Real Estate Development Insights
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Real Estate Development Insights
(37) Toronto Green Standard, Geothermal, District Energy; tools to decarbonize the built environment - David McMillan, John Rathbone, Ben Gilbank
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In this episode, we discuss the Decarbonizing The Built Environment and the future of green building practices with three experts: David McMillan, from the City of Toronto; Ben Gilbank, Founder and CEO of Alt Crest Energy; and John Rathbone, CEO and Co-Founder of Rothco EMG.
This episode delves into Toronto’s ambitious goal to achieve net-zero emissions by 2040, addressing the roles played by regulations, renewable energy systems like geothermal and air source heat pumps, district energy solutions, and the challenges and opportunities in transitioning to sustainable infrastructure. Gain insights into how public policy and private sector collaboration can pave the way for a sustainable future.
- Toronto’s goal of Net Zero by 2040
- Energy as a Service definition and benefits
- Renewable Energy Systems, pros and cons.
- Cost of Toronto’s Green Standards
- Challenges in Energy and Building Models
- Long-Term Views and Solutions
- Cost Considerations and Collaboration
- Developer Mindsets and Risk Management
- Geo Exchange and City Planning
- Exploring the Toolbox: Geothermal and Heat Pumps
- Air Source vs. Ground Source Heat Pump
- Economies of Scale in Geothermal Projects
- District Energy Systems Explained
- Decarbonizing the existing buildings
For more information, please refer to RealEstateDevelopmentInsights.com
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Good afternoon everyone. Thank you for being here today. David, Ben, John, it's a privilege to have you on the show. David, why don't we start by you introducing yourself to our audience and then we'll go through Ben and John.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627Yeah. Thanks Pam. thanks for having me. I'm David McMillan. I am the manager of the System Solutions Team, within the environment and climate and forestry division at the city of Toronto. what my team is responsible for, is anything related to new green buildings and renewable energy systems. my background, I'm actually, I have an undergrad in applied science and a master's in city planning. and so I try to do in a nutshell is, ensure that the built environment in Toronto contributes to, our emissions reductions plan, getting to net zero by 2040. And so that involves new construction and infrastructure as well.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Perfect. Thank you very much. Net zero by 2040. We'll come to that in a second. Ben. It's yours.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Super. Yeah. Thanks Pam, and thanks for having me. Um, Gil, bank founder and CEO of Alt Crest Energy. We're an energy developer based here in Toronto, but operating across Canada. We're an energy as a service, uh,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625energy developers. So effectively we
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626invest in
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625in onsite energy systems.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626on
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625we have real estate owners
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626um,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625charge it back under energy service framework. We
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626have three
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625have three main verticals at our company. We have geothermal,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626multi-res, which I think
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625which
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626be focusing on
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625today
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626We
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625we also do
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626solar for
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625for
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626buildings. And third, we
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625we
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626microgrids or distributed generation for high power users. So all of this is with the goal of, reducing carbon emissions, but also developing a financing
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625financing, alternative to
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626transition easier for real estate owners.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Perfect Financing for transition. I do wanna talk about that in depth. That would be great. Thank you. John, do you.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626Thanks, Pam. my name's John Rathbone. I'm the CEO and co-founder of Rothco, EMG, as well as the overview platform. I've been a consulting engineer for over 18 years now. wow, that kind of seems weird saying that out loud. 11 of those years was, has been spent in the energy and specifically renewable energy space, district energy systems, geo exchange, et cetera. we specialize in this area, from everything from early planning work through feasibility to detailed design. Commissioning and we're now getting into the operations and management of certain assets on behalf of owners. And so we find ourselves, being invited to contribute to projects or conversations that I think a lot of other more traditional engineers don't get invited to just due to the nature of the industry and how it's emerging. And there is no, status quo, I would say just yet. So it's a really interesting career path at the moment.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Perfect. Should we give credit or blame David for some of that change?
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626I would give him a ton of credit. we, we need a very strong municipalities because we don't really have strong leadership at the provincial or federal level on these files. And, people like David are absolutely critical for these goals and initiatives to be realized.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Perfect. Okay, lemme go back to David. David, you talked about net zero by 2040. For those of our audience, including myself, who do not have a clear definition of net zero, what is net zero? Why is it important?
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627In Toronto's case, when we say net zero, we mean net zero emissions. And that's important. because, I think in the past, historically, net zero is understood to mean net zero energy because it largely came from the building space. and we can get into it, but certain buildings, sure it's possible to do net zero energy, meaning you produce. of your own energy on site. But in a city like Toronto and many other cities, with our form where we're building tall, dense buildings, net zero energy really doesn't make a lot of sense. And, in my opinion, it's not really necessary because to decarbonize doesn't mean you have to produce all your own energy. We have the grid and it's an amazing tool. We should use it, I think. But, so for our purposes though, we are trying to get to net zero emissions, meaning by the year 2040, we've essentially, we've reduced emissions as much as we can on our own. The net means recognizing that there will likely be some residual sources that we will have to deal with. We have a policy that says how we deal with that, and it's primarily through removals. But to be clear, we have not really explored that path any detail yet. We're just assuming that in 2039 we'll be able to purchase, carbon removals to, to offset the rest of those emissions, but. in practical terms, it means we need to, try and stop using fossil fuels, at least in new construction today, and then fuel switch the rest of our buildings and other systems over time. basically over the next, 15 years,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Okay. These are very technical topics. I'm a construction guy. I'm gonna try and dumb it down for myself. So basically, if I'm gonna go for net zero, net zero emission, not energy in the building, I want to try and reduce the amounts of emissions my buildings is giving out and close to zero as possible. And if I cannot make it happen, you're gonna make me pay some fee by 2040 to make up the difference. Did I get that right?
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627it's not yet clear if we're going to require building owners, so the private sector to offset their emissions. we don't currently do that. when I say the city is gonna be net zero, really what I mean is, for now all we've committed to is as a corporation, we will zero out all our emissions as the government of the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I see. Like the governing body itself, not the city as a geographic area.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627that's correct. Yeah. and for that is because, and we can get into it, but, I think at this point, if we were to require widespread offsets, that might actually be more problematic, given a lot of the challenges in that space. But, but to be fair, we're just not there yet. That, that market for us is still, pretty unclear. But day we will likely have to, at least think about, how we require the private sector to, to zero out their emissions as well.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Okay. So let's talk about the possible levers in that equation. You and I met, at a project about a couple months ago that we were building. And in that building we were very close to net zero, if not at the mark. 'cause we don't have anything that is a fuel related, fossil fuel related except for the emergency generator. Is that generally how you would envision that type of, typology of building to go forward?
