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S2 Underground

The Wire - April 22, 2024

April 22, 2024 S2 Actual
S2 Underground
The Wire - April 22, 2024
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S2 Underground
The Wire - April 22, 2024
Apr 22, 2024
S2 Actual

//The Wire//2130Z April 22, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: TENSIONS RISE IN AFRICA. CONGRESS HIGHLIGHTS D.C. PRIORITIES WITH LATEST BILLS. EARTHQUAKE STRIKES TAIWAN.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Niger: The situation remains tense following multiple developments in the region over the past few weeks. Following the coup last year, the status of American involvement in Niger has remained delicate, with the ruling military faction not approving of the American presence at Base 201, as well as in Niamey. A few weeks ago, Niger demanded that the United States leave Niger, and has (in effect) established a no-fly-zone over the base, preventing Americans from receiving logistical aid. Consequently, and after a few Congressmen were contacted by their constituents at the base, what has quietly become a large-scale hostage situation has become public.

Taiwan: This morning several earthquakes again struck the island, the strongest of which had an estimated magnitude of 5.8. Around a dozen separate earthquakes have been reported, which may be aftershocks related to the previous swarm of earthquakes.

-HomeFront-

Washington D.C. – Over the weekend, all of the recent allegedly hotly-contested bills passed in Congress. All of the funding bills passed with zero changes, along with the Tik-Tok ban bill, and the renewal of FISA Section 702 to continue warrantless surveillance of all Americans (except members of Congress). AC: Passing a bill to ban a social media app due to Chinese surveillance, while literally using the color of law to remove the 4th Amendment is not merely ironic, but a deliberate message to the American people. As illegal surveillance is an American pastime at this point, solidifying these actions publicly is merely ‘checking the box’ to improve the efficiency of the already-streamlined political targeting process.

The U.S. Equal Opportunity Employment Commission has sued the Sheetz gas station/convenience store chain, alleging that conducting background checks on employees is racial discrimination as employment is routinely denied to those with a long criminal record. This lawsuit comes less than 24 hours after Biden made a campaign stop at a Sheetz in Pittsburgh, which did not go as well as planned due to a lackluster response to his presence by staff and customers. AC: Though the implications of this lawsuit will potentially result in interpretations not intended by the White House, separately, the message to the American business owner is quite clear, especially those which may become host to a campaign event.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: The various factions at play in Niger have described the situation on the ground in vastly different ways. The Nigerien government has stated that they will agree to “release” 1,000 American “prisoners” at the base, in exchange for taking control of the airbase itself. From the American perspective, the situation is likely not that severe; the combat power at Base 201 (and at the Embassy in Niamey) is more than enough to decimate the majority of Niger’s military rather quickly. However, both military leaders and diplomats involved in the situation likely want to avoid this situation out of political convenience, which despite an American military advantage being obvious, can be made more militarily complicated by the Nigeriens. As America’s forays in Africa often meet unexpected and politically-impacting ends, it is likely that the U.S. seeks to withdraw from this base quietly. 

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Show Notes

//The Wire//2130Z April 22, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: TENSIONS RISE IN AFRICA. CONGRESS HIGHLIGHTS D.C. PRIORITIES WITH LATEST BILLS. EARTHQUAKE STRIKES TAIWAN.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Niger: The situation remains tense following multiple developments in the region over the past few weeks. Following the coup last year, the status of American involvement in Niger has remained delicate, with the ruling military faction not approving of the American presence at Base 201, as well as in Niamey. A few weeks ago, Niger demanded that the United States leave Niger, and has (in effect) established a no-fly-zone over the base, preventing Americans from receiving logistical aid. Consequently, and after a few Congressmen were contacted by their constituents at the base, what has quietly become a large-scale hostage situation has become public.

Taiwan: This morning several earthquakes again struck the island, the strongest of which had an estimated magnitude of 5.8. Around a dozen separate earthquakes have been reported, which may be aftershocks related to the previous swarm of earthquakes.

-HomeFront-

Washington D.C. – Over the weekend, all of the recent allegedly hotly-contested bills passed in Congress. All of the funding bills passed with zero changes, along with the Tik-Tok ban bill, and the renewal of FISA Section 702 to continue warrantless surveillance of all Americans (except members of Congress). AC: Passing a bill to ban a social media app due to Chinese surveillance, while literally using the color of law to remove the 4th Amendment is not merely ironic, but a deliberate message to the American people. As illegal surveillance is an American pastime at this point, solidifying these actions publicly is merely ‘checking the box’ to improve the efficiency of the already-streamlined political targeting process.

The U.S. Equal Opportunity Employment Commission has sued the Sheetz gas station/convenience store chain, alleging that conducting background checks on employees is racial discrimination as employment is routinely denied to those with a long criminal record. This lawsuit comes less than 24 hours after Biden made a campaign stop at a Sheetz in Pittsburgh, which did not go as well as planned due to a lackluster response to his presence by staff and customers. AC: Though the implications of this lawsuit will potentially result in interpretations not intended by the White House, separately, the message to the American business owner is quite clear, especially those which may become host to a campaign event.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: The various factions at play in Niger have described the situation on the ground in vastly different ways. The Nigerien government has stated that they will agree to “release” 1,000 American “prisoners” at the base, in exchange for taking control of the airbase itself. From the American perspective, the situation is likely not that severe; the combat power at Base 201 (and at the Embassy in Niamey) is more than enough to decimate the majority of Niger’s military rather quickly. However, both military leaders and diplomats involved in the situation likely want to avoid this situation out of political convenience, which despite an American military advantage being obvious, can be made more militarily complicated by the Nigeriens. As America’s forays in Africa often meet unexpected and politically-impacting ends, it is likely that the U.S. seeks to withdraw from this base quietly.