Yeah, but obviously it's given Gus the opportunity having um Pedro to get into the middle and then talk his game. So, you know, salute to you, you're in the middle this game week. Um just getting closer, I guess. Don't know how close that close really is, but yeah, you you're in the middle because you got the most points this week.
SPEAKER_01So that that was a counter, yeah? A little overhand.
SPEAKER_03You see that, yeah. You hear that, yeah? Has to be overhand. Not that close, you know. He really is.
SPEAKER_02Yeah, well, I can only speak facts, right? You did you got your you done your thing this week, so man?
SPEAKER_01The black raffer fair Yeah, uh as your team.
SPEAKER_03I mean, you you didn't do too bad this week. Um I think you actually did get a decent captain this week, didn't you, from what I saw about it?
SPEAKER_01Yeah, my captain was alright, um, was familiar. Um the the real issues that I had were hesitation on my part, really. Um so when we had the double, um obviously we talked through the reason why I made certain moves. Um so I had Johrez in. Um I always had a plan for what I was gonna do with Madawiki, what I was gonna do with Jochres and some. Jocherez I held on for a week longer, and that's more because of the variance of him scoring too, as well as the fact that um Palace had an issue in their game, which meant that their defender wasn't gonna play, so I thought, nah, let's get rid of Munoz, and because he's not gonna be available in um 31 anyway. Um so I'll bring in Van Dyke. Um the issue for me was that Jocharez then provided me with nothing. My whole front line provided nothing, Haaland included, um, which is another pain point in itself. But I guess that's more a city change in the way they play type scenario. Um as we've seen that with Haaland over the past six to eight game weeks has not been himself. Um, but like I say, that's more because they've started playing in a more vertical way. At the back, I didn't do as well as I needed to, so Cennesby got me um a lot. He he was probably my star of the week um per se. Semeno, yeah, he got me um decent points from a captaincy point of view. Um if I didn't have a pedro, that kind of thing. And Bruno did what Bruno does, right? Especially when there's variants in his game. But outside of that, quite disappointing with a number of the players um within the squad. And I suppose what really happened was um I got hit for not having too much of a template team. So my team is quite differential if you look at the template of say the top 10,000 or whatever not. So you can always have this kind of week. The issue for me is that I have a target in terms of what I was going for. And now instead of me being able to target, say, five to seven points on a weekly basis, that's now jumped up to I'd need to target 22 points a week in order for me to get to where I would ideally want to be um at the end of all of this. So we'll have to see what happens if I miss the moon, hopefully land on some stars. I'm driven bars now, yeah. Always.
SPEAKER_03Forever. Amen. Look, I am happy about the game week, obviously, but I'm a little bit concerned at the same time. And I say that because if it wasn't for Petro, I would have had an absolutely awful week. And looking at the sort of the spread of points across my actual team is not great. And it hasn't been for the last few game weeks. I've been saved by having the right captain choices in previous weeks. And this week, obviously, Pedro pulled me through and got me good total total points. But Menio's the one that's been hurting me for the last few weeks. And obviously, now they've got a blank game coming up, it's uh it's pointless putting my team now, but that gamble didn't work out for me. Albeit this is a good game for me this week this this week. Um, I too had uh Gabrielle which done well for me. I went with uh Rogers as captain out of the woods. Cot scared me. And I went and I stopped with um Rogers and it didn't pay off. And that actually ended up hurting me because obviously Bruno, who was my captain twice at last on the show, got the eight points. So you know, that's how it goes sometimes, but you know, you win some loss and but overall I can't complain. I go above the above the average, I make some gains. But like you, it's probably more severe for me, really. I need to make you know huge leaps to kind of even get anywhere near to the million and above you know, my target. Listen, I'm I'm I'm uh listen. You you're quiet, I'm talking, yeah. Remember this part up last week? All right, no problem. Let's throw that roll right around there for you. Our team we can speak, yeah? Yeah, so anyway, cool, but I just did anyway, but uh but like um yeah, jokes aside, I mean I think my target right now is to try to get below a million. That's really you know my my sort of like the target ahead of me right now. I've been floating around this sort of three million for a long, long time now. If I can kind of get below a million, then it's probably the best I can really ask for at this point. But I need some real swings to go my way in the next few weeks. Um yeah, it is what it is, good game week, we'll move on. So, yeah, like I said at the beginning of the show, um we are now in a home run for the FPL League, and uh as we sort of uh on so long to the finishing line, I guess people are now getting their teams in shape, trying to think about wildcards. I haven't got mine, you got yours, obviously guys. Thinking about how we can sort of negotiate uh blank game weeks, thinking about uh who's in the FA Cup, who's not, what sort of doubles are gonna be kind of coming ahead. So with that in mind, I thought that it'd be good to sort of uh talk about uh the team and sort of how we put our team together and how we sort of value value. And I guess a starting point I want to sort of speak to you guys about is when is sort of uh pain extra sort of the value play. So you know what? We look at OSC players. Well we look at we look at I think we look at players in tiers, right? We look at players in terms of cheap players, mid-range, uh expensive. I've been playing the game mainly uh trying to find a value in the sort of middle range players, the 7.5 to 8 but uh when is sort of uh going big and maybe structuring your team in a way which you're going for the the high value players, when is that the value play? Is there a time to sort of go that route? Is it uh sort of the right time to sort of bring in the likes of Salas and the and the Cole Palmers? I mean how do you sort of approach this period of thinking about value and in a particular sort of those high sort of ticket players that are in the game? And I think I'll start with you, Ark. I mean, because uh I know you're someone that kind of looks at stats and obviously thinks about these things. So what's your thoughts?