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627Yeah. So if you are not using any fossil fuels on site, you're like 90% of the way there. Because you've essentially electrified, but there is still emissions associated with the electricity from the grid. There is some that you would still have to offset, to truly get to net zero emissions. How you do that is a choice that depends in many cases on the constraints of your site. But like an easy one to think about is solar pv, right? that's a way to, now again, with the built form, it can be a challenge, but, that's one that's worth exploring. then beyond that, really what you are getting into is offsite, type, so like credits, offsets, removals, that sort of thing. and again, we don't have any. requirements. We don't even really have any guidance yet for how a developer or owner might do that. But of course there are some that do because there are third party programs, for example, that the Canada Green Building Council runs where they do have more guidance on offset programs. And so that is an option, but not a requirement. But to truly get to net omissions in Toronto, beyond the bit you'd be able to do with like solar pv, you're probably looking at some kind of, third party, certified offset program.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Gotcha. Thank you very much. We'll come back to the Toronto Green Standard and the TGS, and I do want to have a chat about that, but let's go to Ben. energy as a service, that's your business model. Maybe just elaborate for us at the beginning. What does that entail? How does that work? And I guess I wanted toward the end of it, I want to, hopefully we're able to get to a point to define what is a sweet spot, what scale project, what type of projects should be talking to you or thinking about this type of system.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Yeah, absolutely. Probably the best way to look at energy as a service is to look at
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Look at what the base is
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626business as
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625as usual
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626in absence of energy as a service. So, uh, Pam,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Pam, you, you built
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626so
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625this, you know, you know, there's many components to a building. One of them would be mechanical system.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626another key
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Another key component would be the electrical system.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626And, in business,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625business, again, we use this term
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626or business as
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625business as usual.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626you would
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625How you would build that building in
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626of
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625using alternative delivery method like
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626a
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625service. let's build a typical
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626midrise or tall
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625multi
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626building. A
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625building.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626um, you know,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625You know,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626this
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625this is kind
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626boiler chiller, cooling tower, four pipe fan coil terminal
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625terminal
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626type of building, right? This is very common or two pipe in some cases, but, in a lot of buildings
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625building
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626like that
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625that,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626in the last little while. So
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625so really that's the case, but just by definition, that's like
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626driven system for
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625right? Heating in the.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626in the winter as well as domestic hot water. So, most
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Most developers would be familiar with that.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Geothermal effectively in this case, removes that
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625moves that sort of central
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626or at least
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625place, most of it,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626And
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and replaces it with a
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626grade
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625great ground source heat
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626wanna step on
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625pump. I don't wanna on
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626'cause he's
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625johnstone million times
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626he's a
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625faster at it, but effectively you're now using
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626as a
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625a heat source, heat sink to heating Cool your building.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626And, but the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625The effect is that you wipe out the need for those traditional P
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626under the BAU case. Here's the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625through the,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626That
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625that geothermal system is very often
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626more expensive
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625than the
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626case. just
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Let's just use,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626of two x 'cause it's
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625because it's actually pretty close. It floats around that. But let's just use,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626So if you
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625so if you were to spend a million bucks on a traditional mechanical system,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626cool a building, boiler chiller, cooling tower, and then you said, Hey, I'd rather do geothermal 'cause it's low carbon. price tag might be around 2 million bucks. And you
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625And you go, huh?
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626I've got
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I've got this thing called a budget, and what's really important about that is
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626determines how I make money on real
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625on real estate, let's be honest,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626why do
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625why do developers get into this?
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626So what
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625So what energy as a service is we come in
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and we
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and we say, we will put in the 2 million bucks
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626in the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625the business of
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626infrastructure
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625associated with real estate in this geo system.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626And
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625And
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626design, build, own, operate, and
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and maintain. D boom,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626That
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625that system wraps around it
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and the developer goes, huh, what does that mean? But that means that
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626not only are
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625not only you saving the 2 million bucks
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626net
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and that saving a million bucks, because again, we've wiped out the need for your,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and cooling tower. So the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625so the goal of energy as a service is just that.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626to be
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625be a sort of
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626financial
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625solution
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626to
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625to solve a problem where.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626developer may not do this solution absent for. An alternative delivery method. So the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625So the goal is to run capital savings
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and I can
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626the nuances of this,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625the of this operating
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626over a term. Of course, you're hitting greenhouse, gas standards. We make David happy by keeping low carbon
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625carbon
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626in the city of Toronto. Happy. So this is
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625is Energy Services. In nutshell, it's a
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626delivery
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625delivery which sort of threads the needle of a
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626technical
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625solution,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626a
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625but a commercial challenge just by virtue of the premium
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626cost relative to A
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625relative to a VU.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626you're a
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625You're a developer, your profiting.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626you may just
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625You may just do the BUI don't blame you.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626it. absent choosing us.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625And, I like the way you framed it, that it could be perceived as a financial service or financial product is, which is probably has a significant technical, component or ailment inside that, financial a product. So if, I just wanna make sure I'm clear on this. In today's economy, if this, if I look at it just based on dollar value, I, it could be present dollar value, it could be NPV, it could be however you define the dollar value. Would I, outside of any incentives or any government rebates or anything else, would I benefit from, in, using this type of setup on my project on a dollar value basis? And at first, I guess the primary set of capital and also over the opex of the building.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Yeah, I think so. I'm very biased, but the,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625will take, we'll take that into consideration, but being biased.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Yeah,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Yeah, that's
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626heavy
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625disc.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626bias here, but let's go
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Let's go back to
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626developer, right? 'cause you're a developer and you're making a choice of which direction you want to go and how you want to implement that, don't need to tell you construction costs are high and, serious escalation and costs over the last few
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625for the few years.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626we all know
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625we all know that it's a challenging residential market build into right now just in terms of conditions,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626you know,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you know, financing and probably we touch on this later with CMC and ways to finance
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626buildings.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625People are
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626at every angle they
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625at angle they can, to
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626finance position
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625position themselves to earn
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626through development. And look, if we're, 2
payam_1_09-08-2025_1606252 million
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626I recognize a lot of projects have large budgets and maybe 2 million bucks isn't enough to move the needle or, but maybe it is. And I think a lot of
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625these days. It is.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626dcs like the list goes on. So if you
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625So if you think about us almost in a form
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626financing where you can
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625where you can have your cake needed to
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626finance
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625the
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626geothermal
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625component,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626take
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you take that 2 million bucks
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626would've had to fund from equity or debt. And you
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and you add that sort of to your capital stack.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626And then
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625And then add to that the fact that,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626you can
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you be comfortable knowing the tenants
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626if it's
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625it's rental
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626or owners, if it's condo
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625down the road are not gonna be paying
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626would
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625more than they would
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626a business. As usual
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625usual case
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626get into the opex
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625opex later
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626We, we think, again, bias
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Bias here heavy, but
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626a
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625it's a win-win, save on the CapEx
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626the opex, get
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625enhanced
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626through CMHC.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625H
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626You meet the City of Toronto requirements
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625requirements
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626the built environment, again, we think it threads the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625needle. that's good. Thank you very much. I'm gonna go to you, John, the way I look at our panel here today is that David is, in a position and David is in his team and his, the entity is kind of directing us or forcing us, or however you want to call it, pushing us toward a vision for our city, our built environment. Right? And Ben, the way I look at it is, has a toolbox or people, other people are like Ben, which are great. We have a lot of very sophisticated providers in our city, which are very fortunate. We're fortunate to have them. I have had the privilege of working with a couple of them. You are the one who basically probably like my, at least my interpretation, and please by all means, correct me if I'm wrong, you're the one who sits there and says, okay, we want to get to that point that David wants, and I have this toolbox that did Ben and other, companies provide, how do I put this to use, how do I mix it up? Is that a correct interpretation of your role and how you would look at it?
