Keith Smith of BeatTheCasino.com - Baccarat and Blackjack Strategy Discussion

Interview with Professional Player Kachatz1 from BeatTheCasino.com

January 11, 2020 Keith Smith Season 2 Episode 2
Keith Smith of BeatTheCasino.com - Baccarat and Blackjack Strategy Discussion
Interview with Professional Player Kachatz1 from BeatTheCasino.com
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Speaker 1:

Okay. Keith here for BT casino. Wanted to check back in with you. We have the amazing catches one in Las Vegas, our Las Vegas resident expert, a professional baccarat player, instructor, teacher all around. Guru Kevin, how are you out in Vegas today? Dylan? Great case. Yeah, it has to be warmer out there than here on the East coast. I'll tell you, I miss Vegas. I got to get back out. So, you know, you've been calling me telling me that some players have been stopping out. That's always a good thing. There's nothing like playing in Vegas is the place to play. Uh, I know we've had some, uh, a lot of activity on the form. We have the new visual 87% solution that everybody's just kind of Raven about. We can't get enough information out to people about it. I mean, uh, I know we've been, uh, looking at it and I think the visual representation is kind of a great way to look at it. You know, we do have a lot of men in, in our forum, um, uh, male players. And of course, you know, as males we need pictures. Women can actually read. Um, so, uh, anyway, uh, the visual 87% solution, I know you were playing last night, Kevin, with a couple of players out there, how it go. Did you use the visual 87%?

Speaker 2:

Yeah, what I was trying to do was, um, I was, uh, actually played five D[inaudible] and explaining to the individual that as with who's, you know, new to the forum, right. Uh, noodle Las Vegas, although he's lived here before, but he just moved back. Um, but I was trying to explain to him how, how were the 87% solution came out of my use of five day. And I realized we'd had that discussion a couple of years ago, absolutely. About how do we make something a little more simple that people could still use. This is still, you know, focuses on the math of the game. Because to me that's really, you know, that's a, that's a solid basis for making, you know, for decision making. You know, whether to bet how much to bet, you know, whatever. Yeah. And so I was trying to explain how that, and then the twos, you know, the thing that Jimmy black right did, how it all kinda ties together. And um, between that, those couple of things that struck, you know, a little bit of strong side and then being able to observe in a watch and know when the shoe is changing, you know, and, and know what that change in the shoe can mean. You know, in terms of bedding strategy.

Speaker 1:

Yeah. I think, I think, I think, uh, you know, you're spot on there with uh, with uh, you know, the math of the game and stuff. And you know, I think too, one of the things that we talked about is to your point, a couple things there that, you know, as a player for BT casino you always want to have kind of like an open mind to what is, what's your watching for is the turn in the game. You want to have patients. And I know, you know, we talked about patients and impulsive betters quite bit and uh, you know, if you get people to actually concentrate on the statistics and look for a good reason to bet an 87% is a great way. I've seen some great 87% solution games where people have really capitalized. So not of course not every game. Okay. Right? And that's the first lesson is that we, you can't just take one system and approach it and say, I'm going to play this in every game there. There are games that it works great in and there are games you want to look for another solution. Uh, but the 87% has certainly been one of the most consistent. And also when we combine it with the visual aspect of it, uh, of how to actually look at things, it, it really makes for a dynamic strategy. Where, where did you guys play last night? Where you at the gold coast?