SPEAKER_01To be honest, usually I would be thinking about well, how do you pivot to some of the stores of FPL? Um, however, this season has thrown up um many differences in terms of the types of players that are really doing well. So, for instance, there are many players that are in that five to six point five million bracket at the moment that are doing better than a lot of the premium players of like eight or nine million. It's a scenario where actually we're at that point of the season where we should be looking at um players who are about to pop per se, or people that are underperforming against their SGI. Um, but we can see that the volume for their creativity or for their shots, etc., that kind of thing, is there. The problem that you've got with any of the stores at the moment is they're all still involved in Europe, they're all further in the domestic cup competitions as well. So there's minutes rotation issues that you've got to think about when you try and bring any of these in. So, for instance, um the only reason that I bought Van Dyken is I know that Liverpool can't rotate him. He's gonna play no matter what. Also, it hasn't helped me for Saliba when I brought him in. Um so I didn't touch on it earlier when we were um talking about teams, but since I brought him in, he's been very indifferent for me, as in I'll get an eight or a ten out of him, and then he'll be missing. And then the cycle continues. I think when looking for value at the moment, it does go back to um What's his phrase of minutes, form, and um fixtures, but um it's also about just really trying to look at the underlying data and and looking at the fixtures at the moment. Sometimes form is kind of out the window, so we've seen that with the past couple of weeks where you've had the top team lose to the bottom team or draw to the bottom team, etc. So from that perspective, um I've I've got quite an open mind to what I do um within my wild club. You have to learn the lessons of what we've seen um for the first half of the season at the same time. Um there are still gems out there to go for, um, and those gems are ultimately who will propel you like a 10 to 12 week 12 point swing, for instance, in a game week. And that's invariably what I'll be looking for now.
SPEAKER_03I'm curious to his isn't to your thoughts on this because and I know we banned you about obviously, you know, you're the second half of a season season guy, you usually sort of like steamroller towards a finishing line. Not this year, of course, but usually you do. Um I'd get it in. But I'm curious to sort of see I'm curious to sort of see your approach in terms of do you sort of switch your mentality in terms of the kind of players you pick for this stage of the season, or do you just say philosophy from the start to finish? So, like, are you now looking at okay, I want to sort of pack my team full of like the big hitters now because they're gonna play week in, week out, I'm going for Van Dijk's and the Sellers. Like, what's your thought process right now?
SPEAKER_02Um that well, I don't really care if they cost a lot of money or they're big hitters unless they're actually hitting big. So, for example, you mentioned Salah. Why would I put Salah in my team? He's done nothing all season. It's too expensive for me to put him in now on the chance. Does that make sense if you ask me? You know, some people put him in and he hasn't done nothing, some people put him in last week and he got one goal. But then, you know, you got people five million listed in. Or, you know, that got a goal too. He's got more points in him. So for me, it's a waste of money just putting in players that are expensive for the sake of it. They're not in form, got good pictures, uh playing the minutes. Stick to that. I don't think that the actual big prices come into it.
SPEAKER_01Um, it's a wicked enigma, you know. Um sorry to interrupt, but you you are right um in that is is kind of what I was alluding to as well, because uh like there are a lot of people that are big hitters out there at the moment that are not doing they're not doing it. Um, bottom line. And to your point, it's a lot of money for you to spend on a player and you're only getting returns of one one every level week, etc. But to be fair to him, his underlying data is really, really good. It's just he's underperforming against it, big stuff. But we're in the final eight games of the season. Um, can can anyone afford to take a punt on him at that price? Not sure they can.
SPEAKER_02The funniest thing is, yeah, at some point he'll bag a hat trick or he'll hit a or hit a double, maybe. But that might not happen at the same time because it's game week 29. So or should I say, you know, coming up to game week 30? We know what he's got in him, and at some point he might do it, but he might do it at the at a point when you're not even expecting him to do it. And I'm not prepared to put him in and then you know, put all my money in my place.
SPEAKER_03Do you feel the same way about Palmer?