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626That absolutely is one of our roles. And so it to continue in the full disclaimer, mantra here, we are not technology, specific. We are actually a very technology neutral company. my sustainability friends don't like this, but we are happy to do a natural gas BAU building, system as well. Although that's not our brand and that's not what we specialize in, but we actually sell studies on a regular basis, to help put numbers exact question of, should I do the BAU or should I do a geo system, or should I do a wastewater energy system? Should I connect to the district energy, utility, et cetera. and what we have found, working in this market for the last decade here in the GTA, is that around seven plus or minus, out of every 10 projects we analyze geo makes the most sense. And then when it comes to the business model, comes down to the business model of the developer on whether or not energy as a service makes a lot of sense for them. But we're finding that also makes a lot of sense, as Ben's saying in terms of threading the needle, reducing upfront capital, providing much better long-term opex guarantees, compared to natural gas pricing guarantees, which I don't think exist. and then we're also then satisfying TGS and other requirements. there's a real opportunity here, but there's three layers. To a feasibility study, and I think everybody's very familiar with the first two and the first one being technical. We have to make sure things work and that we are respecting the laws of physics. but then there's the second one, which is financial because there's maybe a couple dozen things that abide by the laws of physics, but there's really a short list that make financial sense. But then there's this third layer, which I just call people, and so us individuals on this, call right now. We sometimes take for granted that we live and work in this space five days a week. there's a whole plethora of people out there that are just learning what a geo exchange system is and that there are alternatives to business as usual, and they have very positively reinforced purchasing patterns and procedures and policies and standard operating procedures that really reinforce the business as usual. when they're presented with some very attractive business propositions. so it's not just Hey, the wave is coming and everybody is pivoting to geo, next week it is. and the numbers, although positive, you need more than numbers in our experience.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you need the buy-in of all the stakeholders. And I can attest to a recent, situation we had on one of the jobs that Embridge was surprised how. and the same project that David and I were talking about, Enbridge was surprised on how low our gas consumption was. And it's taken them about a year to figure out how give to actually give us a service because they have never done that for this size of a building, which has been an interesting challenge to have. I want to go back to the toolbox and I'm gonna ask you have a very, for a very brief and crash course within five minutes of what are the elements of the toolbox. And I'm gonna, also ask people who haven't listened, go to our episode three. We did an episode with Kara Load from Ham and Jaffe, and she did a very good job, I think, of explaining how, in depth the heat exchange and the geo exchange or versus geothermal. So maybe we start with that geo geothermal and geo exchange
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626Sure. So geothermal is the category. geo
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625geo.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626let's say, is a flavor of geothermal at the ice cream parlor of. Geothermal technologies, geo exchange. We're drilling down anywhere between 300, which we would consider a very shallow type of borehole. And by the way, we're vertically drilling. We're, and anywhere up to a thousand feet, we've done a couple thousand footers, but a lot
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Right.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626around six to 800 feet. this is in the geothermal category, shallow, believe it or not. so is typically considered a true source of energy where we're now drilling significantly longer distances. we're measuring now in, kilometers as opposed or feet. And we are accessing a truly self-renewing thermal resource. So we don't have to do anything to just continuously get heat outta that resource. Unfortunately, here in Southern Ontario and frankly Ontario, my geologist friends call it old and cold. So we have to go very deep. in order to access that type of, geothermal resource. Geo exchange is similar in that we are drilling vertically, but it's a very different animal in that it's not a true source. and so what I mean by that is every megawatt hour of heat we pull outta the ground and heat pump into the building, we effectively have to put back in the ground at the end of the year. And, in our renewables 1 0 1 course, which we have, a YouTube video on Shameless plug,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625All good.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626we try and explain that there, there is no such thing as cooling in the world of thermodynamics and physics, cooling. It sounds really argumentative and annoying. It's really the absence of heat. Sounds I'm the least popular guy at the party when I bring this one out. so what we're doing though to recharge that system, 'cause let's say we just went through a nice cold winter and we took all the heat outta that bedrock beneath the building or, into the building. how do we get the heat back in, especially for not combusting fossil fuels to do that? we do that by cooling the building. So again, we're not actually cooling the building, we're removing the heat from the building, and instead of blowing that out a cooling tower on the roof, we just push it back into the geo exchange system. And so when we're modeling and designing, whether we're in the feasibility stage or full detailed design stage for a geo system, that's literally what my team of experts are doing is we're trying to figure out what is the optimum size of this bore field that enables it while it's being operated. Not just this year, not just next year, but for the next 30 to 50 years. How do we keep that system relatively in balance in terms of heat out versus heat in while satisfying the needs of that building, essentially?
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Okay. So in for my simple mind and trying to keep things at a layman level, I think that's very similar to how you balance your checkbook. You basically have to put something in and then you take it out. If you don't put it in, you can't take it out on, you're gonna have issues. So is that a fair assessment of the situation?
