Re-Opening: Understanding Risk, NY state antibody testing, Italian data

North Carolina
https://www.ncdhhs.gov/divisions/public-health/covid19/covid-19-nc-case-count#by-age
Age of Infected:
0-17:2%
18-24:7%
25-49:40%
50-64:28%50-infinity: 52%
65+:24%

Deaths:
 Deaths by Age Group
 0-24    0%
 25-29  4%
 50-64  11%
 65+     85%

•Remember U.K. statistics: 2 or more co-morbidities is HIGH risk.
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Dr. John Campbell recap: 24 April 2020

N.Y. state antibody testing and Data out of Italy

N.Y state antibody testing
Link: https://www.dropbox.com/s/cd1628cau09288a/SARS-CoV-2_Serology_Manuscript.pdf

•Randomized, 3000 people tested for antibodies to COVID-19
•Grocery stores/ Shopping areas.
•19 counties, 40 localities.
•13.9% of tested were positive for the antibody.
•21% in N.Y. city, single digits in other areas.
•Use this as an initial test to compare to upcoming data, need trends=more confidence.
•CFR: 0.72%     Deaths/ population NY state x 13.9%

Italy
https://www.epicentro.iss.it/coronavirus/sars-cov-2-decessi-italia

From a sample of 23188 lost souls to SARS_Cov2 (PCR tested)
Mean age: 79 y/o
Men: 63%  Women: 37%
Co-morbidities: 61% had 3+ co-morbidities, 21% had 2. (82% 2+)
Most common co-morbidities: 
•HTN: 69%
•CAD, Afib, Hx CA last 5y, Kidney issues: 20% range
•DM2: 30%
•Obesity: 12%
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Re_Opening Plans:

•Got to happen sometime
•We know the high-risk demographic
•The older with more co-morbidities
•Hand washing, masks to protect high risk, distancing
•Donning/Doffing