SPEAKER_02Well, yeah, because that's why I haven't put him in my team. Uh look, these are the guys, the people that you're referring to when you're talking about big hitters, are the people that are the most expensive in the game. So since we're in the midfield, that'll be like Palmer, Salah, Saka. Out of those three, if I had to pick one, it would probably be Saka because he looks like he's starting to get the minutes. And he looks like he might be first choice on the right again. We're at the business end of the season, so he's gonna play. But even he hasn't hit the heights that I would like to see him hitting just yet. So yeah, you can try and get ahead of the, you know, ahead of it with Saka or Salo, whoever you believe may start hitting throughout the rest of the season. But that with that money, as much as I like to jump ahead, which I've done with some other players at lower price ranges, I'd prefer to wait when it comes to that sort of money. There's only one person who has been in my team who is priced at that in them areas there, and he's the most expensive person in the game, which is Haaland. And you know, he started on fire, but in recent weeks he's been trash in in regards to points in FBO. And unfortunately for me, this week he was my captain, and again, he did nothing. He's got West Ham this week. Again, he could do nothing against West Ham. West Ham are in decent form, so it's like a tricky one. Like, you know, loads of people are taking him out. People are looking at him and thinking, let's just get rid of him now to make the money. Remember, I put him in early and I've had loads of money if I'd sold him. Now, for me, he's dropped down to 14.4. In the game, he's 14.6. So I bought him at 14-2, I think. So I get 0.2 if I sell him. But if I let him drop to 4 14.5, that means he drops to 14-1 for me. So then am I just gonna hold him through the blank? So, you know, there's all questions to be asked, but in regards to me investing in another expensive player, I just don't see it happening at the moment, and that's just how I feel. But at the same time, you know, I'm trying to, there's risks to be taken. Um, a Palmer, Saka, Salah, it could surprise, it could like I said, there's these are top players, and they could get big point holes at any time, but I'm talking consistency, it's not it's not been there. So for me, I'm avoiding them.
SPEAKER_03Yeah, I I tend to agree with what you're saying to honestly. I think that I think we've touched it a few times throughout this sort of you know this season that the the the real top value players in the game haven't really performed to their to their price tag, right? And I think that you know, when we talk about value, we we're talking about uh you know, if you're priced really high, you've got to kind of like score points according to a value, right? Um it's no it's no good you know being a standard around and getting one goal. To me, that's not getting a value when you have a player to your point up to a half the price or to get a goal to the whole point having to get two goals. Um they were gambled to have but the warrior course is like on the card and still uh the rotation still happened. So dangerous. But the next thing I want to speak about is uh uh sort of uh how a player's role within a team uh uh can change and uh potentially present itself value uh for you. I mean uh I guess there've been a number of instances that happened this year. We saw Dorgu a few months ago when he had a lot of injuries and he was playing further up the pitch. Um are you sort of looking at these sort of these little kind of like gems in terms of players who are going UK Setting Arts?
SPEAKER_02I always tend to look at these type of players this season. Funny enough, I haven't really acted on it. I suppose where I'm not doing as good as I would normally and I'd want to, I feel like um I've had to focus on different things, but I would say that there's one in particular who I'm sure everyone's thinking of who's actually it's a pet roulette but or Nico Riley being a defender. In a game playing in midfield and starting scoring in good form. So you know he's got my thing on it form, minutes. But you can't trust Pep. I think their fixtures are tough coming up. So I'm not too sure. But I'd think if any if I had an eye on one of them, it'll be him right now. Playing in midfield, full city as a defender. Can't really go wrong with that if he plays.
SPEAKER_03Ark, do you sort of look at these these sort of players who, you know, are playing out position and therefore can present some value? I mean, what's your take?
SPEAKER_01Yeah, it's not necessarily just our position, right? It's just you have managerial changes throughout the year and they may want to play a player in a different way to how they were before, um, with regards to their role, right? So I think earlier in the season we had a discussion where I talked about Somerville, for instance, and I said actually with Nuno there, Nuno looks like he trusts him to play particular ways. Not in the same way that he had Gibbs White playing, for instance, but in the same way that he had some of his attacking midfielders, his wider men. And ultimately, Somerville looks like that. And for instance, he's one of those players that you'd look at at the moment and you'd say he's underpriced, right? So like his XG per 90 is quite high. He's got 10 shots in the box over the last six games, for instance, and he's involved a lot. So he's he's like quite differentiable. So from that perspective, that's that's what I mean in terms of looking for a gem or looking at a player that is about to pop. If he's very whole, he falls into the same type of category as well, right? Him, for instance, he's got 36 points in the last six. I think his XGI is like 2.6 or something along those lines. So he's got high involvement and he's quite balanced as well. It's not that he's got particular roots, he's he's quite balanced in terms of his bonus points, he's quite a magnet for it, that type of thing. Um he does get involved in assists and set pieces and so on. So when you take those kind of things into account, you look at it and you say, Well, actually, for his money, he's underpriced, but his role, he's quite pivotal in the team. So now when I weigh up, I used to look at N Dye mostly because I like M Dai on the eye and the fact that he's he's on pens. But the reality is the way that Everton play, they don't play against low blocks. So somebody like N Dai isn't really being a attacking Falkland for them, right? And actually it's somebody like Juice Ruhall that is arriving late, and that is in the engine room and son that is creating more of a problem. Now, then obviously you need to look at him against the fixtures that they've got. But the reality is once he's been fit, he's been kind of fixed the proof and he affects the game either way. So those are the kinds of um players that I look for, and and yes, ultimately they those two they're underpriced.