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626One, 100%. and we can push that analogy a little bit further. You can get a credit card and borrow on credit, but at some point you gotta put it all back as well, right? So like
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Yeah.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626the limits of that val, like that's not like a black and white rule. but typically we're finding the market, unless you have an energy as a service provider, that's a higher operator, a skillset in order to push the technical capabilities of a bore field beyond that kind of in and out balancing act. But you can do some really fancy things. and I love owners that let us do that. 'cause we have the ability to do it, but the vast majority, just to keep it simple, we're keeping these things, as balanced as possible.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Perfect. I know you have, looked in and you Ben, briefly mentioned the biomass situation. Can you just give a brief introduction to biomass, what it is? Does it make sense? Does it ever make sense in Toronto
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626it's not gonna make
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Sense?
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626the single building scale. and because biomass really likes scale, we're not gonna be trucking biomass to individual buildings. like the good old days where the milkman delivered milk door to
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Right.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626we're not gonna be doing that. Where biomass makes a ton of sense is at the community plus scale. So we're talking now district energy systems with large central plants. but, what biomass is though is essentially the leftovers. From the lumber industry, the construction industry, from many preventative fire, maintenance in the forest there, there's a lot of woody like stuff that comes outta the forest that you can't turn into dimensional lumber like two by fours and two by sixes, and you can't turn into really cool things like glue lamb beams and CLT panels, because that's, I think, has a very strong future. Not to digress, but, mass timber construction. But I think what a lot of people forget is that trees don't grow in rectangles. if, and because I'm a big fan of sequestering carbon in the physical construction of our buildings, but we'd also need to have a place to then put all the leftovers. and we used to put the leftovers of that industry into the pulp and paper industry, who, and their biggest customer was the newspaper industry. And then this thing called the internet got invented. I think you've heard of it.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Yeah.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626and it completely decimated the newspaper industry. And that dried up all of that market. And now, unfortunately, a lot of these residues, what they call 'em, which is like the branches, the bark, the chips and the dust that comes off of the manufacturing of dimensional lumber gets landfill. there's just nowhere to sell it. No one's buying it at the volume that it's being produced. this is a whole other discussion for
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Okay.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626like
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I was just gonna say, you and I probably can talk about that, for four hours. I've been fortunate enough to be involved in the Stenberg project for the past two and a half years. We're on, seven eighth floor right now, and it's a lot of fun and holds a lot of promise. There's a lot of obstacle to getting it right and getting it in scale. I still think, but you're right. We could talk about that for hours. I want to go back to David and I want to ask you, like right now, we talked about a couple of tools in the toolbox. Couple of, I guess if you think about the heat pump and the geothermal or geo exchange being, a tool for the mic micro level and based on what I just learned, the biomass being a macro level tool, if you may, at least on a larger scale. What does C think about that? Do you, I know on the micro level we have the TGS, we have the electronic green standards, and we have a whole bunch of things going on there. Does Citi have any macro level plans?
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627Yeah, I would say we do, I think our, the biggest thing that municipalities can do, so we do have some incentives. Those are mostly micro level. They're open to, developers, owners, et cetera. the biggest lever we have is probably around For now is regulation. and so you mentioned the TGS, we are working as well on, simple terms, an equivalent of the TGS for existing buildings, because frankly municipalities don't have the deep pockets, to offer, the kind of rich incentives that can really move the market. I think one thing we can do is regulate and we do that, and I'll get into that, but we can also lead by example. we do have a bit of a pulpit, where we can showcase through our own projects, our own infrastructure, best practice, right? and we do a lot of that as well. And if you do enough of that, that alone can help to move the market. But those things combined are not enough. We also have to, way I it is simply enable, so not to give the impression that we're in the way, but we own and control a lot of what developers, whether they're real estate, energy developers, will need to be able to meet the goals that we set. And so it's within our shop. But the reason I mention it is because it's not so simple to say. Of course, we set the rules now we, we make the projects happen. These are very different departments that. actually give me a lot of work. meaning a lot of my job is to connect these different departments to make sure that, they are able to be a sort of a solution provider to some of these things that a developer might need to do. And one of the most obvious examples right now are wastewater energy projects. We own the wastewater infrastructure. we, Toronto Water is the utility. In that case, we set the requirement for buildings to decarbonize and here's a source of energy that, we will have to be able to provide. Companies, other energies or service companies, access to, so they can use it to decarbonize those buildings. so it's great because it means, we get to work, it's us in Toronto Water, other divisions, these private energy companies, and it's a great public private collaboration. But, it's very difficult because the systems we have in place, the policy systems, not the technical ones, the policy, it doesn't enable that directly. These are new uses of old infrastructure that we have to, create the case for. And so we're doing that. point is, that's only a thing that municipalities really can do.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Right.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627And so a lot of what I try to do with my team besides the other two, is really to enable those types of big solutions. You mentioned the Macrons wastewater district energy, those are big macro solutions that can decarbonize millions of square feet at a time. And so that's I think, the biggest tool that we have.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625that's basically aggregating the effects and putting it together, creating synergy, John.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627That's right.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626yeah, and just you want to caveat all the things I was saying before. I was talking about to be specific new construction when I said seven outta 10 buildings, we're talking new. But the elephant in the room that I think, a lot of Canadians and GTA AERs don't know, is that across Canada, we have 1.4 million buildings that already exist. So trying to get these winds in the new construction is absolutely imperative, but the elephant is gonna be what do we do with all the existing, and unfortunately, the business case is not as attractive to go retrofit, one of those buildings with a geo exchange system. And frankly, any other system, or else it would be happening much faster.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625that's a very good point. At the end of the day when you have, very large sinkholes basically in this whole platform, then you that one, one of the things to think about is to how to patch them up and not have that much energy go to waste. I wanna go David, again. David, I want to ask you the controversial question. I know you and I have talked about this offline, is TGS making buildings more expensive?
