8/4/26 (Short) - 🚨 JAKE CLAVER WAS RIGHT: XRP 100X SETUP ACTIVATED! 🚨 JAPAN REVERSE CARRY TARDE BEGINS NOW!

Today we will be discussing…

//// T I M E C O D E S

0:00 - HOW DOES JAPAN UNWIND PUSH XRP PRICE HIGHER!?
01:41 - SHOW STARTS: JAPAN UNWIND IS HERE, U.S. STEPS IN!
04:00 - CLARITY ACT UPDATE, VOTE INCOMING THIS WEEK!?
05:44 - JAPAN TRADE IS STARTING, TRUMP SAYS THEY NEEDED HELP!
06:44 - JAKE CLAVER EXPLAINS JAPAN REVERSE CARRY TRADE & XRP IMPACT!
17:12 - JAKE CLAVER WAS RIGHT: XRP 100X SETUP ACTIVATED!

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Transcript

SPEAKER_01 0:00

Can you explain exactly how the first carry trade helps XRP go up in price? High level, I call it the domino theory. Put it out 18 months ago. The Bank of Japan raises interest rates aggressively because of oil, I think, is going to spike and it's going to cause them to have to because of the inflation in their economy. That causes their bond rates to rise to the point where it's more advantageous to hold their own debt than U.S. debt. So $1.2 to $1.6 trillion of U.S. treasuries flows onto the market. Luckily, this didn't happen last year and they were able to stall it. Now that we have the stable coin or the genius bill that's been passed here in the U.S., we have enough demand to be able to soak up those treasuries for the issuance of stable coins. Make of America, City, Goldman, all the big boys will soak up those treasuries, stabilize the bond market, but that doesn't help stocks. I think that you're also going to see Tether take a big hit. You're going to see Bitcoin drop, gold drop, which a 30% drop in both of those assets would cause Tether to It'll be a death spiral on Tether, in my opinion, which will have huge implications for the crypto market. They'll roll the BlackRock XRP ETF alongside the other ETFs. It'll hit a supply shock crisis moment where they've eaten all the XRP off of the exchanges or all off of the OTC desk in the dark pools. They'll hit the exchanges for the last billion XRP that's available. Price will skyrocket, FOMA will ensue. Everybody else will be freaking out because the stock market and everything else is collapsing. They'll move back into the stock market to instant settlement to be able to mitigate the risk and settle the Bitcoin ETFs real time to be able to de-risk from the situation that'll transpire there. The only way they're going to be able to do that is to use XRP. So they're going to have to drive enough liquidity into it around at least $100 per XRP in order to be able to facilitate the settlement real time on the back end of the stock market.

