401k Investing for Newbies and Nerds
There are one hundred and thirty million American workers who collectively own $35 trillion in their 401k and related retirement accounts. The owners of these accounts face both challenges and opportunities. The largest opportunity is that their accounts are investment accounts, not savings accounts, and for the past three decades they have grown in the low double-digit range.
The main challenge 401k owners face is that there are required to make their own investment decisions by choosing from a limited menu of mutual funds.
These 130 million self-directed retirement account owners can be divided into 3 distinct categories. The first are those who could care less about their money and are willing to just let nature take its course. The second group, NEWBIES, are inexperienced in the investment process, but are willing to become engaged in the management of their hard earned dollars. The third group, NERDS, are those who have a modicum of investment expertise and are willing to devote the time and energy to expand their investments skills.
The mission of my podcast is to motivate and educate 401k NEWBIES and NERDS on how to optimize their 401k experience. I have a 62-year relationship with the stock market. I have been a stockbroker, finance professor and individual investor. Ten years ago, I appointed myself to the position of 401k guru extraordinaire. I have no investment products to sell. All I have to offer are the objective observations of one who has been there and done that.
401k Investing for Newbies and Nerds
Season 2 Episode 3 The Rockets' Red Glare and Your 401k
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A week ago, the skies over the Middle East were filled with more rockets than Times Square on New Year’s Eve. The following Monday morning, the Wall Street Journal opined that there would be a massive response on Wall Street to the Middle East missile fusillade. The inference from these reports was that Wall Street’s response would come from a bunch of rocket scientist wanabes, sitting in a windowless room, computers humming softly in the background, calculating the financial impact of the rockets flying in the Middle East. (Note the incredibly clever way I have tied rockets in the Middle East to rocket scientists on Wall Street).
In the midst of all of this massive sell off jibber jabber, inquiring minds have to ask, “Who’s selling what and why?” A short answer is not rocket scientists. If it were rocket scientists they would calculate the potential reduction of oil flowing from the Middle East, divide that number by its impact on the following quarters GDP, adjust it for change in both the CPI and wholesale price index, then factor in the impact that the increase in the increase of the price of oil would have on the cost of delivering goods, adjusted by the Fed’s projected response in their commercial lending rates to make the cost of capital appropriate for this current position in the business cycle.
In this incredibly insightful episode of my podcast I will explore what really transpired and address how the 90 million American workers with a 401k can use this as a learning experience and at the same time make a couple of bucks that they can send in their golden years to spoiling their grand kids.