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627in the short term and for the developer? Yes. in the long term, as John alluded to, there are lifecycle savings to be had. I think what's important first, though, before getting into that, is the TGS is, is a multitude of elements that comprise the green standard, right? a small portion of that is, is energy and carbon targets. a lot of the TGS is not that. So there's things like, bike parking and bird friendly glass and, water management. All good things that are within the environmental sort of realm. But the part that I focused on was on energy and carbon and with our latest study, the net zero transition study, which is essentially looking at how do we go from current version four to version five and six, getting to essentially near zero emissions buildings. that study shows that the capital cost premium for, that based on the archetypes that we've designed is somewhere in the realm of, less than 1%, up to about 2% capital. Part of that is because the current baseline, Ben talked about BAU, the current version four baseline is quite high. It's quite a high performing building. And our data of current application shows that already you pretty much have to feel switch to meet that target. you don't have to, but it's the most cost effective way to meet the targets. And so that's a good thing. But my point is that it's already a very good performing building. so it's a small difference to get to a best performing building. but there still is a cost premium, particularly on the building envelope side. it's just the reality is like it's, that's the more expensive part and there's no business model yet, as there is energy as a service, there is no envelope as a service, if you wanna put it that way. It doesn't exist. And so that can be a challenge. There are solutions to that, but, but I'll just emphasize that. For the right business model. so exactly what Ben does with energy as a service that creates that long term view or what it, in another sense, it removes, that split that principle agent problem from a, let's say a condo developer, right? You don't have to care about the long term anymore because, Ben's coming in and providing the capital, right? and then the condo board will deal with the long-term agreement. the case of rental buildings, we see uptake of a lot of these solutions already because they have that long-term view. And so that's why I know that, I'm not too concerned that, there won't be desire for these solutions. it's for those ones that are concerned very much about the upfront, which is very much the case today because it's so hard to develop right now. And
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Yeah.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627we need solu. I'm not ignoring the cost premium despite the fact that I, it is small relative to the other costs. It's still an added cost at a time when it's very difficult to add. To take any more costs. So we have to be conscious of that. and that's where I think there are solutions. we need the opportunity just to collaborate, to find those.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I wanna go to Ben, but just before I go there, I want to say I, I fully agree with what you said, especially given the environment and, the situation and the market that we are in. I can f. Readily feel and see in the developer's mindset how it has changed over the past few years. When we were working on a ton of condos, a lot of thinking was shorter term horizon. And I don't wanna necessarily blame the developers because that was the business model. Regardless of how you build and how good you want to build, at certain point in time you have to transition out. You have to hand it over to someone else. And like it or not, the performance audit from Teon is gonna come back And they will try and pick everything apart. And you will try and, as a developer, you will try and limit the amount of items that you potentially have exposure and risk, in the long term. So those are, that's some of the risk. Decisions that were made you based on minimizing the downside. Whereas when you're doing, a purpose-built rental project and you know you're gonna hold onto it for a long time, it's less about the downside and it's more about the long-term upside. So I think that's where, to your point, the more of these developers are open to the idea of, okay, you know what, that better envelope, that better, energy system will help me over time.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627And we've done some things, like I did say, we don't have the deep pockets for cash incentives, so let's say financial incentives, but we do have non-financial tools at our disposal, not a lot of them, but, one that we've taken advantage of is when it comes to geo exchange, specifically by, shrinking or, eliminating a lot of the equipment that would otherwise exist, a lot of which would be in the penthouse. you now freed up this space that's actually quite valuable. So with city planning support, we now allow developers who are pursuing geo exchange. we don't say get rid of the mechanical penthouse. We say keep it, but use it for something that you get more value out of, which typically would be, units of course, or. Amenity space, if that's what you want. We, on some of our buildings where we've done, we've been directly involved in district energy projects, at Hotel X, it created a beautiful swanky rooftop that I was at a friend's wedding there. and it's great, but that wouldn't have existed if it had the typical rooftop equipment. So like there are value streams that you can unlock by doing these things. But again, just to bring it back to my point, that we had to do the work with city planning to acknowledge, that this is not standard and it required, some rethinking sort of the typical site specific zoning bylaw amendment. we, I wouldn't say we're at citywide changes yet through the parent bylaw, but now planners are armed with, the knowledge that there's a way to have our cake and eat it too at the building application level. And so there's all kinds of that, things like that, that we can do these non-financial incentives to
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Right.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627the playing field between the business as usual and the alternative.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I am very happy you said that it has come up on this podcast a few times that an extra floor on a building will solve a whole bunch of problems. So that's definitely a good way to go. Ben, I wanna go to you and I want to talk and I wanna start digging into that toolbox. So we did touch quite a bit on the geothermal right now and the geo exchange, and I'm gonna ask John to chime in where needed, but walk us through the other tools in the toolbox and if possible, and maybe even if we, if you wanna go back to the geothermal, how do I know my project is a slam dunk for any of those tools? in other words, if I am doing a small multiplex, which is very popular these days, I'm doing a five unit, is am I even thinking about geothermal or am I just, should I just stick with heat pumps and don't bother and take that and go forward? Six stories, eight stories, 15 stories, 150 units. Just maybe walk us through that. That would be, I think that would be very valuable to our audience.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626For sure.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Sure. Yeah.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626an important thing, there's no one size fits all. I think that's the first overriding statement. first thing you have to do is objectively look at, your building or your project. Think about what are your design objectives as the developer. Think about what are the site constraints, site opportunities. the, the municipal environment and David's realm, on the energy side as well as the planning sides. what's your built form gonna look like? Are you pursuing certifications or designations over and above what's required building code? Are you looking for lead or energy, star, things like this. So there are a lot of sort of factors, so a lot of people just say, Hey, should I do geothermal? Doesn't make sense. And the answer is always, it depends, all these things are iterative, right? I guess we could speak to some rules of thumb here.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625something that's interesting. So
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626There's kind
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625there's kind of two, maybe kind of
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626paths to decarbonizing, at least
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625at least the gsg emissions for
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626energy generation on site
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625city. One would be
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626a ground source
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625source heat pump solution,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626geothermal, what we're
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626about. other
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625the other is an air source heat pump.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626which is, I'll leave it to John to explain in further detail, here.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625here, but basically you
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626using
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625are using the grounds
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626to
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625to exchange the,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626thermal energy for heating or cooling mode or using the air around it. And those
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625those are two really viable options for any.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626to look at. if you look at
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you look at people's houses like,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626a lot of
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625a lot of trending
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626days is people get off the gas
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625gas,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626own house and they put an air
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625air source heat, pump outside
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626heats
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625heat, and
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Interestingly, even in Canada, do
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you do this commercial
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626or
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625buildings
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626buildings. The air
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625air source
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626pumps we
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625pump. We usually.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626for, call it small to,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Call it
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626call it even
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625even mid midsize buildings
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Just
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625just because the CapEx is lower front.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626but it
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625but it does,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626here, maybe
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625maybe trade this off. Ground source heat pump, the CapEx is higher front.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626you have to
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625You have to
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626holes
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625holes way
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626ground,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625to the ground, like John said.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626but the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625but the
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626is lower over time. Air
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625air source heat pumps are the inverse.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626CapEx is
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625is cheaper,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626but
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625but opex very likely will be higher over time. Why?