Speaker 2:

We were at the gold coast. I like it. I like it because we did several things. And again, this was a person relatively new. He's not new to BlackRock per se. He joined, he joined the Fort. Just joined. He did. Yeah, exactly. And um, the, you know, he's been over to the house a few times and you know, he's just at the point where he's really wanting now to start betting, but he, you know, is concerned with his decision making skills. And um, you know, the, the gold coast to me is a very manageable, easy place to not only, you know, pick a table to play it, but also you can walk around and you can observe. I can show people, and I do this all the time. I say, look, that's where, that's where the twos, look at those twos, look at that nine out of the last 10 hands or 10 events and had, you know, have gone from one to two. And when you see that and then you go to the next table and there's a good example of the ones going to two all the time or, or the twos going to three, you know, um,

Speaker 1:

time. Yeah. Jimmy did a great study on that. Uh, did it, did a lot of, a lot of study on that, uh, look, use this strategic baccarat interface. So it was real shoes. It wasn't just random numbers. Generators, uh, uh, mean we did a wonderful study and I, I'd be remissed to, if I wouldn't mention, uh, you know, x.net two with is a kind of a xDB strategy with, with the repeats. And what kind of ties in really nicely with it too is I know Jimmy concentrated right specifically on, on the multiple twos and xDB is more of a, when are repeats and when they're attached type strategies. So, you know, we have all those guys looking at the game from just about every possible angle and it's great to absorb all that information all based upon, you know, a lot of the traditional strategies that we, uh, that we talk about all the time. So, so great stuff with all that. Of course, that's all available in the forum. And, uh, you know, uh, you know, we really appreciate you out there in Vegas as a professional player helping the folks out there. Go ahead, please.

Speaker 2:

Well, it's, you know, it's, uh, um, it's really of my pleasure and more importantly, it actually helps me. And what I mean by that is, is by explaining to somebody, you know, how I have, you know, evolved with the game over the last 30 years. And then it reminds me of, uh, I think, you know, I've heard this said before about other things, you know, there's, I've probably forgotten more than a lot of people will ever know that's back riding, you know what I mean? And so it helps me when I'm explaining to somebody, um, you know, about the, you know, whether it's visual 87, five D little more complicated, but it's going to give you a better information, um, you know, things like that or the twos, which is our very simple strategy, you know, to observe and monitor. Um, it helps me to know that, yeah, I have to do that still. I have to remind myself, which is why I put together that bucks bike ride Bible, um, that we use last March at the, uh, you know, sunrise Vegas. And so when I meet with people, I give him a copy of that and we go through and I say, look, okay, you don't have to do everything at the time, these two pieces of paper. Okay. But you do need to be familiar with things like strong side. You have to know what that is. You have to know how to observe and monitor the shoe to see when it changing. You know it's going from one, two, one, two, one, two and then all of a sudden it's three, four, five, six. You know, the events get a lot longer. And then it goes back to a one, one, one, one, one, one one. And we saw that one of the shoes last night and I, I pointed out to this individual that's speaking with, I said, look, there it is right there. You know, and that's what I like about the gold coast. Even walk around and see this stuff. Nobody cares that you're, you know, standing there watching because that's cause that's what everybody does and you know, they walk so, and they're nobody's out yet the gold coast either too, because you can reach over and make bats. And as long as you know, the etiquette is never bet against the player who, who, uh, you know, whatever side they bet on. Find somebody who, who the side you want to bet on is with the same sign as that. You know, there's a lot of superstition of baccarat, but, but again, it's, it's a great place. Nobody cares what you do. And, uh, it is a great place. And to your point, we have the big table selection. They're not, not to, I mean, there are other great places to play all over in Vegas and I do play all over. I know. You're right. The red rock the other day had a great shoe. You posted a really good shoe at the red rock, um, at which was a followed up by a couple of days earlier, having a really good run at the gold coast. Yeah. Um, you know, but there's a Ram park casinos not too far from a, um, I been down to the Venetian Palazzo when I want to get involved with the stadium bike rack. I know Stacy, you guys great. Yeah. Cause they've got four, you know, they got two live dealers each deal in to uh, choose at the same time. And um, you know, she can play, he can play four games and um, in those four games, you're gonna spot, you're going to, you're going to see these opportunistic places to make them back. You know, you're going to see a string of two, so you're going to see a string or whatever. You know. And the one thing that I think I'd like to maybe kind of wrap all this around, um, the, I started looking at real closely is everything really hinges from the one. And what I mean by that is, you know, if you look along the top of the bike rack card at the top of the tote board, whatever, you know, it's a, in the casino, most of this, the, the uh, betting strategies we're using. Okay. In terms of when to place bets. It depends on when it switches from one side to the next. So Goshen banker to player or it goes from player to banker, you know, so that first, you know, first entry, it's uncut, it's going to be an unconfirmed event of one, but everything's going to, you know, hinge on that. And if you follow that across and base, you know, most of these strategies are based on what happens to the ones, the twos, the series, you know, but you've got to have a one first. Well, you know, meaning a switch. Yeah, that's right. So, you know, with