SPEAKER_02He annoyed me, if I'm honest, Dewsbury Hall, because um obviously, yeah, and then he got injured. So when I had him, it was like it was a differential, it was like similar to when I got Wilson. I've always thought Dewsbury Hall was a decent player, so I knew that he would be good once he settled in at Evan and he was settling and he was starting to do his thing. And obviously, since he's got injured, I've had bigger fish stuff right, so I haven't put him back in. But like, um obviously he is he's a midfielder in the game, so he's not out of position, but for value, uh he's one of the best value-wise. Yep.
SPEAKER_03I mean, I'm I'm interested to sort of see, just to kind of follow up from that, how you map sort of a price point to uh sort of what you expect from that individual. So I guess what I'm trying to say here is that if you've got a player in your team that's eight million, for example, right? I mean let's take Vertz, for example. Like at this point in the game, would you would you deem someone like Vertz overpriced at the right price? Overpriced, overpriced.
SPEAKER_02I don't agree. I think he's overpriced as well.
SPEAKER_01His minutes are not what they need to be, and his returns they lag against his involvement. So he's got a high ceiling, but his price doesn't reflect his output. So you so you've got to say that he's overpriced. And I would hope for the FPL actually look at that next year because even when he comes back from injury, unless he has a worldie over the next day, he's not gonna his output's never not gonna realize in the way that he needs to to justify the the kind of money. We're talking about it'll be around the same price next season.
SPEAKER_02So it's a couple of things.
SPEAKER_03I would I would agree with you, but like if you took someone like say Ekatike, for example, who is playing, okay, who does get a lot of chances, but he's now 9.1 in the game now, there's a lot of money.
SPEAKER_01He's overpriced as well. Like the many of the Liverpool assets are overpriced at the moment. Even Van Dyke is overpriced. Like he's good, but but the issue is is uh with your defender, can you rely on him just for set pieces? Because they ain't keeping any clean sheets. And he's he's over six million. So so in in reality, is is there another defender that is producing the same kind of points as him over the past six weeks, twelve weeks, etc.?
SPEAKER_02Yeah, there are. The answer is yes.
SPEAKER_01Yeah. There are, and they're cheaper. So is he overpriced? Yeah, but I suppose he's got that premium club like taxation on him. Um so that's the reason why obviously he's starting as he is. And clearly, obviously, if you're if you're pricing for the game before the start of the season, like you can't not go off of the back of whatever he did last season, right? Yeah, sure. So so we understand it, and and as as the game goes on, the FPL community goes into herd mentality, right? So that's the reason why his price has stayed where it is.
SPEAKER_03But if we if we tap the beautiful thing. If we tap back into value, for the last eight or nine games of the season, are you are you are you looking at value now in terms of what they've done or what you believe they can do? Because obviously this is this is gonna be this sort of the the crux now of it's got to be what the what they can do, right?
SPEAKER_01Um whatever they've done doesn't matter. As as as my my favourite says, Earl Simmons, it's not about what you heard, it's what you're hearing, right? It doesn't matter what any of them has done so far this season. It's what what are we hearing now, what's their form saying now? That's the only way we're gonna make any kind of gains in FL.
SPEAKER_03I guess the next thing I want to sort of discuss is what you both feel is different between value and cheapness. So someone has cheap versus someone's value. It's it's it's the same thing.
SPEAKER_01Maybe hold on, why are you getting away without answering anything to yourself?
SPEAKER_03I mean I I I tend to agree with a lot of what you guys have said, which is very rare for me. But um like I I think that um there are a lot of players in the game who are massively overvalued, and that's primarily because you know, and I think Liverpool is is is a prime example because obviously they were the champions last year, so a lot of their assets were priced really high on the basis of when they wore last year, and they bought a lot bought a lot of players like you know, Isaac and and whatnot, and they've taken the Liverpool was to win the league again, right? So I think their assets were priced very high to begin with. I think a few of them have come back down a little bit, but I think I'm surprised actually that someone that Vert hasn't come down further than what than what he is. That has been a big surprise to me. Um and I guess he has kind of come back to the mean a little bit, but actually that's a that's a good point you've made.
SPEAKER_01He's a he might be a nice he might be a nice price point next season. He's still yeah, and it's someone that folded his hasn't.
SPEAKER_02He hasn't even he hasn't even dropped that much and he's been out. Yeah, no one had him.
SPEAKER_03Yeah, he's still still over 10 million, which is crazy to me.
SPEAKER_02Yeah, you know, some of that you know, uh you both know that I said at the beginning of the season, even when he will get a game, he'll be injured again within a few, because it's just still how he is. Um I think Newcastle got lucky with him for for you know maybe a season or season or two at the max. Um but he's just always gonna be injured. And even next season, if they took him down one million and he and he's fully fit and had a great preseason, I doubt I'll put him in my team.
SPEAKER_01He's wild though. He's still 3% owned. Sit and forget. Trust me. Well, he's meant to be back in April, I think.