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Because the input commodity for that is electricity.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626And
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625And I'm not sure if anyone sees scenario electricity will get cheaper in the
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626as we electrify our economy. So this is the trade
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625trade off.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626we've found in, in, in sort of our studies
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Cities project
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626smaller
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625smaller projects
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626heat pump is often just the way to go because, the, the economics call for it. if you can get over 80,000 feet, certainly over a hundred thousand feet, geothermal starts to hit economies of scale. once you start
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625You start getting into point
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626tall
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625hall, mid rise, certainly point
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626tech, space, it gets
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625gets better and
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626I'll just speak
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I'll speak again to the financial end,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626this over to John, but
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625but
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626find,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625find,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626about
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625about like, um,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626anything
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625anything in, in life,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626geothermal is
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625subject
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626of scale and
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625drillers who
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626in the ground for
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625geothermal
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626think of it as a number of borehole per
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625per,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626And again,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625just like anything you need to mobilize very specialized equipment
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626a
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625to site.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Drill holes in a very
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Very
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626specific way, run
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625same run the loops
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626goes with
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625goes with it.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626then
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625And T-Mobile,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626if you're doing
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you're doing that for five, four,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626or a hundred bore holes, I think we know that the average
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625average four hole
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626will decrease significantly over that time. So this is the comment of north of a hundred thousand feet, or call it 80 to 90 to a hundred units. Geothermal really starts to
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625starts to hit
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626because you get those economies of
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625scale. Scale really,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626which,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you know, just.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626give you a little bit of peek behind the curtain on the proformas, 70 to 80% of
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625To 80% of the overall
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626can be the drilling
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625drilling.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626of our proforma. So it, it all
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625It all comes down to the drilling. Smaller projects, very expensive
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Large
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625for projects,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626per hole. Really should look at geothermal under that, range. start looking at air source would be our view. But John, over to you.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626Yeah, no, that, that aligns completely with our data that we've accrued over the last few years, studying these and all the other various options. the one I think case that I think, although it aligns with the logic, defies the square footage rule of thumb, is we can do economies of scale. If you are getting the driller to go to site to do, 300 single family homes as the site. we're getting those types of economies of scale from a drill rig perspective, but we don't need the density to be on a per lot basis. we're now looking at the entire community as that lot. But that is not the average development. So it's not going to be the bread and butter business as usual of the future that it is going to be, when that makes financial sense. And that's really what it all comes down to. I think most people would absolutely love to be doing all of these things, but as soon as they see the price tag of them, it's really gonna come down to, does this make financial sense? And it's not just for self-interest. Like a lot of these decisions are made on the backs of, we have investors and we have shareholders, and we have other stakeholders in here. It's not just about me in, in, in my profits, it's a much more complicated. Situation, you're spending other people's money when these
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Right.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626are being made, right? but yeah, the economy scale makes sense. The other rule of thumb is if you're looking at a district, a lot of the district utilities don't look at anything sub 1 million square feet. So if, but with the exact same logic, they need even more scale to make those investments. That make
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Sorry, can you just maybe define what's districts like? Just we haven't, we didn't define that one.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626sure. Okay. So district energy is, and my district energy colleagues are gonna cringe, but it's really useful. Think of district energy, like the electrical grid. it, it moves energy. The difference is the electrical grid with poles and wires is moving electrical energy and district energy, instead of poles and wires, is pipes buried in the ground and we're moving thermal energy. And the medium that's being pumped around in these pipes is literally just water. Water is a phenomenal carrier. Of heat energy. It's literally a thousand times more effective at moving heat than air is. So another advantage to a ground source heat pump versus an air source heat pump is that we're able to move less things and, but move a ton more energy as a result of it. and this allows you to heat entire cities with this type of infrastructure. That's how energy dense water, is and can provide us these abilities. So if we look at our Scandinavian allies, the country of Denmark, which is, no offense, Danes, but you're basically the GTA, but like 80% of buildings are connected to district energy systems over they have whole generations of adults that don't know what a furnace is, for example,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Interesting.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626but yeah, so it's really about moving the energy around just like the grid doesn't generate the electricity, the power plants do. District energy doesn't generate the heat either. It's just moving it. But the cool thing about using water as your transportation medium is that water doesn't care what makes it hot. It will accept heat from any heat source that's hotter than itself. So you can put geo into it, you can put air source into it, you can put wastewater into it. You can put all these different types of energy sources into it that make the most economic sense, as long as the thermodynamics also make sense. and that's district energy. Now, the hardest thing with district energy though, 'cause you're like, if you're like me, when I first learned about district energy 11 years ago, when I started my career in this space, you'd be like, why are we not doing this?
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I was just gonna say, why not?
