Episode 6 - Soccer- How to break the house

In this episode i will be talk about soccer. And what to bet on.

Transcript

SPEAKER_00 0:07

Alright, give me a second. I'm trying to set up. Today is Wednesday, January 2nd, 2025. Almost said 25. 2025. I'm gonna be talking about chapter 5 soccer. Okay, soccer is like another one-point game. You should do moneyline over under only doing that point spread, you're gonna lose your money, and you're gonna be crying. Okay, because there's other parts to this. You need multiple formulas to have an edge in sports betting. Now, this is just an example of the formula for um soccer. You know, where Bradford is the away team, so they're gonna get that extra point and a half. Excuse me. So they're gonna be the favorite. The first two games are real scores, okay? It was two to nothing. Brentford won the first game, two to nothing. The second game, Burnley won the second one, three to one. Them are real scores that really happened. The third line is a simulation, okay. When I simulated, Bradford won five using using analytics simulation. Burnley scored four points. Okay, that was a close game. So I added all three scores together along with the um underdog points, and that gave I rounded, you're gonna be like, How you got that? I rounded it off to two, okay. So that's how I ended up with 10. Again, Burling got five. I subtracted it, equal five, Bradford, but I would not use it for covering, I would only use this for um moneyline or overs and unders. That's that's all I would use that for. Oh, they're gonna go over this game, but I would run it five times. I'm just only showing you one, but this is only gonna give you 20% of what can happen. Okay, only gonna give you 20%, and you would do it always like I did with football. You would always use these two last time they met scores, and only thing you're gonna be changing each time is the simulation for the analytics because you're trying to look at look into the future of possibilities, but um, I would do an over and under on this game if I'm pushing it money line. I would never use covering, you know, because covering is like dangerous with one point games. That's just my hypothesis on that, and and the research that I did. One point games, covering is just not moneyline. If you want to just do a straight bet or over and under, it's gonna be a short video, but I'm gonna show another video with this one using analytics, but that's my formula information for soccer. I know I got a lot of soccer lovers. You're gonna have to use analytics, mathematicals, and have some notes on helping you pick the right team for your bet. That's the best way into looking at the possibility of how the future is gonna turn out and going off your notes. But I would run this five times, look at the notes and do an over and under. If it looked like it's gonna be a blowout, I'd do a money line. So this is gonna be the end of chapter five. About to scroll down to the next page. Alright, I'm running up into chapter six. So this is the end of chapter five for soccer.