SPEAKER_03So yeah, I think he's due to come back before the end of the season, so we'll see. What's the space?
SPEAKER_02He won't be at my team.
SPEAKER_03But yeah, back to the question, guys. I mean, in terms of like um, I guess I'll come to you first, Hawks. Like, do you look at the value and and cheapness in the as the same? Or are they two different things for you?
SPEAKER_02Well, they're definitely two different things, right? Cheapness and value, as it says it in your question. Um, but what you need to do is you need to see where you can get value in cheap players. So, for example, you know, I've I'm thinking I've picked up a few bargains this season price-wise, like I said, Deuceby Hall was a very good price. I think I bought him for 4.9 at the time. Um, he was dropping, and then don't need to explain what he can do. Wilson was another cheap sign-in. But even even if I look at, you know, when everyone's looking at the Sunderland players, I got Mikely, which is gonna be a very good way of me explaining it. You've got him who I don't know what he's now, I think he's 4.6, but he's got injured, so potentially he could be dropping. But I bought him for 4 mil. He was his center back partner, I can't remember his name. Is it Alto? Aldoretti. Aldoretti, he's 4 mil. So some people have him because he was 4 mil still, and Mikalele had gone up. When I sold Mikhail when he got injured or whatever, when he was back, I bought him back for the price he came back for. And when I bought him back in, I didn't regret it. When you look at okay, was it um Alderetti is cheaper, but Mikulele for his value, that four points who I bought him back in for, in comparison to the four I could have spent on um Alderetti. It was a no-brainer that I made the right choice because of all the points he got me. So you have to put value over just being cheap, but you know, you're gonna get some bargains where they might be cheap and give you the value. So you just gotta look for value in the cheap player. So that in midfield, Deudby Hall was the cheapest and could bring value in the defense. Mikhaily was a bit more than the cheap and the cheaper alternative, but he would give you the value for that price range, and that's what you gotta do it, you gotta do it in ranges. I think you're gonna notice money when it comes to uh the compact period of chips.
SPEAKER_01Yeah.
SPEAKER_02That's when you'll notice it. Yeah. And that's when it will count. Because all now, when you're you know trying to get to game week 31 when there's blanks and people are focusing on having to start an 11, or they're gonna free hit potentially, whichever strategy they're going with. There's gonna be um a time when it's like, okay, you gotta use your chips. So it's like, okay, you free hit, and then you bench boost, then there's a blank, then you're gonna use a triple captain, or whatever way around that you're gonna do it, you're gonna be rotating and changing players within your team. So, for example, you're gonna let's let's say I take out Haaland, I take out Samenio, and I take out Gabriel. When I wanna get these players back in, am I gonna have money in the bank? And if I don't, when I'm selling the players I brought in, is that money gonna cover all three of them back in if I want those three back in? So I think money is still important. I don't think it's changed. I just think that there's been quality players at cheaper prices, which has helped to coast us through the season. But when it comes to crunch time, I think money's still gonna have its relevance.
SPEAKER_03So some interesting takes there. I mean, value obviously is something that we all look for um across the board. Um but look, why don't we get into what we really want to talk about here, which is obviously the upcoming games, um, some important games this game week, um, some big games. I mean, what are you focused on in terms of what you're looking at for in this game week? Who are you sort of watching?
SPEAKER_02Obviously, we're here to talk about FPL, but I've got to be real as an Arsenal fan. There's a few games that I'm got an eye on. Obviously, I've got my Raya and Gabriel double, so I'll be looking at the Arsenal versus Everton, Moys versus Arteta. They both got great history together, respect for each other. I look at that game and I think it's a game where you know Arsenal can get the three points, we all get the three points, Everton and no mugs, and Moys, in my opinion, has always been a decent manager. Yeah, it should be an interesting game, and it's at a point in the season where a lot of teams are showing a lot of fight. However, Arsenal at home, it's the business end of the season, can't really afford to mess around right now. I know Everton have got a slight hope of getting into Europe, etc. But I think our fight and drive will be more. So I I I predict an Arsenal win there. Um if I was gonna throw a random score out because I've got a double at the back, I'm gonna say 2-0 Arsenal.
SPEAKER_03I think this game's dangerous. I think Arsenal probably will win, but I earmark this game is quite a dangerous game for Arsenal because it's it's one of those games where you know it's it's after the Champions League game, Everton I think had the second best away record in the last cat in the last year. So to see your point.
SPEAKER_01I earmark this game.
SPEAKER_03I airmark this game. Because I think this is the this is a dangerous game for Arsenal. Everton are uh one of those teams that uh we know that they're gonna come to defend and sit in a low block. You know, they're quite a physical team, and you know, Arsenal do overpower a lot of teams, and I don't think they have the same advantage over Everton. So I think that's gonna be a really tight game. I think Arsenal will come over the line, but it's gonna be one of those really edgy games, 1-0-2-1, for me personally. What do you think? Oh, which is go down. I know they know they're split score lines, but which of you in the game?
