Morning Bell 28 June

Between the Bells

Between the Bells
Morning Bell 28 June
Jun 28, 2023
Bell Direct

The local market returned to rally mode on Tuesday closing the session up 0.56% as a near 2% rise in real estate stocks lifted the market, while materials also added over 1.15% and financials closed up 0.66%.

As the cost-of-living pressures continue to bite, the flying kangaroo is flying higher than ever with demand for travel on Qantas remaining resilient as outlined by the airline yesterday in a May update to the market. Qantas said more than 4 million customers are expected to travel during the current school holidays on Qantas and Jetstar and overall demand remains strong as consumers continue to prioritise travel over other spending categories.

Bega Cheese shares also dipped on Tuesday after the dairy producer also released a trading update outlining that falling supply of Australian milk means it expects prices of milk to rise again in FY24, meaning Bega, as one of the largest buyers of farmgate milk in Australia, expects to report an impairment in the value of its build dairy business between $180m - $280m, with a clearer final figure expected when Bega receives the audited result for FY23 and will update the market when they have more clarity.

And for all the KFC chicken lovers out there, shares in Collins Foods, the operator of 272 KFC fast food restaurants in Australia, rocketed almost 16.5% yesterday after the company released full year results outlining revenue rose 14.2% to $1.349.5bn and an underlying net profit of $51.9m, which was down 12% YoY but beat expectations. Collins Foods warned inflation is set to remain sticky for the next 12-months due to persistent inflation in the costs of running the fried chicken outlets including wages, energy prices and input costs.

What to watch today:

  • Ahead of the local trading session the SPI futures are anticipating the ASX to open 0.37% higher on the back of the global rally overnight.
  • On the commodities front this morning oil is trading 2.76% lower at US$67.47/barrel as central global growth rate concerns offset upside momentum from Saudi Arabia’s production cuts coming into effect next week. Gold is trading 0.45% lower this morning at US$1914/ounce, and iron ore is down 1.75% at US$112.50/tonne.
  • AU$1.00 is buying US$0.67 , 96.33 Japanese Yen, 52.63 British Pence and NZ$1.08.
  • Australia’s monthly CPI indicator data for May is out today, with consensus expecting a decline to 6.1% for the month, down from 6.8% in April, which would indicate the RBA’s actions to hike rates is making a strong impact on cooling inflation, which has been particularly stubborn to tame especially for services and transport inflation.

Trading Ideas:

  • Bell Potter has downgraded the rating on Bega Cheese (ASX:BGA) to a Hold from a Buy, and decreased the price target on the cheese and dairy company from $4.00 to $3.50 following the company’s release of an update including a rise in farmgate milk prices, Australian milk solids appearing mispriced against export ingredient prices, impeding returns in bulk ingredients and the risk that more attractively priced offshore milk solids increasingly find their way into the domestic market, all leading to headwinds in some domestic revenue streams.
  • And Bell Potter has increased the price target on De Grey Mining (ASX:DEG) from $1.83 to $1.93 and maintain a speculative buy rating on the gold miner after the company released an updated Mineral Resource Estimate for its 100%-owned Mallina Gold Project, with the resource now standing at 278 million tonnes @1.3g/t of gold for 11.7 million ounces contained, representing a 10% increase in contained ounces from the prior Mallina Gold Project Mineral Resource Estimate.