The Risk Takers Podcast
Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports betting
https://www.goldenpants.com/
Episodes
164 episodes
"The Most Pure Form of Betting" Horse Racing w/ Dennis Montoro | Ep 164
This week we are joined by professional horse bettor Dennis Montoro (https://x.com/dennycaps1) about all things horse betting. Denny explains why getting a good fair is only one of the important modeling problems in horse racing and a lot of ge...
Non-Technical Traits All Top Bettors Have & ENG v. MEX | Ep 163
The news almost becomes the main topic in this episode, where GP and SP breakdown the record breaking England v. Mexico World Cup game that did most likely over a billion dollars of volume between all markets.The main topic is a look int...
Sharp Taker EvenSteven Talks About Maxing Efficiency | Ep 162
Today on the show we are joined by EvenSteven (https://x.com/evenstevengg) - a sports bettor with seven-figures of profit on prediction markets.Steven talks about why most top down bettors shouldn't try to originate or market make, how t...
World Cup Betting Including GPs Biggest Loss of All Time | Ep 161
This episode SP and GP get into the first World Cup on Prediction Markets. The insanity of this world cup has surpassed our wildest expectations and we discuss what makes it unlike anything we have ever seen before. Big news and a lot of questi...
From DFS Crusher to "Fantasy Football for Rich Kids" (Venture Capital) w/ James G | Ep 160
Today GP and SP talk to James Gettinger, founding partner of Gutter Capital - one of the top preforming VC funds in the world.Why is James on our podcast you might ask? Well, before venture capital, James was one of the most profitable D...
Dead Bottom-Up Edges and SPs Triumphant Return | Ep 159
First we welcome SP back to the podcast and he shares some exciting life news that explains his absence last week.Then SP and GP both give an example of an originating edge that they had at some point - not shocking that the "sports" ar...
Who Does AI Help in Sports Betting (PeanutBettor Guest Host) | Ep 158
This week SP is AFK so we get Mr. PeanutBettor to sub in as a guest host. We cover who we think will be most helped by AI along with a lot of news and great questions. Clearly SP holds the show together because this went off the rails and becam...
What Sportsbooks Can Teach You About Market Making & Kalish v. Kalshi | Ep 157
This week we kick it off with some lessons we learned retroactively from sportsbooks after we started market making on prediction markets. Then we cover the news - including the Matt Kalish v. Kalshi saga that is still going strong 2 weeks in. ...
Why the Edge in RFQs isn't the Pricing w/ TroyCuban | Ep 156
This week SP and GP are joined by Troy (https://x.com/troycuban) to talk about how he has made over $700k on Kalshi this year despite never originating a bet in his life.Troy is slightly different than our typical guest (only slightly) ...
Managing Risk Hidden Risk on Prediction Markets | Ep 155
Record breaking episode for most questions asked - if you asked a question and we didn't get to it, it's because this episode would have been 4 hours and we will answer on our next solo show.Today SP and GP talk about the non-obvious ri...
Million Dollar Manual Trading w/ Clay Alter | Ep 154
Today we interview Clay Alter (ClayA on Kalshi) about his start in sports betting and recent rise up the Kalshi leaderboard. Clay shocks SP and GP when he says he manages his orders fully from the orders tab on the Kalshi UI. Possibly the most ...
How Complex do Models Need to be in 2026 & PM News Breaks Contain | Ep 153
Nerd alert. The main topic is a discussion on deterministic v. probabilistic models in the current betting environment. News includes the solider who bet on himself to capture a foreign leader and made $440k before getting arrested and a rant o...
Play Sports Betting on "Hard Mode" by Betting Main Lines w/ Justin | Ep 152
Today we are joined by Justin (https://x.com/LazyBrain64) - a professional basketball bettor who bets only mainlines. That's right - no NBA props!This is a guy who bets his opinion, has lots of manual inputs into his model, and is doing ...
Masters Recap & Returning to "Sharp Taking" | Ep 151
GP tries to get back in the good graces of the sharp taking community while talking about the Masters. SP walks through the golf betting model he spun up just in time for the biggest event of the year. Some news goes the prediction markets way ...
Which Path Should You Choose in Betting/PMs & Golf Tick Size | Ep 150
In this episode we outline paths for people of all skill levels in the new betting/ predicting ecosystem. GP continues his twitter rant on deci-cent pricing in golf, and the boys answer the rest of the listener questions they missed last episod...
Bet Like a Lawyer & Lumberyard AP Strategy w/ Alex | Ep149
Today we welcome Alex to the podcast (https://x.com/Landtrader8375). In his first podcast appearance he tells us about leaving his 9 year career in law for full-time betting, how he comes to a hypothesis on big spots that is rarely "wrong", and...
Exactly How to Start your First Automated Trading Project + PM Doom & Gloom | Ep 148
This episode covers a lot of recent news, walks you through how to get started with automated API interaction and muses on would you rather have a beer w/ the PM doomers or evangelists?0:00 What would your first API proj...
How to Make a Living Betting on What Someone is Going to Say w/ Foster| Ep 147
For months our podcast has neglected one of the most interesting segments of prediction markets - "Mention Markets". Well no longer! Today we interview Foster, one of the best mention market traders currently operating.He talks about bui...
A Sustainable Approach to Downswings (+RFQ IDs) | Ep 146
We get deep in our feelings in this episode. SP and GP talk about some of their worst downswings and how they have learned to handle them. A long discussion of the pros & cons of requester ids follows and then some great Q&A....
Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi "Death Markets" | Ep 145
NERD ALERT!!We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" m...
(Rebroadcast) How to Build a Simple Sports Betting Model | Ep 144
*This is a re-broadcast episode because of being unable to record because of travel. MANY FAMOUS PODCASTS DO THIS SO IT MUST BE OKAY. This episode is a good listen for those who are looking to build a basic sports model that spits out a useful ...
RFQ Lesson from Top Kalshi "Combo" Market Marker w/ Egzee | Ep 143
Today we have on college junior & top prediction market trader Eric (Egzee). Egzee started on OddsJam and quickly worked his way up to the top of Kalshi leaderboards as one of the biggest RFQ market makers in sports. He defends his decision...
Super Bowl Recap, Cardi B-gate & Insider Trading Galore | Ep 142
The boys start to think insider trading MAY JUST BE A PROBLEM when thousands of minimum wage employees already know the resolution of 50 million contract markets. SP & GP also recap their superbowl betting experience on Kalshi and take ques...
Small Data Problems & Gambling Twitter Actuaries w/ Mr. PeanutBettor | Ep 141
IN THIS EPISODE WE ARE JOINED BY ESTEEMED GAMBLING TWITTER POSTER AND ORIGINATOR MR PEANUTBETTOR. LISTEN TO HEAR MANY SMART THINGS AND SOME FUNNY JOKES.0:00 Intro10:15 Trading at Deck Prism27:00 Originating
How to Best Monetize Great Projections in 2026 (ETR Debate) | Ep 140
A heated debate broke out on Twitter between sharp bettors. On one end Establish the Run, a well respected business that sells information to bettors. On the other - sharp sports bettors who either use or have to deal with that information in t...