Speaker 1:

the stadium baccarat of the niche, that of philosophy, there's two kinds. I see when I play, uh, you know, we have, uh, over here in Pennsylvania we have the, uh, what was the old sands, which is now, uh, wind Creek bought them and they have the stadium baccarat there. Um, and as they have it up there is the same as in Vegas. And the Palazzo is they have a dedicated dealer for the stadium baccarat. They just, and they usually deal too at the same time. They go from one, they deal that game and then they go to the other. And then there's the other one that they have locally here at uh, in Granville, Pennsylvania where they actually[inaudible] some of the casinos in Lake city. I guess that broadcast out, if I'm not mistaken, they have the camera on the game, on the floor, you know. Um, so the, the, the rub with that is the ones that have the dedicated dealer for just the stadium tend to be a little quicker, you know, and of course that's what they had in Macau too. And the ones on the table, although they're timed okay, they tend to be a lot slower. Cause a lot of times you'll find yourself waiting for people at the table to make a bet. So if you'd like a little slower game, it's better to play the ones that have the camera on the table. Uh, but you know, the thing with the Palazzo and the Venetian and the other places where their stadium, you're able to see a lot of games really quickly and you can look in a lot of games and pick your, pick your spot, which I think is a huge advantage too, especially to our style of play where we're trying to find certain situations and triggers as we call them, that correct that we like to play with. So, so stadium bok arise, it's just kind of a great thing that came about for players. There's no doubt about that. And it's comfortable too. I mean, you know, and plus folks who are just starting out, if you want to play at a$5 level, that's absolutely no problem at all to sit there and play and, and, and simply have some fun

Speaker 2:

of course. And you don't, and you don't have to bet every hand that there's nobody tapping you on the shoulder saying, Hey, you know, you need a bet. You need a bet. You know, so you could sit there and really learn a lot just by watching, you know, live shoes unfolding. But also, uh, improve your, the, the, the speed at which you can, you know, look at all these things, you know, not necessarily making that bet all the time to do any of, but you can assimilate and you could feel what it's really like to play within a casino without, to your point, having to play higher stakes or whatever.

Speaker 1:

Yeah, absolutely. So it's, I just love stadium baccarat. Um, so, so the other thing that we're talking about, I had a post from a elegant one the other day and uh, she's been a member for quite some time. She came and then she came back and I, I was really impressed with what she wrote. You know, she kind of fell victim to the, uh, uh, make a million dollar quick scheme that you see on the internet all the time about guys that teach you how to win and you never have to work in all this. And then, you know, of course after buying into it, she came back and said that, you know, that this forum beat the casino is probably one of the best places to learn how to play. Because, you know, it takes a little bit of effort, a little bit of time to sit down and learn all the strategies and we actually try to make you, and I, I think you would agree, we try to make you into a system designer for that one shoe that you're playing. We want you to know all the statistics that we look at, whether it be 87% twos or whatever you're looking at and be able to develop a strategy for that game you're in. And I think, uh, you know, her post about that was, you know, she thanked us off cause that's the best way to play in. The best way to learn is just gather all the information you can from, you know, players in our forum who know how to win and who know how to play the game and been through every system. I mean, we have every system in the world. Let's face maybe a little different name, a little twist, but, uh, you know, we have the mall and uh, you know, the idea is to know when to apply that system to a specific game. So it was really refreshing to hear someone, uh, actually verbalize that and talk about, you know, her experience with winning and, and she's a member of our private forum, so, uh, good stuff from, from elegant one down there in Florida.

