401k Investing for Newbies and Nerds
There are 90 million American workers who have collectively own $14 trillion in their 401k accounts. They face both challenges and opportunities. The largest opportunity is that their accounts are investment accounts, not savings accounts, and for the past three decades, many have grown their balances in the low double digit range. Those with the highest return have constructed portfolios that focus on index funds and avoided target date funds.
The main challenge 401k owners face is that there are required to make their investment decisions by choosing from a limited menu of mutual funds. 42% of 401k participants have found that including index funds in their portfolio has provided them with results that optimize their investment experience.
The 90 million 401k account owners can be divided into 3 categories. The first are those who could care less about their money and are willing to just take what they are given. The second group, NEWBIES, are inexperienced in the investment process, but are willing to become engaged in the management of their hard-earned dollars. The third group, NERDS, are those who have a modicum of investment expertise and are willing to devote the time and energy to expand their investments skills.
My mission is to motivate 401k participants and their employer plan providers to become engaged in their account and then train them how to optimize their results.
I have a 62-years of stock market experience. I have been a stockbroker, finance professor and individual investor. I have no investment products to sell. All I have to offer are the objective observations of one who has been there and done that.
401k Investing for Newbies and Nerds
Season 1 Episode 28 Who's Been Naughty and Who's Been Nice
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Tis the season where we titillate our naïve young people with the story of a mystical elderly gentleman who rewards his followers with gifts, the quality of which is based on their year-to-date behavior.
An argument can be made that Mr. Market rewards his followers in a similar fashion. The mission of this episode of my podcast is to provide you with some perspective on how Mr. Market treated his followers in the year 2025. As you listen to this, I respectfully request that you keep the following in mind. First, investing is not a one size fits all proposition. Every investor comes to the table with unique objectives, skill sets, and service provider. Secondly, my remarks are aimed at the 90 million 401(k) participants who are required to manage their own account, but are limited to a menu of mutual funds provided by their employer.
I want to close with a major caveat. Keep in mind that Mr. Market is a composite of many investors, each of which brings their own perspective and skill set to the table. Consequently, in the short-term Mr. Markets activity is random and unpredictable. In this context I asked that you enter 2026 with an open and flexible perspective and do not consider what I have said about 2025 in any way shape or form as a prediction to how 2026 will unfold.