SPEAKER_01I think that Arsenal will win, but I do think Everton are very good away. Um, although they've reversed that recently and finally won at home. But we know what we get with Everton. I don't think there's much to add um to what Hotz was saying, to be honest. It's more about who your FPR assets in this game. What would you look for to come up with something? One thing that I'm looking at is confirmation on Eze. Um clearly he's got more minutes now because Edegaard isn't playing. Is he able to convert those minutes into something meaningful to make him become an FPR asset in this final eight games? I wouldn't imagine that going for defensive assets from whatever in this game is the way forward. So I expect there will be goals in the game. But yeah, it's it's hard. Business end of the season, right? It's it's a turgid time, right? And it's just about getting over the line, as Hot says.
SPEAKER_02I look at it and um Barry and Better. Um I'm not too worried about them. So, you know, defensively, um I I think we're you know, I'm not saying they couldn't score, because we know they we've had lapses, but um, I'm not threatened by their threat. So I just see them being defensively strong because they're sort of a good team, but I just see us getting the victory, whether it's pretty football or whether it's uh corner or two. I just say it's who know. But talking about Arsenal, I'm gonna talk about you know our so-called arch nemesis. I'll use the words that Ark would like to use when he calls them. In fact, I'll let him say it himself because it's him that calls them that. He knows who I'm talking about. If you could do the honors, please.
SPEAKER_01Yes, you're going to do the game, middlefield, right? Correct.
SPEAKER_02So, yeah, our arch rivals, they've their way to Liverpool. The way that Spurs have been playing this season. I do not see anything but a Liverpool result in that game. I know there's a few other games that we're gonna mention, but you know, in that relegation battle at the bottom, there's a few interesting games this week. And I feel that Liverpool will beat Spurs. And Spurs are capable of getting a victory. They're a team that you know they can pull off an odd win here and there, but the form that they've been in and the way that they've been playing, I just don't see a free-pointer for Spurs. So at the most, it would be a draw. But I think Liverpool are in uh a bit of don't know if I want to say form, but attacking lead, they've been doing their thing. And Spurs' defence is a mess. They've obviously got defenders out with um Romero's been out, injured, or wherever, wherever he's been. So he might be suspended and he's come back. I'm not too sure. But either way, if he's back, then it's one in, one out, in it. Because obviously um Van Devin is out my man speaking for me in that. But um, yeah, Van Devenza. Um, um then I might as well not speak for the whole for the whole show, then innit? If he wants to when I'm he said speak when I it's when I'm speaking, and not any other time. So when I'm speaking, I want to speak and I don't want a fucking ad libs. I said a man's name. What go on? Speaking to what said to me, innit? So I'm responding that that means a man saying okay, cool. But anyway, I should help you help you out, my friend. I didn't need help. That's what my point was. But anyway, go on. I won't finish what I was saying. Go on, you go to go to you.
SPEAKER_03Yeah, I look, I can't see anything other than the Liverpool win here. You know, Tottenham are Tottenham is are in the the mud right now, and I agree. I think Liverpool for FPR this is about targeting Liverpool forward assets. So if you if you hold a suburbs like Ek, you know, in my case, I've got sort of um Gappos, my team still, which uh I won't tell him, but I think I'm gonna hold them to them for for now. Um as well. These are guys who could be hacked in active Spurs have been for Do you think it's possible for Spurs to get a result in this game? I think it's possible. I just think of being poor. I think that uh the manager tactics uh I don't think it aligns very well with the players it's got but yeah look Liverpool haven't been great this season, you know, and I think they have they have got points to to some of the lower teams in the lead, you know. I think the lead they got points at home to some of them they got points to lower team, but you know, they have sort of looked unconvincing um at times at hand for rear for them. So there is a chance that Spurs could maybe sneak out a draw, maybe, but honestly, I don't think Governor's gonna come to win the w win it would be 3-1, 3-0. I'm going for.
SPEAKER_01I'm not sure that it's gonna be a landslide. Um, because I do think that Liverpool are not at the races at the best of times. Um they've got defensive lapses in them. I also think that Sri Lanka is the player that is showing that he's got the bit between his teeth. He's at least sounding the war cries, etc. at the moment, which you would kind of need when you're in the position that they are in. So it's an interesting match for me. I do think Liverpool will win, but I think it might be 3-2.
SPEAKER_03Okay, the game that I'm looking at this game week is what I call the it was all called a week ago game with Manu versus Villa. You know, a few moments ago, Villa were flying high, looking up at the title, and Man United were floundering and Amarin. And now here we are with the reverse, right? With Man United and now looking at drawing first place, and Villa are dropping to sort of hang on to each other this but so it's a very interesting game for many reasons. In terms of FPL aspect, I think that it's a case of uh Villa Central assets versus Man United killed. And an interesting game for I'm and I'm hoping for Rogers to sort of come along this game. Um Man United do struggle when you have to put in the front foot. They tend to do better when you have to sit back in the counterattack with. When the white hands have not get attacked, they can be vulnerable in defense. And I think Rogers does thrive in those kind of games when he can sort of uh run in between the lines. So and obviously what kins who can kind of run in between the gaps as well. So I think it it it could be a really sort of open game. I think this game to me looks like a two-all game for me, Desmond. I think both teams will score goals. I don't think either either back line is particularly secure. If there's gonna be a winner, it'll be Man United, but I just fancy a drawing is game too all. What's what do you think?
