The Sharp Square
Two amateur sports bettors take a more subjective approach to sports betting. The pros use analytics, Jeff and Mike use the eyeball test. There are plenty of podcasts to listen to the ego driven professionals mock the public and tell you how you should bet. This podcast has some fun with it and owns betting as the public.
Episodes
253 episodes
NFL 2026 Hindsight 20/20; post Super Bowl LX
The game lived up to it's "meh" expectations. Jeff enjoyed the defensive and special teams chess match that Mike MacDonald employed to oust Mike Vrabel. Seattle followed the first rule of winning which is not to lose, while Drake Maye chose a r...
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Season 7
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Episode 48
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17:32
NFL 2026 Super Bowl LX; Phantom Pressure
Jeff is joined by Mike to talk the big game! Jeff explains why Sam Darnold is the story that goes beyond football. He delves into a Robert Kraft conspiracy to get the trophy back to Foxboro. The guys dive into thematic prop parlays and other ad...
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Season 7
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Episode 47
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46:01
NFL 2026 Hindsight 20/20; post Conference Championships
Jeff had a monster weekend betting the championship games. He talks how fatigue caught up to the Rams, while Seattle made great plays and even better coaching decisions. He loves the Sam Darnold redemption story from a quarterback and human poi...
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Season 7
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Episode 46
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22:18
NFL 2026 Conference Championships; Miss my Nix-Girlfriend
Jeff believes that the market is putting too large of a gap between Bo Nix and Jarrett Stidham. He makes the case for the Rams being in a terrible spot with travel and games played while the Seahawks have lived at home with division opponents. ...
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Season 7
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Episode 45
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35:11
NFL 2026 Hindsight 20/20; post Divisional Round
Jeff recaps the best round of divisional games in recent memory. Heartbreak for Bo Nix. The closing of the window in Buffalo. A bright future for the Bears.
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Season 7
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Episode 44
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24:40
NFL 2026 Divisional Round; 401 Maye
Jeff has bets on all four divisional playoff games, diversifying his portfolio between two spreads, an under and an over. He continues to recognize that he can't get Bills games right so advices laying off if you agree with him and betting your...
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Season 7
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Episode 43
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39:49
NFL 2026 Hindsight 20/20; post Wildcard Round
Jeff goes over all the playoff games from wildcard weekend and talks about limited betting being the winning strategy. The Eagles have no identity. Too much was put on Justin Herbert. The Bears find a way as Caleb Williams takes a giant step to...
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Season 7
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Episode 42
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19:55
NFL 2026 Wildcard Round; Pittsburgh Paradox
Jeff is diving into all six playoff games for the wildcard round. He talks about evaluating your power ratings versus the market to find value. Knowing what teams you gauge well and which ones befuddle you (Buffalo). Some insight on defensive c...
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Season 7
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Episode 41
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40:02
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post week 18
Jeff goes over all of the betting action from the weekend. Need to win teams rolled and Matt LaFleur captures the Lose But Cover championship bel.t
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Season 7
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Episode 40
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14:46
NFL 2025 Week 18; No Season of Giving from the Book
Jeff goes over every playoff implication for every game to give you all the information you need to be armed for betting. He talks about the theme of a team "needing to win" being the most over-valued narrative of the year. He also talks about ...
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Season 7
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Episode 39
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1:05:14
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post week 17
Jeff goes over all the NFL action from a jam packed week of football. The refs had their thumb on the scale in Cleveland. Josh Allen continues to destroy Jeff's bankroll.
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Season 7
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Episode 38
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13:44
NFL 2025 Week 17; Too Much Football!
In a rapid fire half hour of holiday cheer, Jeff goes over all of the playoff implications for every NFL game. He warns of placing too much weight on must win teams and the value of taking points for spoiler underdogs.
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Season 7
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Episode 37
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28:37
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post week 16
Jeff sucks at betting football.
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Season 7
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Episode 36
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8:48
NFL 2025 Week 16; What Am I Waiting For?
Jeff is breaking down all of the playoff scenarios for week 16. Deep dives into Philly vs. Washington, Pittsburgh vs. Detroit, Green Bay vs. Chicago and Jacksonville vs. Denver. He talks about hidden value in games without post season implicati...
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Season 7
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Episode 35
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50:10
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post week 15
Another losing week as Jeff fails to put one of his winners on his bet card. Cowards never profit! The Chiefs are out of the playoffs, while the Lions are in desperate shape after losing to the Rams. Broncos and Packers flew over, nullifying Je...
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Season 7
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Episode 34
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12:57
NFL 2025 Week 15; Shiver Shiver Burr
Jeff is talking about how late season games offer less narrative edges and are more about who has the goods. Deep dives on Bills vs. Patriots, Chargers vs. Chiefs and Lions vs. Rams. He has his under bet of the year and a rah-rah ultimate decis...
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Season 7
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Episode 33
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46:33
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post week 14
Jeff talked himself into a winner with Pittsburgh this week and found a way to cash with the under since he was scared to bet against Kansas City. Pete Carroll receives one of gambling's highest, or lowest honors as he played to cover the sprea...
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Season 7
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Episode 32
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16:39
NFL 2025 Week 14; Deflated Pigskin
Mike is back! The guys deep dive three key games for the weekend. Aaron Rodgers has ruined the Tomlin Rah-Rah spot. The guys are buying Caleb Williams... well, sort of. Jeff breaks out the tinfoil hat to try to figure out which way the refs wil...
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Season 7
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Episode 31
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1:04:10
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post week 13
Jeff feels the table has been set for a parody driven final month of the season where their are no great teams, a few bad ones and a bunch of "in the middle". He talks about Chicago having an identity that cashes bets, the Chiefs no longer bein...
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Season 7
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Episode 30
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16:44
NFL 2025 Week 13; Dakota Stuffing
Jeff is deep diving all three Thanksgiving games and the black Friday matchup between the Bears and Eagles. He shares some thoughts on the tradition of Detroit and Dallas hosting Thanksgiving day and Bill Parcel's idea that the real season star...
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Season 7
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Episode 29
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49:32
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post week 12
Jeff had a pretty even weekend with the Browns cashing in as the ugly Betty. The Tampa game went as poorly as thought and Trevor Lawrence continues to baffle with his ineptitude. Kansas City somehow doesn't cover after shutting down the Colts o...
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Season 7
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Episode 28
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15:16
NFL 2025 Week 12; Legendary Betty
Jeff dives into a concept on coaching game theory that might lead to some value in betting the under. He is suggesting possibly the ugliest Betty of all-time and pushing back on the media's burial of the Chiefs. The ultimate decision sees the d...
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Season 7
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Episode 27
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52:58
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post week 11
Spread the Sunshine got rained out this week as Jeff was off on all three of his team Florida picks. Betting on Caleb Williams is a tough ask when looking for points. Finally, Jeff discusses how he is buying any stock people are selling on Sam ...
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Season 7
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Episode 26
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13:53
NFL 2025 Week 11; The Action is the Juice
Jeff continues a deep dive into all three Florida football teams. He talks about the joys of a weekend without any bets and how it re-focused him on how to watch games objectively. The ultimate decision focuses on taking a handicap and finding ...
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Season 7
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Episode 25
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37:47
NFL 2025 Hindsight 20/20; post Week 10
Jeff was 2-1 picking Florida teams this week and goes over the games for all three. Sean Payton continues to win games without playing offense. Jeff has thoughts on Jim Harbaugh and Mike Tomlin playing off each other and making sacks, rushes an...
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Season 7
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Episode 24
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13:03