Beyond IRR

Debt Yield: The Lender's Metric You're Probably Not Tracking

Louis Hiza Season 1 Episode 16

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0:00 | 29:21

Almost every lender in commercial real estate uses debt yield to evaluate your deal. Almost no independent operator tracks it on their own. That gap — between what you are measuring and what your lender is measuring — is where refinance surprises, reduced proceeds, and failed qualifications come from. Debt yield answers one question: how much income does this property generate relative to the money the lender has at risk? It strips out interest rates, amortization schedules, and appraised values — all of which can change — and isolates the one variable the lender cares about most. That independence from assumptions is exactly why an increasing number of CMBS lenders, life companies, and agency programs use it as a primary screening metric. In this episode, Louis walks through debt yield from the ground up: the formula, what the threshold ranges mean, how it diverges from DSCR in ways that reveal hidden leverage risk, and how to use it in acquisition underwriting, refinance preparation, and portfolio-level risk assessment. Covered in this episode: 

  1. The debt yield formula and why it is more stable than DSCR or LTV as a measure of lending risk
  2. What the ranges mean: below 7%, the marginal zone, the comfort zone, and when you may actually be under-leveraged
  3. How two properties with the same NOI can have very different debt yields — and what that tells you about which one is more vulnerable at refinance
  4. Why loans originated at low rates with healthy DSCRs but thin debt yields were the first to fail when rates rose — and how to avoid that position
  5. Using debt yield as a first-pass screen in acquisition underwriting before running a full pro forma
  6. How to stress-test debt yield at 90% of your NOI before going to a lender
  7. The mathematical relationship between debt yield, cap rate, and LTV — and the five-second sanity check it enables
  8. Debt yield as a portfolio metric: how to rank your properties by leverage risk and know where your margin is thinnest

 Plus a historical note on how the post-2008 shift in debt yield standards was not a regulatory mandate — it was a market-learned lesson that cost billions to teach. This episode is for operators who want to understand what their lender sees when they underwrite a deal — and for anyone who wants to stop being surprised by the gap between the loan they expected and the loan they received.