SPEAKER_02I think that Villa's got a potential to do an upset. Um, they've been not playing and performing well, and I'm sure Umray's gonna be living at himself. I think that United have had a great run since Carrick have come in. I think it was you know, no losses, one draw until they've lost. Now they've lost. I think they got the potential for a reality check on you know Carrick's great achievements at the beginning of his time at United. And maybe there's gonna be another another defeat on on the list of games, so I'm gonna go for uh villa victory. I'm not sure that prediction or scores goes back to swear, still trying to keep it professional. Rogers better score if that's the case. Because I've still got him currently.
SPEAKER_01I'll we'll keep it a buck. I don't like either of these teams. Um, so all I do is look for the Rassets. Um obviously Rogers is what he is, but I think that Watkins could have something to say in this game. Um, with regards to United, it's always the same. Um, everything goes through Fernandez. Um, but obviously Mbuna and now maybe Sesco, whether he starts or not, doesn't matter. He seems to be able to get a goal. Yeah, definitely not a game for defensive assets from either, unless you're going for an attacking fullback for say prediction wise. Um I'd imagine it's a draw. Um, I don't see any of them being that better than the other to really run away with it. But United are at home. So if I was going for a win, I'd go for them. Um but I think it'll be a draw.
SPEAKER_03And what game are you looking at? It's weekend, weekend you got your eye on.
SPEAKER_01Um, yeah, I've been looking at West Ham City um more because of the conundrum of assets amongst both teams, I guess. Um so it's a typical attack V defense type game. Clearly, with West Ham, you'll get their mid to low defensive block. Um, they'll try and transition through their wide players. Um we've spoken about one of them, um Somerville. Um another one is Boeing, um, wherever he plays, um, he's always having some kind of effect from a West Ham perspective. Um, and for City, all we know is obviously they will do what they usually do, which is half space overloads, um, cutbacks from wide areas, second phase attacks, that kind of thing. It's whether West Ham's defence can hold out against that. The reality is um you would expect to know if it becomes a straight gunfight, um, you would expect City to be able to win through with that. Um, so yeah, your main assets that you're looking at, like I said, Sunville, Boeing. Sunville's quite a differential. Um, I know a couple of people are looking at him from a captaincy point of view as well, um, which is bold um to say the least. Then obviously, what you've got is City, you've got Haaland, um, you've got Semeno as well. Semenyo is probably the differential in this one because he's a driver's and he's got a lot of touches in the county area, he's got a lot of shot volume as well. I expect City to win, um, but I think that we'll see a valiant effort from Western. Um by expecting it to be 1-3.
SPEAKER_03The only thing that I can really say that might deter me from saying the same result as you, Arc, is that Man City play after Arsenal, don't they? So I guess if Arsenal do win, which you know, I hope they do, what kind of mental state will Man City be in, the pressure obviously would be immense for them to win that game with West Ham, which could be a factor, you don't know. Having said that, I think it's not a great matchup for West Ham, and I think Man City probably will win um in the end.
SPEAKER_02It's a game that I was hoping would come up because obviously when I was talking about Liverpool Spurs, it's uh dog fight down there, Nottingham Forest, West Ham Spurs, and um if West Ham was to pull off a little draw, not saying it's lightly, but as an Arsenal fan, I'm hoping that they can pull off something, and I don't think it can be a victory, so I'm hoping that they can pull off a draw. Then obviously, if Liverpool do go and spank Spurs, then that means that first time I go above them. So it'll be interesting to see the outcomes of these games because by this time next week we could be looking at Spurs in the in the bottom three. People are like, oh yeah, they're gonna go down, they're gonna do this. But I think even if Spurs go into the bottom three, they've got the fixtures to come out of it, if I'm being honest. I'm not one of these biased fans that just chat shit for the sake of it. But um, obviously, as an Arsenal fan, I'd love Spurs to go down. I think they could drop into it this week because Liverpool are definitely my favourite to win. So with West Ham, if they can pull off a draw, they've been strong defensively. I see City scoring, so it's just about whether West Ham can can break their defence or not. And if they can, they might be able to get a little 1-0. But in reality, I think Man City potentially wins that potentially 2-0, could even be 2-1 if West Ham do. You know, West Ham have been in good form and they are fighting. And when you're fighting, if you look at all the teams fighting Wolves and all these teams, they they they they they're causing problems to everyone. So there's a bit of hope there. But um, yeah, if I'm just being direct, I'd say City wins still.
SPEAKER_03And I guess we can go on sort of captain choices. It's a tough one this week. I mean, obviously, you look in the projections, it's the usual faces sort of on the list. Again, the Stanners, the Haalands, you know, we know the names already at this point. But who are you looking at this this game week? I mean, are you who is the safe pick? I guess is the question and and sort of who are you going for? I guess that's why you arc. Who are you looking at?