SPEAKER_02 1:41

Massive update for American crypto investors. The reverse carry trade is here. And during today's episode, we're going to be breaking down how something just happened outside of the XRP community that almost nobody else is connecting the dots on. The United States just intervened to support the Japanese yen, a moment that we've been waiting for for the better half of a year. Trump confirmed this latest update himself as the United States stepped in to help Japan prop up its currency after the yen hit multi-decade lows. Coordinated action, real intervention, and this is the kind of move that we almost never see. Now, right now, the mainstream media is treating this like just another currency story. But if you've been following the Jake Claver theory, this is not another currency story. This is the reverse carry trade flashing in real time. And for years, Jake has been outlining the same sequence. Decades of free money borrowing the yen deployed across the entire financial system, stocks, bonds, real estate, and everything was purchased all around the world. When that trade finally unwinds in a disorderly way, the system is going to need a neutral, ultra-fast volume bridge asset to move volume and settle risk in real time. This is the moment that the XRP token was built for. And while everybody else is arguing about charts and timelines, the yen has been screaming for help. Japan is one of the largest holders of US treasuries, and a full-blown carry trade unwind forces massive treasury selling, higher US yields, and a liquidity crunch that traditional Rails simply cannot handle. So where are we at now? The United States just publicly stepped in to stabilize the yen. And this is not a random act of friendship. This is the exact signal that shows that pressure has gotten real enough for the world's reserve currency to intervene. And according to the framework that Jake Claver has been presenting for years, this is one of the final pieces of the puzzle finally falling in place. The reverse carry trade, it's no longer theoretical. The intervention is the acknowledgement. And XRP has been sitting there, battle-tested and purpose-billed, waiting for this exact moment for the community. So this is the moment that many of us have been waiting for, and it's correlating with the Clarity Act Week perfectly. So let's break down exactly what happened inside of Japan and how it ties directly into what Jake Claver has been outlining for the better half of two years. Hello and welcome back to another episode of Good Evening Crypto, your favorite crypto news related channel. If you enjoy this content, smash that like button and subscribe as you're gonna get an update every single day, 5 30 p.m. Eastern time. And we're gonna waste no time diving straight into the content we have prepared for today, but I would encourage all of our listeners to stick around until the end of the episode so you can have a full understanding of just how the reverse carry trade is set to impact the XRP token. But to kick off today's show, I wanted to give you guys a really brief update on the state of the Clarity Act today. Although this specific episode is gonna be focused on the reverse carry trade in Japan, the Clarity Act is the number one thing crypto investors are focused on right now. And I wanted to remind our listeners that this is the week to get it done. As Forbes just reported a brand new piece stating the Clarity Act for Digital Assets is still in play. Now, here's what Ondo CEO had to say: a bill is dead when people leave, and there are still a lot of people who care about this bill in Washington, D.C. If this gets signed into law, the Clarity Act would define digital asset rules, end years of regulatory uncertainty, establish clear SEC and CFTC guidelines, and most importantly, open the institutional door for large companies to participate in this asset class. Every step towards clarity is a step towards bringing the world's largest financial markets on chain. And as we're witnessing in Washington, D.C. today, full momentum is behind this bill. And we had several different senators go onto Fox Business today and state now is the time to get a vote. And that's what I'm anticipating later on this week. Now, we also had Senator Thune come out and make the public announcement. We will be getting a Clarity Act vote before the end of this calendar week. And this is very essential. As we know, Congress leaves for their August recess starting on August 7th. So if the closure is filed in the next 24 hours, that means that the Clarity Act is on pace to have an official vote kick off this Friday. And if that gets you guys excited, smash that like button and leave some of your thoughts underneath the video. I would love to hear, do you believe we're gonna get a Clarity Act vote before the August recess? But with that being said, we're gonna start breaking down exactly what's happening inside of Japan as the reverse carry trade is beginning to unwind before our very eyes. And you don't have to take our word for it. The president of the United States was speaking on this issue just a couple of days ago. Now, President Trump speaks on why the US intervened to support Japan. They have a weakening yen and they wanted a little bit of help. We're always there to help our friends in Japan. Japan has been very good to us, with the exception, of course, of Pearl Harbor. It's also good for the world economy. Now, why does this impact XRP investors? Because our friend Jake Claver has been outlining for the better half of two years that the reverse carry trade was this once-in-a-lifetime historic catalyst that was gonna reshape global financial markets. And after the United States intervened yesterday, Jake Claver confirmed the first domino has fallen. And that's what we're gonna be breaking down for the next portion of today's episode, guys. So if you're excited about this, smash that like button and leave some of your thoughts underneath the video. Here's what Jake Claver had to say about the state of the reverse carry trade just last night.