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626this makes so much sense. And ask your local politician to define what district energy is, and I bet you they'll have a really hard time with that. ask the average big investor. It, there's this massive. education gap, at the moment. And like I said, e even when you address that and you show them the numbers, it, it's like moving a mountain. And the hardest thing in district energy is to go from nothing to something. And that's where we are at a city province scale level, we have less than 1%, less than 1% market penetration compared to places like Sweden and Denmark, better, like 70, 80%. So we're basically zero. And no, I don't wanna diminish the accomplishments of our district energy utility friends, but when we're looking at the whole, we've cleaned up a couple of grains of sand on the beach, we really need to be thinking about and I think that's one of the things that us at Rothkos is that we came from. Scandinavian perspective, that's where I got trained. For example, I used to work for a Copenhagen headquartered engineering company that specialized in district energy. And and I used to do water wastewater infrastructure at the city scale in my first seven years of my engineering career. And so scale to me is very comfortable.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625right.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626had to learn, how to modify that to think at a single building scale, when I started going into Geo, for example. but I'm noticing that our policies aren't really set up for scale. and a lot of our other programs, we have the FCM Green Municipal Fund, that is putting a lot of really good money into the feasibility work. But right now they're offering like $200,000 subsidies, to do feasibility studies for a single project. if you math that out at scale, if we say that every project requires a $200,000 feasibility study, and then you multiply that, we get into, are you kidding me? Numbers very quickly, we need to be thinking, you know how this
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625need the holistic approach, it looks like, rather than bottom up approach is what you're saying.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626and I think the carbon tax was an attempt at that, where it was holistic. It was not picking winners and losers to use a political phrase. It was just penalizing pollution across the board.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Yeah.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626a critical flaw in, in my opinion, and the critical flaw is that when you penalize the bad things, the idea is that you then allow the good things to be more cost effective, and then the market will start to buy the good things. The critical flaw is that the market to this day, still know what the good things are. don't know what district energy is. They're just learning what geo exchange. air source heat pump has really started to come into, a much more commonplace in the HVAC manufacturing and, installer world in the last couple years. So we were penalizing the bad, assuming that people would migrate towards the good, but no one knew where to go. so you were met with a tremendous amount of resistance of the, you're just making everything expensive, which is true. the idea was to make the quote unquote good things more competitive. But the average buyer doesn't even know what they are yet.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I would say the average developer or even more than average developer is probably not very clear on that.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626if you don't mind, I might just jump in on here. I don't wanna throw any cold water on, the district energy discussion or lack of heat water. I don't know if I. Yeah, John, if I'm getting that right. But, John, John's
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625John's absolutely right. Of course. You
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626about district energy and what a wonderful way it's been executed in other markets. I think, actually, John, Dave and I have all had experience with district energy and execution and
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625implementation, and
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and I would the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625the technology is certainly one that's really exciting. Decarbonization and load sharing and all
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626that John's saying are like absolutely true. But, just
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you, just for developers perspective, you knows.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626the things to really keep in mind on the execution side is it does of course start with technology, but it ends with commercial and legal interest. And boy does it get
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Does it get complicated quickly? when you're sharing energy between blocks
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626That are separately owned, you're now
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625owned, you're now dealing with different sort of off takers or purchasers of that energy.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626You may
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625You may or may not be crossing municipal, right?
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626where David's
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625David's team
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626you know, and broader team may be
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625getting involved.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626transportation
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Services you, there's rights,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626in
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625you know, and ownership and phasing and easements.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626here's the other
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625There's the other big one, big
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626is
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625is phasing. I know
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626today we're
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625today we're talking about the building technologies and
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626I think one
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625one area where all
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626is
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625single buildings,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and shoot for
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625geo
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626It's just single building geothermal lights
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625lights out,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626as long as you hit that
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625hit
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626it's the way to go. But, yeah, for interconnected
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625buildings. How do you know?
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626go? When do you invest in the energy infrastructure? What dollars go first? What dollars? Go second. When does that
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Does that load become
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626What if there's the change
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625a change in schedule? And there's delays, it just,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626not
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625again, not to throw the cold water,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626the delivery of
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625of energy in a financially feasible
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626successful and
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and executable way has to thread the needle.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626like this is
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625like this
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625theme
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626chat
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625between sort of technical requirements, commercial requirements
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626legal requirements, and you
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and you drop out
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626those
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625of those
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and it doesn't work. and lot of front end
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625require.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626are, should be put in place to just plan for these things and make sure it's a success.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627Payam. I just wanted to add, 'cause 'cause John brought up the Danish experience and Ben's mentioned the challenges. I know this isn't a District Energy podcast, but I just, it's important for, your listeners to understand that, in Denmark at least and many other places, thermal energy is regulated like how we would regulate electricity, whereas here it's not. And so it, that, that complexity that Ben is speaking to is in large part because there is no. Government led framework to scale up district energy. There's nobody who's watching over rates and who's saying, the sort of amortization periods you're allowed to have, and there's no essentially equivalent to Enbridge on the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Right.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627and so that just means that, to pull this off, you need several right things to kinda line up. And that's why you see it on the largest sites with the most sophisticated landowners where, they're working with the companies who do district energy. and in a place like Toronto, those opportunities exist. It's great. But in many places, like in order to see the scale we would want, it requires much more government led intervention, which I would say is probably on the horizon, at least if you look at the signals that the Ontario government is sending with the integrated energy plan. it's gonna take time. But, I think at least people are starting to realize that, if you want certain things, you actually have to, sometimes make it happen. Yeah.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626And I think it's also important, I'm, I know I'm talking about district energy, but for the people listening, I am nodding along to both what Ben, and everyone wants to say here. I agree with everybody. and that was what my earlier comment was about in the lack of leadership at the federal and provincial levels, that's really what I'm alluding to. these great systems internationally, existed because there was great leadership at the higher levels of government. but to the other point though, the getting things right at the capital allocation stage there, there's some numbers coming out and, 'cause there's a lot of talk about adding nukes to the grid here in Ontario, especially the SMRs, the small ones, and even MMRs, which are micro modular reactors. it's 0.1% additional capital cost to make that a combined heat and power plant, not just a power plant. to back to retrofit a nuclear power plant to be able to take the heat off is obviously considerably more expensive.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Interesting.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626And to give you a sense of magnitude on the heat generated versus electricity generated. Bruce nuclear power plant alone up on the Bruce Peninsula here it's generating electricity, creates excess of two to four x plus the amount of heat that is generating electricity just dumps it into like Huron as part of its cooling process. if we were to put that in a district energy system, it would decarbonize over two and a half Torontos.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Wow,
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626So
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625that's some context,