BHPA - https://bhpropertyadvisors.com/

SPEAKER_00

Welcome to Beyond IRR. This podcast examines real estate investments through the lens of structure, risk, and capital durability, not just headline returns. I'm your host, Louis Heizer. This podcast is sponsored by Beacon Hill Property Advisors. Today, let's talk about a metric that almost every lender in commercial real estate uses to evaluate your deal, and that almost no independent operator tracks on their own. It's called debt yield. And understanding it will change how you think about leverage, how you prepare for a refinance conversation. Today Today, let's talk about a metric that almost every lender in commercial real estate uses to evaluate your deal and that almost no independent operator tracks on their own. And it's called debt yield. And understanding it will change how you think about leverage, how you prepare for a refinance conversation, and how you evaluate whether a deal is actually financeable before you commit to it. Don't forget, in every real estate deal that uses debt, there are at least two partners, equity and lender. Equity and debt. The debt per provider, the lender, is also a partner in the deal. They are very committed to seeing this deal be successful and they earn money if it is and they can lose money if it's not. And so it's often easy to forget that the lender is a partner in the deal, but understanding how a lender reviews deals is just as important as understanding how equity partners review deals if you're going to be using debt to finance property acquisitions. So in this case, debt yield, it answers a very specific question. Lenders look at this whenever they're underwriting your deals. And what it asks is if the lender had to take this property back tomorrow, what return would they earn on the money they lent you based solely on the property's current income? So that question matters because it strips out everything the borrower cares about. Strips out equity yields, return on equity, appreciation, exit assumptions, and it isolates the one thing the lender cares about. How well does the income cover the money they have at risk? The formula for debt yield is one of the simplest calculations in real estate. It's very straightforward. Debt yield equals net operating income, NOI, divided by the loan amount. That's all. Where else do we see that? We see that in cap rate. That's NOI divided by property value. So if you think about that, this is NOI divided by loan amount. It's kind of a similar type metric. It's a ratio between annual cash flow, uh, NOI in this case, but annual, you know, grow uh net profits uh after property expenses divided by um the outstanding debt. And so that's just a ratio of that annual cash flow uh and the outstanding debt. And so it is very similar to a cap rate, uh, but it's but it's looking from the lender's perspective on that ratio compared to the debt. So that's the simple uh breakout here. This is it doesn't take into account interest rate, it doesn't take into account amortization, no cap rate assumptions. It's just income divided by debt. And if your property is generating $120,000 in NOI, and let's say your loan is $1.5 million, your debt yield is 8%. So that's straightforward. Now, the question is, what does that 8% tell the lender? What it tells them is if they foreclosed tomorrow and operated this property themselves, they would earn an 8% return on the capital that they deployed. Regardless of what the interest rate they charged you is, regardless of the amortization schedule, and regardless of what the property might be worth on the open market. So that independence from other variables is exactly why lenders like this metric. It's a pure measure of income relative to exposure, nothing else. So lenders care more about debt yield than you might think. Let's dig into why that is. So for the past two decades, commercial real estate lending was primarily governed by two metrics. It was DSCR and it was LTV, debt service coverage ratio and loan to value. DSCR tells you whether the property's income covers its debt payments. Right? So that's the ratio between property income and the annual debt service, the payment. LTV, on the other hand, loan to value, it's another ratio, tells you how much of the property's value is financed versus equity. So that's going to be as simple as the outstanding debt balance, the loan divided by the value of the property. So both of these metrics do, however, have a significant weakness. They are dependent on assumptions that can change. DSCR depends on the interest rate. A property with a 1.3 DSCR at 6% has a very different DSCR at 8% interest because your payments got bigger. That same property, the same income, the same operating expenses, but a completely different coverage ratio simply because the rates moved. So that means DSCR can look healthy in a low rate environment and dangerous in a high rate environment, even when the property's operating performance has not changed at all. LTV depends on the appraised value. And appraised values are at best educated opinions that can vary by 10, 15% between appraisers. We've seen big swings. A property appraised at $2 million can give you a very different LTV than that same property that comes out in an appraisal at 1.75. So one might qualify for a loan because of that appraisal and the other might not. The property didn't change, but the opinion of the of the value did. Debt yield sidesteps both of these problems. It does not depend on the interest rate. It does not depend on the appraised value. It is purely a function of how much income the property generates relative to how much debt it carries. The other interesting thing to remember about NOI is it really should be independent of the operator, independent of the investor, and uh of the debt amount as well. Don't forget, everything above NOI on a PL is really it's related to the property. It's not related to the individual investor. That's why below NOI on a PL would sit things such as uh interest paid on debt. That's the that's the fault of the investor, not the property. That's how they decided to finance the property. And then there's other things that are going to be the investor's fault that sits below NOI on a PL. So things such as annual tax um preparation cost with your CPA. It's not the property's fault. You decided to hire someone for $1,200 to do your taxes. Um, and so