Mechanics of Money

Why This Fund Makes the Most Money When Markets Crash | Vuk Vuković

Sam Silverman | Silverman Capital Season 1 Episode 14

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0:00 | 32:39

What if the best market signal didn't come from Wall Street — but from 3,500 retail traders on social media?

Sam sits down with Vuk Vuković, co-founder of Oraclum Capital, a systematic hedge fund that uses crowdsourced intelligence and network science to trade weekly S&P options. Vuk and his co-founders originally built their methodology to predict elections — calling both Brexit and Trump in 2016 — before applying the same framework to financial markets.

In this conversation:

  • How wisdom of crowds and network analysis extract signal from noise in elections and markets
  • Why weekly options over prediction markets like Kalshi or Polymarket
  • Using network science to filter echo chambers and identify whose opinion actually carries weight
  • Building a fund designed to be uncorrelated to the S&P during market drawdowns
  • The fundraising grind as an emerging manager with no traditional finance background
  • European vs American incentive structures and why they produce different kinds of entrepreneurs
  • Vuk's blunt one-word advice for aspiring options traders

Topics covered: hedge funds, options trading, prediction markets, wisdom of crowds, network science, echo chambers, S&P 500, emerging fund managers, fundraising, EU vs US business culture, risk management, Kalshi, Polymarket

Guest: Vuk Vuković, Co-Founder & Fund Manager, Oraclum Capital | https://www.linkedin.com/in/vuk-vukovic-oraclum/

Newsletter: https://www.mechanicsofmoney.co Website: https://silvermancapital.co

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