Speaker 2:

Well, well, and I know, you know, I, um, everybody that, uh, you know, I talked with, with whether it'd be on the phone or they come to Las Vegas and, you know, whatever, um, you know, I, I almost insist that they utilize SBI for practice because it's such a valuable tool to learn in a comforter or your home, so to speak. But also these are real shoes that have been bed plate from all over the world. And, uh, it's, it's, you know, this is real

Speaker 1:

stuff and it's broken down by casino. So if you have, your casino is probably listed in this strategic right of face. And you know, Kevin too, there's a thread we've been working on with some of our professional players and, uh, part-time professionals and, and I, you know, a professional gets thrown around, like anybody who takes the game seriously. It is is like looking at the statistics and really trying to analyze and win. You know, I call it professional, but, um, we have the hundred shoe challenge, you know, and it's to go in there and play a hundred shoes and keep track of how you would do and you can do it in SBI. And then of course you want to take that and translate it to the casino environment so that you do it with real money. But I think one of the things that I always try to impress upon folks is that, and I know you do too, is you've got to keep score. You gotta get your scorecard out. You got to keep track of where you're at day over day and, and know, you know, what percentage of the hands you're winning and what percentage of hands you're losing. Now with you, it's pretty easy because you advocate flat bedding. So however many chips you're up is, how many of you actually want less? The big of course. And, uh, you know, but a lot of folks, they'll go to the casino one day and you know, that's the first thing we try to change is, you know, keep track over day over day. And I know, and you know what, I have it here somewhere. Oh it's in the car. Cause I take it the casino you put together, there's packets to carry your casino cards in, put them in a spiral. Bounder so it's real important to keep track of where you're at so you know how to do it. Um, the other thing too I want to mention is, uh, if, if you have trouble getting to Vegas or uh, you know, trouble getting together with other players, but you want to learn, we also do the play sessions online. Every Monday night we get together, uh, in a, in a session, we deal real cards, we sit there and you get to talk to all the players. Uh, it's a great thing. You get to meet everybody. Um, and you can do it online right from the comfort of your home. Just like this. We deal real cards and talk about our strategies. So if there's every opportunity to learn it, be to casino, no doubt about that. Well, you know, Hey, what are you going to do? So well listen, Kevin, it's, it's great to see a thanks for keeping things rolling in Vegas. We're going to get out there sued, you know, I, we're going to have a seminar out there soon. As soon as I get some, uh, other things squared away with my wife getting her visa as, you know, uh, to be real. Uh, but I want to come out and we want to do something in Vegas again and get things rolling with the seminar. I really dig the artists and out there. I think we found a great place to have seminars that was really cool out there. And, uh, and uh, I'm itching to get some of that warm from the, from the sun and a winter time out there. So we'll have to do something out there. Well, listen, Kevin, thanks for everything you do. Any last thoughts and, and, uh, ideas here for the audience that's watching us?

Speaker 2:

Yeah, yeah. They they, the more you contribute your own, uh, uh, the good things you find, the bad things you find, the mistakes you made, the more you talk about it, the better off we can all help one another. And the, the better off you will be because you're going to learn more and learn, you know, absolutely not to make some of the same mistakes that you otherwise will repeat over and over and over. Now I know, I know.

Speaker 1:

Well, you know, I, I, you always get mad at me when I say it. Well, we're always looking for new members. New members are always welcome. Uh, we probably have yet to meet the best baccarat player in the world. Oh, I'm sorry. There I go again. He said, I've given up. Okay, well listen, Kevin, we'll talk to you soon again. It was great seeing you. Thanks for keeping Vegas alive for us out there. No problem, Kate. Thank you. Bye. Bye.