keeping this metric, this debt yield metric, NOI divided by outstanding loan balance, NOIs entirely has to do with the property. And so this metric also filters out any operator-related decisions. Sure, different operators can produce different NOIs because they can run the property more efficiently or push revenues, cut expenses, et cetera. But the point is you're really looking at a number that has entirely to do with the property NOI divided by uh outstanding loan balance, which is a fixed number. It's never going to change from the own from the lender's perspective. Obviously, if the operator is still involved and they are making payments uh with that that on an amortization schedule, so that principal loan balance is decreasing. Okay, yes, it is changing, but the assumption we're looking at is let's say the bank had to tank back the property. You are looking at a property-specific number, NOI, divided by outstanding loan balance. It's a number you can look up or a bank would look up in two seconds. Again, it doesn't matter on broker's opinion of value. It doesn't matter on interest rates that can change, such as DSCR. This is a very fixed number through and through, uh, which is why banks like it so much. Um so back to our discussion here about why lenders like it, it's uh, and for those reasons, it's a stable and reliable measure of lending risk, which is why an increasing number of lenders, particularly um CMBS, uh commercial mortgage-backed security lenders, life companies and agency programs, they use debt yield as a primary or secondary screening metric. So let's look now at what do these numbers mean? Most commercial real estate lenders have a minimum debt yield threshold. So here is how the general ranges break down. So below a 7%, most lenders will not proceed. Okay. The income relative to the loan is too thin. If the lender had to take back this property, the return on capital would be below what they could earn in a risk-free treasury investment. Um, in the current uh market environment, too, where you see loans hovering around 7%, sure, residential stuff or um uh, you know, even like Fannie or Freddie back stuff you're seeing in the sixes, but you know, around seven is about what the rate is right now. And so they're thinking if we had to take this back and only earn six percent return while having to own a property, we can be lending at 7% and it's effectively risk-free because we can foreclose on the property and take it back. Not a risk-free process, I understand, but you know what I'm saying. Um, and so below 7% debt yield, lender's not gonna proceed. Um, now let's look at 7% to 8%. So this is marginal. Some lenders will now proceed with additional conditions, maybe higher reserves, personal guarantees, shorter loan terms. Um, so this is a zone where deals can get done, but with significant negotiation, and there's gonna probably be concessions. Now, when we get to the 8% to 10%, this is the comfort zone for most conventional lenders. The income provides a reasonable return on the lender's capital, and there is enough cushion to absorb moderate income declines without threatening the debt position. Above 10%, that's a strong position, and the property's income relative to the loan amount gives the lender substantial protection. So borrowers at this level typically have access to the best terms. It's gonna be lowest rates, longer terms, more flexibility. And then anything above 12%, this is very conservative leverage. The borrow might actually be under-leveraged. Um, in fact, the lender who, you know, lenders are in the business of lending out money might say, uh, you know, we can increase this LTV and uh your debt yield is quite low. And my guess would be DSCR is quite high, or excuse me, debt yield is quite high, and my guess would be DSCR is also quite high. Maybe we increase LTV here. Uh, and maybe that's something the borrower uh would be open to, assuming the economics still work. Um so this now takes us to where the debt yield and DSCR tell different stories. It's important to look at both of them because banks look at both of them for two different reasons. And and us as uh equity partners, as investors, need to know why banks are looking at both. What are the two different stories? So where debt yield becomes genuinely useful as a diagnostic tool is when it diverges from DSCR. So let's take two properties. Property A. Let's say we've got an NOI of $150,000. So let's say the loan is $1.5 million at 6.5% interest, 25 year amp. So that gives an annual debt service of 122 grand. So DSCR, so that 150 divided by 122, that's a 1.23 uh DSCR. That's pretty good. That's fine. Um debt yield uh is 10% in this case. So that's that one, uh obviously that 150 NOI divided by the loan of 1.5 million, 10% debt yield. Okay, so let's look at property B then. NOI. Let's keep it the same, 150,000, but let's increase the loan amount. Let's go up to 2 million. Um we'll make the we'll make the um interest a little smaller just to compensate. So let's do 5.5% and a 30-year am. Let's keep those payments smaller. And you'll see what we're trying to do here. We're trying to keep DSCR similar, but to really change um your debt yield. So in this case, annual debt service now is $136,000, a little higher, even though we increased the amortization and dropped the rate because the loan is 25% bigger. Give or take. Uh DSCR in this case, which is $1.150,000 NOI divided by $136,000 annual debt service. That's a DSCR of 1.1, dropped significantly. Debt yield, $1.5, drops significantly. So both properties have the same NOI in this case, but they tell very different stories. Property A has a moderate DSCR, um, you know, moderate, 1.23. Remember, banks are often looking between 1.2 to 1.25. Uh so that's right in the middle, but a strong debt yield, 10% is above uh, that's that's a healthy debt yield. Banks are hoping for above 8% or need above an 8%, generally speaking. Um property A, again, moderate DSCR, strong debt yield. The leverage is conservative relative to the income. But if the rates rise, DSCR might compress, but the lender's fundamental position, income relative to exposure, remains strong. So you see how the lender's looking at deal A and saying, we're kind of hedged here. So even if rates were to go up and DSCR compresses, which makes it harder on the operator, in worst case scenario, we foreclose and take this over, we still have a