SPEAKER_01 6:43

Uh, where are we at? Well, the US and Japan are now coordinating efforts to intervene in the currency market in order to continue to prop up the reverse carry trade. You know things are on their last leg when now they're coming out and telling everybody, like Besson is saying, look, like we've had to coordinate this, Trump has made comments on it. This is much scarier than a lot of people are portraying it to be. So if this doesn't tell you that this is a big problem and it's really serious, I don't know what will. There, there are a lot of people out there that say that this is going to be a controlled unwind, it's not gonna be that big a deal, and you know, it's already unwound or this isn't gonna be an issue. With all that said, I do encourage people to go listen to other people. Uh, I I am one perspective that's out there. Um, but I will say that I try to look across all the other intelligent people that I hold my regard and put together the puzzle because a lot of them have blinders on, they they know their specific piece of the puzzle, and then I try to take all those puzzle pieces and put together the bigger puzzle, which is really the macro. So what's up, man? Appreciate you. All right. So on that, um they've now intervened and in a big way, they've strengthened the yen. This is what we've been waiting on, just so you guys know. I thought it was gonna be they raise interest rates and it was gonna move aggressively. It's already starting to move aggressively. I haven't looked at the yen. Uh actually, I'm I've got it here on the screen. So it is trending up. We haven't seen it continue to collapse here. Um, but what Besson has done and the US have done is they've allowed Japan to post their treasuries from the Bank of Japan as collateral in the repo market in order to be able to borrow dollars to then sell those and buy yen in order to be able to prop up their currency. And we've already seen it appreciate against the dollar, again, pretty rapidly. And so this is the start. Whether you guys want to believe it or not, that's okay. It's going to get much, much worse because now there's additional leverage. Before, it was a lot of leverage. I mean, it's close to $10 trillion that the Bank of Japan has allowed people to borrow with, you know, almost no interest over the last couple of decades that has been put to work in markets, it's all over the world. There's tons of leverage built into all the markets all over the world. Doesn't matter where you put your money, there's leverage. So when this does unwind, everybody's gonna have to sell those assets. We've been through this many times, but for those that are new here, the reverse carry trade is basically there's a margin call. People are upside down on their loans, and when they rush to pay those loans back, it's a self-fulfilling prophecy that it gets worse and worse and worse for the people that are later to that game. Um, this will add additional pressure to that, and it could cause clearing delays. I wonder what can solve clearing delays in the currency market. So they're posting those colon, those their bonds, the Japanese bonds, as collateral with repo over here in the US. They're borrowing dollars, they're selling dollars for yen in order to be able to buy the yen and support their own currency. And what this does, it softens the blow for a little bit here. So the biggest concern is the treasury market. It's the bedrock, it is the backbone of the financial market. If that goes, we're done. So, and the US knows that, Japan knows that, and that's why they haven't allowed the reverse carry trade to unwind. Tomorrow is the two-year anniversary of when it started to unwind in 2024. So we'll see if anything happens this week. There seems to be a lot of people out there on the charts and other people talking about the next you know seven to ten days, we could see some pretty significant action. So, but they've they've pledged that as collateral, they're borrowing dollars. And what this does is it keeps those treasuries from being sold onto the market and spiking our yields. Because if Japan dumps all of their treasuries to swap to dollars to buy the yen, then all those treasuries float onto the market. Right now we don't have buyers for those treasuries because we still don't have guidance from the stablecoin act. The OCC, the Fed, the Treasury, FDIC, they haven't come out with their guidelines. So banks are still on the sideline, not issuing stable coins at scale. Until that happens, which they've been very methodical about this, I told you guys, I think that they're gonna put that in place and then they'll let this go because we need demand domestically for those treasuries. Otherwise, the Fed has to print more currency and then we go into hyperinflation. We don't want that either. Uh, but if the bond yields spike, that makes it more difficult for people to borrow money. If you want to get a mortgage or refinance your house or go to the bank, business loans, all that stuff, much much more expensive. It also makes it more expensive for the US to service their own debt to those counterparties that are holding it, right? So they need stability in the bond market. And this is a way to mitigate the risk of Japan liquidating those treasuries because they're posting them as collateral. We talk about this all the time. Borrow against your assets instead of selling them if you think that they're going to appreciate in value. But that doesn't mean other people won't. There are a lot of other people that borrowed yen to swap to dollars to buy US treasuries to print you know the spread there. They borrowed at 1% and they're making five. They're really happy with that. That's basically free money, that 4% spread that they're making. That's contracting. Bond yields in Japan as those rise. So as people sell these Japanese bonds uh and they raise interest rates, you're going to see those rates climb. And eventually they're going to be close to what we have in here in the US, and then people will be dumping US bonds in