
Grain Markets and Other Stuff
Joe Vaclavik and Mackenzie Johnston discuss the grain markets, the business of farming, news related to agriculture, and a variety of other topics.
Grain Markets and Other Stuff
EU Deforestation Laws and Grain Exports + Corn Belt Rains
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0:00 EU Deforestation Law Impact
2:56 Corn Belt Rains
4:48 GDP Contraction
8:46 China PMI
9:46 Ethanol Production
10:50 Flash Sale
๐ชต EUโs New Deforestation Law ๐
The ๐ช๐บ EU is set to label the ๐บ๐ธ US as low-risk under its deforestation law, easing concerns for American exporters of beef, grain, and timber. Meanwhile, ๐ง๐ท Brazil is expected to be tagged standard-risk, which could hurt its soy and beef exports. A final vote is coming mid-May!
๐ง๏ธ Radar Watch: Corn Belt Rains ๐ฝ
Storms are active across parts of IA, IL, MN, MI & IN this morning, with 2โ3" possible in IL. More rain is on the way for the Eastern Corn Belt and Mid-South. US planting remains ahead of schedule โ see maps below! ๐
๐ US GDP Shrinks in Q1 ๐บ๐ธ
The US economy contracted 0.3% last quarter โ the first dip since 2022. A surge in imports (ahead of Trumpโs tariffs), weak consumer spending, and a drop in government outlays all played a role. Net exports shaved off nearly 5% from GDP, the worst since 1947! ๐ณ
๐ญ Chinaโs PMI Falls Below 50 ๐
Chinaโs manufacturing slipped back into contraction territory with a 49.0 PMI reading. Ongoing US-China tensions continue to weigh on trade and exports. Beijing may soon unveil new stimulus efforts. ๐
๐ข๏ธ Ethanol Update: Margins Near Breakeven ๐ถ
US ethanol output rose to 1.04M bpd last week. Stocks dipped slightly but remain elevated. Margins are tight, with the Eastern Corn Belt reporting the best profitability. โ๏ธ
๐ข Corn Flash Sale + Export Strength ๐
US exporters booked 120,000 MT of corn to unknown destinations for 24/25. Accumulated sales are up 26% YoY! With Brazil on hold until July, US corn is HOT on the world stage. ๐ฅ
Stay informed and make better marketing decisions with the data that matters. ๐ผ๐
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๐ฌ Drop your thoughts in the comments โ what do YOU think about the new EU rules?
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