SPEAKER_01There are no safe picks anymore. Um with regards to who I'm looking at, that's a trade secret. Um that said. The uh nymph?
SPEAKER_03I I'm just I'm just you know, just guessing what your secret is, but I don't think you should guess.
SPEAKER_01Hasn't worked out well this season. But that said. Um I don't know. I think um we're in that that period of differential captains that everybody will be going for something a little bit different. Because of the predictions, etc., that I've given um for the United Aston Villa game, I'll only be going for Bruno. Um, but he's obviously um somebody that many people will look at. I have Haaland, and at some point I've got to captain him again, right? Um you can't have a 14 point whatever million player and you don't captain him. Um that said, if I was looking at others, um I don't know what you guys are thinking, but like I said, um his underlying data and his in this instance is Salah, his underlying data is very good. Um he would be a good captaincy choice um from my perspective if I had him, especially given the history that he's got with middle sex. And there are a few others, I guess. Um obviously we can see that the the points projection thing is is interesting. Um you guys know what my thoughts are around Saka. I love him as a player, etc., but often he is not necessarily um doing what he needs to do from an FPL point of view. But again, he is somebody that is he's about to pop. Like he his underlying data is good, it's almost elite, it's just his output hasn't caught up with it at the moment. Um so he doesn't show any signs of regressing. So at some point it's got to come up. Um and yes, from an Arsenal point of view, as I do support them, I hope that it is this weekend. But yeah, from from my perspective, um, I can't look too much further than the city boys that I've got in my team. What about you, guys? You keep asking everybody else what you do. I'll ask questions, yeah. I'm gonna be Pedro, yeah. Hotel.
SPEAKER_03Listen, I asked questions, my friend. Hots. Yeah, you're already answered. He's been silent. You gonna talk or are you gonna stare at me?
SPEAKER_02Who are you talking to? He asked you a question. So are you really forcing that you're the host so no one can answer questions? Is this the ignorance you want to come with? Because cool. So um I thought you were banned, and I didn't know the ignorance you've been doing to answer the question or not. So um I would say that Harlan is someone that I would be questioning because at the end of the day, I've gone with him for the last three weeks and he's flopped. Potentially he could come through and deliver. I can't rule him out, even though he hasn't been in the greatest of forms. I was looking at Harry Wilson for this game week, but obviously he hasn't come back from injury, so he's not a guaranteed starter, so it's a bit of a shame because I wanted to do him as a differential. I honestly don't know who I'm gonna be captaining this week or what I'm even gonna be doing this week because I've made no transfers so far. But you know, as Ark said, the City Boys are a decent team to target going at West Ham. I think that there's the Liverpool players are good players to target going at Scum. So yeah, it's it's you know, players from City or players from Liverpool that you really need to be targeting as captain, but there's differentials all around, so yeah.
SPEAKER_03I'm a bit stuck this week. I don't know who I'm gonna go for. I think Tiago is is a strong candidate for me at the moment. You know, they are home to Burnley and he's in great form. He scored two against West Avenue FA Cup. Brentford are a very good home team. Burnley are horrible on the road. Although they've looked a bit better in the recent weeks, but we have to think that he's gonna he's gonna get something in this game. Um Tiago. I don't own any offensive assets on City other than Haaland. Yeah, I just I just don't know about Haaland at this point in time. I kind of largely agree with what's really been said really. I think Liverpool assets are the ones that I would target if I had them. I've got a couple, I've got Deck Poe and I've got Total Slide, but I don't think any of them are kind of captain-worthy. I think it's kind of a top between sort of maybe Haaland, Bruno, and Tiago for me. That's the three I'm looking at really. Um obviously Jar Pedro is in great form, albeit we haven't got the best pictures game week, but uh looking at sort of at form fixture and you know that kind of stuff, then he's someone you've got to kind of take consideration right now because he's he's flying right now. At the villa. So, you know, he came off the bench expect um, he's someone that obviously is feeling tough right now, so he's someone to Well, I'm just saying he you know he played like 10 minutes in the game and got scored a goal. I think it's just the point I'm making is that he's he's obviously in that point where he's he's feeling very confident.
SPEAKER_02So um Well, yeah, he's in form and he's got the minutes.
SPEAKER_01Like Liam Ratina, yeah. He said that he's in the he's in the same bracket as Haaland and then Mbappe. Oh Ratina's looking smoking a good shit. But you know what? There's a little shout for um a couple of the Bournemouth players as well. Like they shouldn't be select on as they're playing Burnley. Um Evan Nielsen, um, he's got decent underlying data in terms of the amount of touches and shots that he's had in the penalty area over recent weeks. And then obviously you've got the differential that is Rayan, right? Um so again, if you're looking for a differential and you're chasing upside, like there could be potentials for anybody that is out there that's got those kind of players or they're willing to make those gambles.
SPEAKER_03So yeah, I mean another another game week, guys. Move on. Um I'll keep on chipping away at at the at the points and hopefully get some more games and hot next game week. We'll see what happens. But yeah, until next week.