order to be able to buy treasuries. So if they're not dumping treasuries, they're borrowing against them, their bond yields still rise. The linchpin here, two things. We need stablecoin clarity around how to issue stable coins for the banks, and we are going to see a spike in oil. That spike in oil is going to be massive at this point. I speculate, I don't know for sure, I have no way to know this, but if we were the US to stop exporting oil to the rest of the world because our reserves are too low, they're the lowest that they've been since 1983. And you can imagine how much more infrastructure and energy is required to facilitate business here in the US than in 1983. So if at some point we're gonna have to stop exporting. Right now, we're the largest exporter of oil in the world, both those straits are now shut down. This bad situation. So at some point, we're gonna have to restrict that. That means oil is going to spike. We'll probably be okay here in the US because we can make our own oil and refine it and do all this stuff. And we also took Venezuela. So we kind of mitigated that risk for ourselves. The rest of the world is in for hurting on energy. And that is going to put Japan in the corner where they're gonna have to raise interest rates. That is the piece that's I still think going to unwind this whole deal, and it is gonna be predicated on oil spiking. And now that there's additional leverage and they're not selling those treasuries, they're posting them as collateral. Uh, if the collateral on either side were to drop in value anywhere when there's leverage, you have to post more collateral. Otherwise, you get liquidated, right? Like you guys know that with margin, if you're playing with margin and crypto, you gotta post a certain amount of collateral. If it moves too much, they ask you to post more collateral. If you borrow against your assets and they fall in value, same thing. So, and that's the risk, right? When you're doing either one of those things. So you need to understand that. But I want to I want to simplify this for you guys because you know, I was talking to my son this weekend, and if you can't explain the global financial system or what's going on to a child, you probably don't really understand it yourself. And so for him, I had to create an analogy that, like, he doesn't have all this context. We we do a lot of education here and in the mastermind. Uh, you guys, you know, probably have become much more familiar with macroeconomics and how all this stuff works in the financial system than you were before you start watching this channel and other people are investing in crypto. So for him, I said, hey, look, okay, imagine the total global financial system is an upside-down pyramid, which it pretty much is. The whole system is held up by US Treasuries, it is the little pointy point, the bottom of the pyramid. And then there's derivatives and other things that are built off of that. And the derivatives market is the top part, it's the huge part, it's the biggest market in the world. If US Treasuries were to have problems during this scenario, and I'm not saying the Fed goes insolvent or you know, bad things happen, the US has defaulted on our promises twice in our history. But if that were to occur again, treasuries are the bedrock of this. And if there's not something underneath that, in order to be able to support everything, like I said before, it it is a Mad Max scenario. Markets collapse globally, we move into a depression, it's gonna be a bad situation for everybody. So they they need to swap that out. They need to swap the bottom piece of the pyramid out. Uh, the analogy I use in Mastermind this morning. Um, and again, this I'm I'm oversimplifying this to be able to provide a visual and an analogy for people. But I don't know if you've ever watched, most people would have watched this on here. Indiana Jones, when he's searching for the treasure and it's on that like pedestal and he's swapping out the sack with the thing that he's trying to get. That's how I view this game. And that's oversimplified. I do think that XRP will end up premium collateral, be the backbone of the financial system, all those things. And we're starting to see that with some of the announcements that REPL's making, and we'll get into those here in a minute. So for the life of me, I could not figure out why they tokenized the treasury market first. Like, that's the most liquid market in the world. What possible benefit would tokenizing treasuries have that they don't already have? Okay, you could trade them, you know, a little bit more outside those hours, but they have repo, like I said. And fractional treasuries, I maybe, you know, the people that are playing in that market are big players. It's not like they can't afford the treasuries that they're buying. The reason they did that, and the reason that those settle on the XRPL already through Ondo and the other people that have tokenized treasuries, is so that this liquidity layer is already underneath it for when all this happens. Like I had this epiphany in the last 24 hours. Because, like I said, I have been racking my brain on why they would tokenize treasuries first. There's so many other things that are completely illiquid that would the blockchain and smart contracts and all this stuff would be a much better solution for. Why would they start there? Because they had to. They knew that this was coming and they needed some way to be able to slide in XRP and the XRPL underneath treasuries for when there's a situation like this that comes about because of the reverse carry trade and all this leverage that's in the system. Slime ball. So that's where I think we're at. Um, and hopefully that's a good, you know, analogy and visual for you guys to be able to look at how the global financial system is built. Treasuries are the crux of everything that we do. And if those default or there's an issue with them, then we have to have something else that's a bedrock or more solid foundation to be able to prop everything up.

