The Risk Takers Podcast
Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports betting
https://www.goldenpants.com/
Episodes
155 episodes
Managing Risk Hidden Risk on Prediction Markets | Ep 155
Record breaking episode for most questions asked - if you asked a question and we didn't get to it, it's because this episode would have been 4 hours and we will answer on our next solo show.Today SP and GP talk about the non-obvious ri...
Million Dollar Manual Trading w/ Clay Alter | Ep 154
Today we interview Clay Alter (ClayA on Kalshi) about his start in sports betting and recent rise up the Kalshi leaderboard. Clay shocks SP and GP when he says he manages his orders fully from the orders tab on the Kalshi UI. Possibly the most ...
How Complex do Models Need to be in 2026 & PM News Breaks Contain | Ep 153
Nerd alert. The main topic is a discussion on deterministic v. probabilistic models in the current betting environment. News includes the solider who bet on himself to capture a foreign leader and made $440k before getting arrested and a rant o...
Play Sports Betting on "Hard Mode" by Betting Main Lines w/ Justin | Ep 152
Today we are joined by Justin (https://x.com/LazyBrain64) - a professional basketball bettor who bets only mainlines. That's right - no NBA props!This is a guy who bets his opinion, has lots of manual inputs into his model, and is doing ...
Masters Recap & Returning to "Sharp Taking" | Ep 151
GP tries to get back in the good graces of the sharp taking community while talking about the Masters. SP walks through the golf betting model he spun up just in time for the biggest event of the year. Some news goes the prediction markets way ...
Which Path Should You Choose in Betting/PMs & Golf Tick Size | Ep 150
In this episode we outline paths for people of all skill levels in the new betting/ predicting ecosystem. GP continues his twitter rant on deci-cent pricing in golf, and the boys answer the rest of the listener questions they missed last episod...
Bet Like a Lawyer & Lumberyard AP Strategy w/ Alex | Ep149
Today we welcome Alex to the podcast (https://x.com/Landtrader8375). In his first podcast appearance he tells us about leaving his 9 year career in law for full-time betting, how he comes to a hypothesis on big spots that is rarely "wrong", and...
Exactly How to Start your First Automated Trading Project + PM Doom & Gloom | Ep 148
This episode covers a lot of recent news, walks you through how to get started with automated API interaction and muses on would you rather have a beer w/ the PM doomers or evangelists?0:00 What would your first API proj...
How to Make a Living Betting on What Someone is Going to Say w/ Foster| Ep 147
For months our podcast has neglected one of the most interesting segments of prediction markets - "Mention Markets". Well no longer! Today we interview Foster, one of the best mention market traders currently operating.He talks about bui...
A Sustainable Approach to Downswings (+RFQ IDs) | Ep 146
We get deep in our feelings in this episode. SP and GP talk about some of their worst downswings and how they have learned to handle them. A long discussion of the pros & cons of requester ids follows and then some great Q&A....
Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi "Death Markets" | Ep 145
NERD ALERT!!We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" m...
(Rebroadcast) How to Build a Simple Sports Betting Model | Ep 144
*This is a re-broadcast episode because of being unable to record because of travel. MANY FAMOUS PODCASTS DO THIS SO IT MUST BE OKAY. This episode is a good listen for those who are looking to build a basic sports model that spits out a useful ...
RFQ Lesson from Top Kalshi "Combo" Market Marker w/ Egzee | Ep 143
Today we have on college junior & top prediction market trader Eric (Egzee). Egzee started on OddsJam and quickly worked his way up to the top of Kalshi leaderboards as one of the biggest RFQ market makers in sports. He defends his decision...
Super Bowl Recap, Cardi B-gate & Insider Trading Galore | Ep 142
The boys start to think insider trading MAY JUST BE A PROBLEM when thousands of minimum wage employees already know the resolution of 50 million contract markets. SP & GP also recap their superbowl betting experience on Kalshi and take ques...
Small Data Problems & Gambling Twitter Actuaries w/ Mr. PeanutBettor | Ep 141
IN THIS EPISODE WE ARE JOINED BY ESTEEMED GAMBLING TWITTER POSTER AND ORIGINATOR MR PEANUTBETTOR. LISTEN TO HEAR MANY SMART THINGS AND SOME FUNNY JOKES.0:00 Intro10:15 Trading at Deck Prism27:00 Originating
How to Best Monetize Great Projections in 2026 (ETR Debate) | Ep 140
A heated debate broke out on Twitter between sharp bettors. On one end Establish the Run, a well respected business that sells information to bettors. On the other - sharp sports bettors who either use or have to deal with that information in t...
A Gambling Man and a Family Man w/ Adam aka TheBeagleBets | Ep 139
This week we interview long-time professional gambler Adam aka BeagleBets (https://x.com/thebeaglebets).Adam quickly rose to the top of the Heads Up SNG ladder, playing $5k buy-ins before dropping out of college to pursue poker full time...
What Props & Derivatives You Should Bet & DK Pick6 Scandal | Ep 138
In this episode the boys talk about how to go about selecting props & derivatives markets to focus on and how to get started w/ modeling these. The Pick6 past-post scandal takes up a good chunk of the news and the Q&A is very meaty!...
Sports Betting Legend Turned Sports Market Maker Rufus Peabody Joins | Ep 137
You may know him from Bet The Process. You may know him as Dogname atop the Kalshi leaderboard. You may know him as the best golf bettor (RIP GP) around...Rufus Peabody joins the show this week to talk about his betting philosophy and hi...
2025 Recap and 2026 Predictions + "Ins & Outs"| Ep 136
We cap off the year with a fun episode where SP and GP recap their 2025 betting year before setting some 2026 goals. The episode ends with 2026 industry predictions and some sappy feelings.0:00 Intro6:00 2025 Recap<...
Internal Market Making & Simulation Elitism w/ Louie from NoVig | Ep 135
We did it. We bagged another big guest's first ever podcast appearance. You may know Louie from Twitter (https://x.com/LMastro99) - but if you don't, he has had great success on both sides of the counter as a sportsbook trader and NBA originato...
Hot Takes: Is "Directionally Correct" dead + Aging Curve in Betting? | Ep 134
Today we rip a hot takes episode and talk about how Kalshi has just invented the Parlay. Tons of great questions at the end - thanks for all those who asked a question!0:00 Intro2:20 Hot Takes35:00 News58:30 Question...
Riggery & F*ckery in the Early Prediction Market Days w/ CSP Trading | Ep 133
This could be consider our first full Prediction Market focused guest. CSP Trading was an early MM on prediction markets before we had even heard of them. He walks us through the history of PMs through his experience trading on them and growing...
When Manual > Automated & All Old Pick6 Strategies Revealed | Ep 132
SP and GP talk about times being manual has made them more money than being automated and have a huge post-mortem on the old version of Pick6 where they both lay out most of their strategies. News is crazy as always - Poly US coming, Kalshi &am...
Devig To Ball Knowledge While Live Betting w/ Pads | Ep 131
Huge day - we get Pads (https://x.com/padadiso) to come on his first podcast ever! Pads is one of the most successful bettors of the post-PASPA era, making most of his money live betting on sportsbooks and now exchanges. He talks li...