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626but to, to Ben's point a hundred percent like that is not going to happen on the back of a single developer who owns a single chunk of land at one address in downtown Toronto that's gonna take provincial and federal leadership with deep collaboration with the city of Toronto to pull that off. But from that first layer of feasibility, a technical layer, this is a slam dunk. this is being done in other jurisdictions that greater scales than what I just talked about. Like you think taking the heat out of Bruce to decarbonize all of Toronto is insane. places like Germany and China and Singapore are doing, and, the UAE are doing this at scales like five x this. we are just little babies and still scared of that type of scale here. But again, I don't think you're gonna find anybody at the provincial government right now that knows anything about thermal
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625So that actually gives me the perfect segue and, to try and wrap this up into a good ending because I'm sure I'm fascinated by this topic, and we could be sitting here for hours talking about this, I'm sure, and maybe we do that, some at a time. But I want to use that. And I wanna say, I'm going to put some context. We're here today at 2025. We have a vision for 24 D, and hopefully as we get closer to it, we have bigger visions and better visions for 2050s and sixties and onwards. And I'd like to ask a somewhat of a role playing question toward the end of this podcast from our guests. And, if I could. Get you five minutes to pitch a single idea or single request to help us move from where we are to that vision of 2040 with one of the heads of the three levels of government. Pick one. Either the mayor, which might be a little bit unfair for David or Doug Ford, or go to the RPM. first of all, which one would you pick and what would be that one pitch? I'll start with you, David.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627Okay. I can't pick the mayor 'cause yeah, I
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625She's just
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627for that
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625next, next to you right now.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627Exactly. and so look, I think, at the provincial level, which. In my world, I think has the most important levers right now because, I won't digress too far, but I'll say that money is part of the issue, but it's not the biggest issue in my opinion. I think right now the biggest issue is, our codes and standards need to be more aggressive, for all the complaints about the Toronto Green Standard and the chaos at the municipal levels across the province, that we all have different approaches that can easily be solved by having a more aggressive building code for Ontario. And then, you know that complexity goes away. Yes, there's costs associated with that. It's not so easy, it's just changing things, but. You have to set a floor, right? One that everybody can understand. And to be fair, that floor hasn't moved in quite a long time at the provincial level. So I think there's a real opportunity to reinvigorate obesity,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Mm-hmm.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627do that in a way that, it doesn't have to mean exorbitant costs. it doesn't even have to be prescriptive. It just has to raise the bar for everybody equally. So it's an even playing field for developers. I think that's one of the most important things because we're technology agnostic as well. You want good outcomes and that's what codes do. there are prescriptive elements, but my preference make it performance based and say, here's what we're trying to do, which is to decarbonize and how you get there is your choice, but there are certain goals you need to meet. And I think on the energy side. I do think we need a lot of clarity around the role of natural gas, in the future energy mix at a provincial level. And they did some of that in the integrated energy plan. It wasn't quite detailed enough. I think I get the notion of the, all of the above approach. I understand where they're coming from, but I do think sometimes in the sense that they pick winners in the form of nuclear energy, sometimes you have to decide what is the future of these other things that are arguably the problem we're trying to solve. There comes a time when you can't have all of these things, and just leave it to the market to, to figure out. So I would say that, I think it's important to have a plan, but one that is also specific sometimes about where you're going to, be active and where you'll be more passive. And so that, that would be my, I think, my
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625So push the OBC and make sure your do's and don'ts are very clear. Thank you. Ben. Do you, who are you gonna pick from the three levels of government and what's your one pitch?
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Yeah, similar
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Yeah.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626I'm definitely going provincial as well and mostly because most energy policy would be derived there, at least how it applies to things that happen in Ontario.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Yeah. I think, maybe just to supplement David's point there,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626uh, would support the.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625the
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Enhanced deregulation and decentralization of
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625of,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626procurement in Ontario. And what I
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and what I mean by that.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626energy has been a very centralized, you know, sort
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Sort of
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626root ever
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625ever since really the growth
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626and sort of
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and sort of
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626Um, you know, there's these natural
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625natural monopolies that grows and
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626to
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625supply energy, there's high
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626centralized utilities provide electricity. And
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and that model
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626really
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625is really starting to dis
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626as the
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625the economy
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626as well as
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625carbon,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626And, despite our government, I would say,
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625I would say,
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626moving as
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625as quickly as they can
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626new energy or allow
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625or allow alternative resources to supply.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626a market. it's
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625It's incredible the
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626the, capital available and
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625and will to invest in infrastructure from the private sector
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626complement these objectives. And, if I think about what our role is at all Crest, it's, we are distributed energy resources, we are distributed
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625generation.
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626with traditional centralized generation, a nuke, and Bruce that feeds all of our power. let's flip that on its head and put, a smaller generation system right next to our building or whether that's solar or whatnot. I just
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625just from where we
ben-gilbank_1_09-08-2025_160626lot of people and seen a lot of things and, there's a lot of goodwill and capital available out there right now, which would support this if the government is willing to create a framework for enhanced deregulation and, and, and decentralization of, energy resources. I think the private market would really step up.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Perfect. So give the private market a chance to prove itself and absorb the capital where it's more sufficient. That would be a very good use of that, Thank you very much. And John, please help us wrap this up. Who will you pick and what's your pitch?
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626I think we're three through three. we're talking about energy and the energy is a provincial file. but I'm in the middle between David and Ben here with regards to, I think the public sector needs to set the rules of the game, so to speak, with regards to policy. but I think the power that's gonna get us to achieve results at scale is gonna come from private capital and that is only gonna be unleashed once the markets have the confidence to invest in these types of infrastructure, which is where the public policy comes in. if we have a strong leadership file on geo exchange or district energy, or all these types of systems where the private sector is confident that at the next election, that's not all gonna be thrown in the dumpster, you're gonna see billions of dollars that is currently sitting on the sidelines start to be deployed into these systems because the amount of phone calls that I get on a yearly basis. private capital as well as public capital saying, John, we want to invest in this type of technology. We want to invest in this type of infrastructure. It is astounding and I think they think I have a stack of like feasibility studies of projects ready to go, just waiting for a check and it's frankly the opposite. There. There's a amount of capital, there's a profound shortage. Of de-risked or projects that have gone through that feasibility study process. and another shameless plug, this is why we're building the overview platform, is to speed up and scale that feasibility work. 'cause if we're gonna be doing $200,000 studies, this doesn't make any sense at scale. So we need to bring the price down to be able to put accurate numbers in, to bring the confidence level up that investors need. But we're doing this in a very digital way as opposed to an analog way. Like we're done with spreadsheets, we're building things in code, and that allows us to have dynamic feasibility studies. So when the new legislation drops, when the new commodity prices are updated, et cetera, et cetera, we're updating things and it's now being pushed out to all of the, these active studies, at a push of a button essentially. So we're at the beginning of being able to deploy this technology into the market. But I think if we can put that type of. through analysis in the hands of the public sector to inform policy and in front of the private sector to, to give them confidence to invest. I think that we're gonna be able to create something that, that is, is profound at a scale that's actually gonna make an impact. 'cause if we want to do 1.4 million buildings down to net zero emissions by, 2050, not even 2040, we're looking at over 55,000 complete net zero retrofits annually for the next 20, 40 years.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625That's a very big number. That's a very big number, but that's, that's definitely a goal to shoot for and if we fall short a little bit, that still is better than not shooting for it.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626that, there'll be a massive accomplishment. but that's where our sites are set.
payam_1_09-08-2025_160625Thank you very much. I appreciate all of you, all of your time. Thank you for being here. This was very informative and we'll put information about your contact and your, companies on the show notes and people can listen to it. Thank you very much everyone.
squadcaster-bcj0_1_09-08-2025_160626Thank you.
squadcaster-0cfh_1_09-08-2025_160627Thanks.