pretty high debt yield. Uh property B, on the other hand, has a weaker DSCR and weaker debt yield. So if we got to a lower DSCR by borrowing more at a lower rate with longer amortization, the lower rate masks that higher leverage. And if the rates were to re uh to rise at refinance, property B is in significantly more trouble than property A. And debt yield flagged that risk from the very beginning. Remember, property B was at a 7.5% debt yield from the beginning. And that's simply just a ratio of NOI divided by outstanding loan balance. A lender is gonna look at this and say, that's a little too low. Even if we increase uh the amortization period, even if we decrease the rate, neither of those things affect the debt yield. We can pump up DSCR a bit, but it's not gonna affect the debt yield. The lower rate masks the higher leverage. And that's a key to wrap this up. Um, this is the exact scenario that played out across commercial real estate from 2022 through 2024. Loans originated at low rates with high leverage and high and high valuations. Um, so not only high leverage, you know, pushing 80%, uh, but also being, you know, 80% of values that are higher than usual as we came out of that uh post-COVID property uh price spike. Um so these loans originated at low rates, uh, but with high leverage. They looked fine from DSCR, but their debt yields were thin. And when those loans matured and needed to be refinanced at higher rates, DSCR collapsed. And the thin debt yield meant that there was nowhere to hide. The banks holding those balances were seeing very thin returns on that debt that they were still holding. So, how do you use debt yield and acquisition underwriting? Let's turn this to the more practical side of the conversation. So, if you were evaluating an acquisition, uh debt yield should be one of the first numbers you calculate before well before IRR, before running a 10-year pro forma, before getting excited about the upside story. And here's why. Debt yield tells you whether the deal is financeable at the leverage you want before you spend the time modeling the return. So take a deal with a protected stabilized NOI of $180,000 per year. You want a $2.2 million loan. Um, that debt yield, that's 8.2%. So that's within the range of most lenders will accept. Uh the deal is likely financiable at this leverage, uh at this leverage level. But now take that same deal and say, okay, I want $2.5 million for whatever reason. Maybe you're decreasing equity you need to bring to the table. Maybe there's some capital expenditures you want to wrap into the acquisition. Um, that debt yield, 180, 180K divided by 2.5 million, that's 7.2%. You are now in the marginal zone. Some lenders will proceed, many will not. And the ones who do are going to attach conditions. So by checking debt yield first, you can screen whether your target leverage is realistic before you spend weeks underwriting a deal that a lender will not finance at the structure that you need. And this is a very quick um metric to add into your early stages of underwriting. This doesn't take a lot of time. Um, now let's talk about debt yield when it comes to refinance preparation. So this connects directly to the refinance strategy and the refi readiness framework that we've covered in previous episodes. So when you are preparing for a refinance, calculating your debt yield at the target loan amount tells you immediately whether you're in the lender's comfort zone or pushing that edge. So let's say your property has an NOI of $160,000. You want to refinance into a $1.9 million loan. Debt yield, 8.4%. You're in good shape. But what if your trailing 12-month NOI has a wee quarter in it? Maybe vacancy spiked just temporarily, and the lender underwrites NOI at $140. Now let's adjust that debt yield. $140K divided by $1.9 million, 7.4%. You are now in that marginal range. And so this is why I recommend calculating debt yield at your actual NOI and at a stressed NOI, say 90% of your current number before you go to a lender. If you're above 8% at both levels, you're in a very strong position. If you drop below 8% at the stressed level, you know exactly where the vulnerability is and can address it by either improving NOI before the refinance or targeting a smaller loan amount. Either of those strategies work. But knowing that before you go talk to a lender, you're not going to get caught off guard when they point out that your debt yield is a bit low for them, uh, you would have already anticipated that. And that is so key when talking to lenders that they're not surprising you with metrics on your own deal. You need to be in charge of all your own metrics. Let's now talk about debt yield to work that in as a portfolio metric to work it into your regular portfolio analysis. So, like the break-even occupancy and equity yield we've talked about in previous episodes, debt yield is most powerful when you calculate it across your entire portfolio. So for each property, divide the trailing 12-month NOI by the current outstanding loan balance. Very easy. There's no proformas to do, there's no opinions, anything. This is just information you should have. You know, if you're not tracking your portfolio analytics regularly, this should all sit in a PL and balance sheet. Uh, you should be able to pull this from historical financials. So for um, and now so do this for each property, calculate the debt yield based on trailing 12 NOI and rank them from highest to lowest. So the property with the highest debt yields are your most conservative leverage positions. They have the most cushion, they are the easiest to refinance, they give you a lot of options because of that. The property with the lowest, or the properties with the lowest debt yields, are your most leveraged positions. They have the least cushion, they're the most vulnerable to income disruption, and they'll be the hardest to refinance if market conditions tighten. So knowing this ranking tells you where to focus your attention. If a property has a 7% debt yield and occupancy is softening, that is your highest priority management situation, not because the property's failing, but because the margin for error is the thinnest. And by the way, this all this logic applies to not only someone looking at refinancing in the sit in the future, but also someone looking to sell. Because don't forget, when you sell one of your properties, almost certainly