SPEAKER_02 16:51

And so Jake did a phenomenal job explaining from point A to point B exactly how this whole thing is gonna go down and how the US treasury market is the linchpin for the entire global reverse carry trade to unwind. And that's why we're seeing companies like JP Morgan begin to tokenize United States treasuries on the XRP ledger and test this process before it unfolds. So, for the next portion of today's show, now we're gonna be breaking down exactly how this is set to impact the XRP price chart. And once again, this is where it gets really exciting for the XRP community. But if you guys are excited and you enjoy this content, smash that like button and leave some of your thoughts underneath the video. Here's Jake explaining how the reverse carry trade increases the value of XRP.

SPEAKER_01 17:29

Can you explain exactly how the reverse carry trade helps XRP go up in price? High level. I call it the domino theory. Put it out 18 months ago. The Bank of Japan raises interest rates aggressively because of oil, I think, is going to spike and it's going to cause them to have to because of the inflation in their economy. That causes their bond rates to rise to the point where it's more advantageous to hold their own debt than U.S. debt. So $1.2 to $1.6 trillion of U.S. treasuries flows onto the market. Luckily, this didn't happen last year and they were able to stall it. Now that we have the stable coin or the genius bill that's been passed here in the U.S., we have enough demand to be able to soak up those treasuries for the issuance of stable coins. Make of America, City, Goldman, all the all the big boys will soak up those treasuries, stabilize the bond market, but that doesn't help stocks. I think that you're also going to see Tether take a big hit. You're going to see Bitcoin drop, gold drop, which a 30% drop in both of those assets would cause Tether to It'll be a death spiral on Tether, in my opinion, which will have huge implications for the crypto market. They'll roll the BlackRock XRP ETF alongside the other ETFs. It'll hit a supply shock crisis moment where they've eaten all the XRP off of the exchanges or all off of the OTC desk in the dark pools. They'll hit the exchanges for the last billion XRP that's available. Price will skyrocket, FOMA will ensue. Everybody else will be freaking out because the stock market and everything else is collapsing. They'll move back into the stock market to instant settlement to be able to mitigate the risk and settle the Bitcoin ETFs real time to be able to de-risk from the situation that'll transpire there. And the only way they're going to be able to do that is to use XRP. So they're going to have to drive enough liquidity into it around at least $100 per XRP in order to be able to facilitate the settlement real time on the back end of the stock market.

SPEAKER_02 19:10

So this really is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity that's unfolding before our very eyes, Johnny Crypto. And it's all structured around the free money coming out of the country of Japan being shut down here in the calendar year of 2026. And although experts have been predicting exactly how this thing is going to unfold, it is very much reassuring to see Jake be proven correct once again, pointing out the fact that President Trump had to intervene on the reverse carry trade and even went as far as to address it on Fox Business earlier this week, guys. So this is the moment we've all been waiting for. And I don't believe in coincidences, Johnny, just unrecognized patterns. It is so interesting to me that just as the Clarity Act is being voted on and this guidance is about to come out of the OCC, we also see the Japan reverse carry trade beginning to unwind. And so for me personally, my eyes are on the road. I think big things are not only happening behind the scenes, but this really is that once-in-a-lifetime moment that we've all been waiting for. And this is going to be make or break over these next six to eight months. If the reverse carry trade unwinds and they don't select the blockchain product, that's going to provide our answer right there. But if the reverse carry trade does begin to unwind, and Jake's analogy about Indiana Jones swapping the US Treasury market for these new tokenized assets, that could be the once-in-a-lifetime financial flip that the entire global market has been waiting for. And my speculation has always been it wasn't going to be able to get done without the Clarity Act. But here we are with the SEC, the OCC, the CFTC all providing guidance, we do have the necessary regulatory guidelines in order to facilitate something like this under an emergency situation. So I want to hear from you guys. Leave some of your thoughts underneath the video. But Johnny, floor is yours.