the person who buys it is going to use leverage to buy that to buy your property. Now that's their problem to get their own loan. However, if your NOI isn't matching up with what you expect a future investor to lever, let's say 75% of what you want to be asking, uh, if that's not going to pencil out for a buyer's lender, um, they're not gonna be able to close at your the terms you're looking for, or you're gonna a lot of buyers are gonna have to walk. So this goes for people not only looking to refinance, but also looking to sell. So the relationship, let's talk about now between debt yield and cap rate, because I hinted at the beginning, these are very similar metrics. They have a lot of similarities, most notably NOI sitting in the numerator. Um, so there's an important mathematical relationship between debt yield and cap rate that most operators miss. If your debt yield equals your cap rate, your LTV is 100%. You are fully leveraged. Pretty easy math there. Uh the income covers the debt and nothing else. If your debt yield is higher than your cap rate, your LTV is below 100%. I'll say that again. If your debt yield is higher than your cap rate, your LTV is below 100%. This is going to be the case for almost all properties. So the higher the debt yield relative to cap rate, the more conservative your leverage. If your debt yield is lower than your cap rate, your LTV is above 100%, which means you owe more than the property is worth, and you are underwater. That's an issue. So this is a quick sanity check you can do on any deal in about five minutes. If someone quotes you a cap rate of, let's say, 6.5%, and uh you calculate a debt yield at 7%, you know your LTV is approximately 93%. That's how the relationship between uh all of these uh inputs, uh, that's that's the relationship. So if the debt yield in this case, let's say is 9%, uh your LTV is approximately 72%. If the debt yield is six, let's go lower than the cap rate. Remember, cap rate was 6.5 in this example. If the debt yield is six, your LTV is over 100%. And so that relationship, debt yield divided by cap rate equals the inverse of LTV, is one of the most useful mental shortcuts in real estate finance. Um, I will say this is a little bit of uh nuance here, or uh for people who like the to nerd out on uh deep diving into metrics, um, this is this is good food for thought for them. Otherwise, uh it is important to do both look at your cap rate and your uh debt yield and compare them and see if they, you know, as a as a sanity check and make sure that they are operating uh in a healthy relationship, uh, being that your debt yield, you want your debt yield to be larger than your cap rate. So uh as a practical application, if you want to start using debt yield today, first calculate it for every property that you own. Take your trailing 12-month NOI, divide by your current loan balance, then compare it to the 8% threshold. That's kind of the industry standard for lenders. Anything below 8% deserves closer attention. Not because it's in trouble, but because it has less cushion and needs closer attention. Third, when evaluating acquisitions, calculate debt yield at your target loan amount before running a full underwriting model. If it's below 7.5% or even 8%, the deal might not be financeable at the leverage you want. Fourth, before going to a lender for a refi, calculate your debt yield at the loan amount you were targeting and go conservative and calculate it at 90% of your NOI. If they're both above 8%, your actual debt yield as well as your conservative or kind of worst case debt yield, if they're both above 8%, you're well positioned. If either drops below, adjust your expectations or your NOI before the conversation. Don't let the lender tell you something you didn't know about your own property. And fifth, track debt yield along DSCR. We actually on most of our BHPA property analytics dashboards, they sit right next to each other. It's in our capital efficiency section. So when they start to diverge, when DSCR looks healthy, but debt yield is thin, that is a single signal that favorable loan terms are masking higher leverage. So pay attention to that divergence. So let's wrap this up with a summary on debt yield. It is a lender's reality check. Think of it as a sanity check. It strips out interest rates, amortization schedules, and appraisal opinions, all that fluff, all that extra, strips it out and asks a single question. How much income does this property generate relative to the money at risk? For operators, it is equally valuable as a self-assessment tool. It tells you how conservatively or aggressively you're leveraged in a way that DSCR and LTV cannot, because it does not depend on the assumptions that change. It depends only on two numbers you already know: NOI, loan balance. Track it. Use it in your acquisitions, use it before refinances, use it before sales. And when you see a property in your portfolio with a debt yield below 8%, treat it the way you would treat a property approaching its break-even occupancy. Not as an emergency, but as a position that deserves your closest attention. Let's wrap this episode up with a fun fact. So the 10% debt yield threshold that many commercial mortgage-backed lenders treat as their minimum was not always the standard. Before the 08 financial crisis, CMBS loans were routinely originated at debt yields of 7% or even 6%, levels that left almost no income cushion relative to the loan amount. The post-crisis shift to higher debt yield minimums was not a regulatory mandate. It was a market learned lesson. The lenders who survived the crisis were the ones who had insisted on higher debt yields when it was unpopular to do so. So that lesson is now embedded in underwriting standards, but it is worth remembering that it was learned the hard way. Thanks for listening, and we'll see you next week. Thank you for listening to Beyond IRR. This podcast is produced by Beacon Hill Property Advisors, where we focus on bringing clarity, structure, and rigor to real estate investment analysis. If you want to evaluate deals beyond headline metrics and better understand the mechanics driving performance, you can learn more about our tools and approach at bhpropertyadvisors.com. You can also connect with us directly for demonstrations, resources, and additional insights. Until next time, analyze deeply, allocate wisely, and always go beyond IRR.