SPEAKER_00 20:40

You know, Abs, this is one of those things where it's no, it reminds me of the 2008 housing crash, where we had a big housing crash and the liquidity dried up and it was there was no liquidity for the bond market whatsoever. And that's where a solution like this could have came in handy at that point in time. So that's kind of what just to help people understand that's what Jake's talking about, a crisis that could occur. And if it does, then obviously XRP can come in and provide the liquidity for it. So you just have to understand that this is this is a speculation, right? A speculation of what he thinks could potentially happen. And if that does happen, then you certainly can see XRP being a potential solution for providing that liquidity. Now, I guess I'm just one of those guys that you know doesn't want to see another housing crash crisis market occur. And I think that the rest of it see the difference here, Abs, and this is the part I struggle with, is nobody saw the housing crash come because nobody knew what the ratings were of all these crap mortgages that they were bundling together and selling to people and the Mickey Mouse and the dead people. The reality is on the on the reason the thing I struggle with, and I'm just providing the contrarian side to the argument, is to me I look at it and say everybody knows the Japan uh carry online trade is there. Everybody knows about it. It's no secret, it's no surprise, it's no shock. And you can see the president even had to intervene because they understand the impact of what happens if you don't, and so to me, I just can't see governments allowing that to happen because they can see it coming. So that's the one thing I I I just for me. I'm struggling with understanding how would they just let this happen? I just don't think they're going to, but if they do, well, then there you go, Jake's solution can come true and could provide a potential solution for liquidity in that event. I'm just not sure governments are going to allow that to happen because there's too much at stake. But who knows? We saw what happened in 2008. Housing crisis was too big to fail, and they came in and bailed them out. Maybe the same thing happens here. Time will tell, my friend. But at least the difference is not we have a liquidity solution if that would happen on a blockchain.

SPEAKER_02 22:45

I totally agree. And Johnny, I just don't think that governments have as much control over these capital markets as you give them credit for. Because look at what happened in Iran with the spike in oil. This had a cascading effect in Japan. That yes, maybe the XRP community, a few thousand investors who watch our channel and Jake's, yeah, these are a small group of very niche investors who follow these macroeconomic circumstances. But if you go into the grocery store and talk to the average American about the reverse carry trade, 99% of people have never heard of this event. And I think it's undeniable that the fact that the United States had to intervene shows that we're at a breaking point where we are at the last resort. They're using everything they can to prevent this thing from unwinding and eventually they may run out of solutions. But I also agree with Johnny that the premise is blockchain products were built for this moment, and that's what will provide the solution. If you enjoyed this content, smash that like button, subscribe to the channel, and we'll see you all in the next one. So if you're looking to implement the same strategies that we do here on Good Evening Crypto, I would encourage all of our listeners to click on the iTrust Capital link below and sign up to take advantage of tax-free crypto gains. Now, that's not the best part. By leveraging the iTrust link below, you're gonna get a hundred dollar free signup bonus to start funding your iTrust Capital account. This is gonna give our listeners access to crypto assets in a Roth IRA product, allowing them to compound those gains tax free until they're 59 years old and held these funds for five years. So a really unique advantage. So if you're excited about the future of digital assets, I would encourage everybody to sign up for iTrust Capital so you can take advantage of those compounding gains tax free.