The Risk Takers Podcast
Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports betting
https://www.goldenpants.com/
Episodes
141 episodes
Small Data Problems & Gambling Twitter Actuaries w/ Mr. PeanutBettor | Ep 141
IN THIS EPISODE WE ARE JOINED BY ESTEEMED GAMBLING TWITTER POSTER AND ORIGINATOR MR PEANUTBETTOR. LISTEN TO HEAR MANY SMART THINGS AND SOME FUNNY JOKES.0:00 Intro10:15 Trading at Deck Prism27:00 Originating
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2:13:30
How to Best Monetize Great Projections in 2026 (ETR Debate) | Ep 140
A heated debate broke out on Twitter between sharp bettors. On one end Establish the Run, a well respected business that sells information to bettors. On the other - sharp sports bettors who either use or have to deal with that information in t...
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2:00:54
A Gambling Man and a Family Man w/ Adam aka TheBeagleBets | Ep 139
This week we interview long-time professional gambler Adam aka BeagleBets (https://x.com/thebeaglebets).Adam quickly rose to the top of the Heads Up SNG ladder, playing $5k buy-ins before dropping out of college to pursue poker full time...
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2:01:40
What Props & Derivatives You Should Bet & DK Pick6 Scandal | Ep 138
In this episode the boys talk about how to go about selecting props & derivatives markets to focus on and how to get started w/ modeling these. The Pick6 past-post scandal takes up a good chunk of the news and the Q&A is very meaty!...
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2:18:55
Sports Betting Legend Turned Sports Market Maker Rufus Peabody Joins | Ep 137
You may know him from Bet The Process. You may know him as Dogname atop the Kalshi leaderboard. You may know him as the best golf bettor (RIP GP) around...Rufus Peabody joins the show this week to talk about his betting philosophy and hi...
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2:14:12
2025 Recap and 2026 Predictions + "Ins & Outs"| Ep 136
We cap off the year with a fun episode where SP and GP recap their 2025 betting year before setting some 2026 goals. The episode ends with 2026 industry predictions and some sappy feelings.0:00 Intro6:00 2025 Recap<...
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1:55:21
Internal Market Making & Simulation Elitism w/ Louie from NoVig | Ep 135
We did it. We bagged another big guest's first ever podcast appearance. You may know Louie from Twitter (https://x.com/LMastro99) - but if you don't, he has had great success on both sides of the counter as a sportsbook trader and NBA originato...
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2:21:10
Hot Takes: Is "Directionally Correct" dead + Aging Curve in Betting? | Ep 134
Today we rip a hot takes episode and talk about how Kalshi has just invented the Parlay. Tons of great questions at the end - thanks for all those who asked a question!0:00 Intro2:20 Hot Takes35:00 News58:30 Question...
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2:09:26
Riggery & F*ckery in the Early Prediction Market Days w/ CSP Trading | Ep 133
This could be consider our first full Prediction Market focused guest. CSP Trading was an early MM on prediction markets before we had even heard of them. He walks us through the history of PMs through his experience trading on them and growing...
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2:00:52
When Manual > Automated & All Old Pick6 Strategies Revealed | Ep 132
SP and GP talk about times being manual has made them more money than being automated and have a huge post-mortem on the old version of Pick6 where they both lay out most of their strategies. News is crazy as always - Poly US coming, Kalshi &am...
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2:14:17
Devig To Ball Knowledge While Live Betting w/ Pads | Ep 131
Huge day - we get Pads (https://x.com/padadiso) to come on his first podcast ever! Pads is one of the most successful bettors of the post-PASPA era, making most of his money live betting on sportsbooks and now exchanges. He talks li...
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2:01:04
Lessons We Learned "Booking Bets" & FD/DK Defect | Ep 130
Today we share the biggest lessons we have learned from posting liquidity on exchanges and taking bets. GP has some more empathy for sportsbooks in some spots and none in others while SP is shocked with how few people have an opinion in today's...
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2:08:08
What Sports Bettors Can Learn From Casino APs w/ Richard Munchkin | Ep 129
AP of 50+ years, host of Gambling with an Edge and author of Gambling Wizards - Richard Munchkin (https://x.com/RWM21) joins the show. From his start as an AP in old Las Vegas to the end where he shares the most...interesting(?) Bayesian update...
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2:05:32
You're Probably Underbetting...Here's How You Bet More | Ep 128
We talk about why good gamblers bet too little in big spots, plus Polymarket coming to the US with low fees & why GP is on an anti-courtsiding tirade.We also give our take on why dating sites are like betting markets - and how to avo...
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1:30:16
Betting Huge on Madden Sims & The LLWS w/ Isaac | Ep 127
Today we are joined by Isaac (https://x.com/Ias0801) to talk about his path to pro betting right out of college. He shares stories about how he cracked the madden sim betting market during covid, texted correlated parlays to his bookie (that go...
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2:09:38
How to Not Lose on Prediction Markets & Kalshi Outage | Ep 126
We had so many good questions we had to pivot from our main topic to do a multi-part Q&A/News episode. The first part of the podcast is questions that involve strategy around winning (and not getting crushed) on exchanges. Then news with th...
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2:21:35
$400k PointsBet Heist & Exchange Warfare w/ Maple | Ep 125
You heard about him in Shippers episode. The person who leveraged a friendly VIP host and square looking action into a $400k win at PointsBet - a notoriously tight-fisted book.This week we welcome on the man, the myth, the legend Maple (...
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1:57:07
Failed Betting Projects & Kalshi Parlays | Ep 124
This episode SP and GP go over a few of the betting projects they started building that never came to fruition. The news is dominated by prediction markets - with a breakdown of the parlay product that Kalshi is offering. And we hit a few liste...
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1:49:18
Beat Big Markets & Bottom Up Live Betting w/ Ant DeRosa | Ep 123
This episode we have on a true legend in the space, Ant DeRosa. Ant worked as a trader at some of the sharpest offshore books before switching sides of the counter and building one of the most successful betting groups currently operating. From...
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2:23:25
Most Important Lessons from Our Recent Guests | Ep 122
This week we debrief on some of the most important, common threads that ran through our interviews with our recent guests. Why are the vibes based approaches not that far from the data driven? Is anyone really a specialist? Why did three guests...
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1:37:31
Building an Unexploitable Betting & Trolling Strategy w/ The Shipper | Ep 121
Today we have on at times one of our harshest critics and at other times our biggest cheerleader, The Shipper (@shipthejustice on Twitter)Shipper is that rare person who was successful as a trader at a book and then as a professional bet...
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2:14:43
Why Tracking Bets the Right Way Makes You Money & Some Great Q&A | Ep 120
SP says that there may be nothing more predictive of whether someone is a winning bettor than how diligently they track their bets.Is tracking your bets a magic pill that makes anyone profitable? It's not magic - but there are a lot of a...
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1:52:52
Vibes-Based Tennis Betting & CNN Stardom w/ Isaac Rose-Berman | Ep 119
This week we interview a man who wears many hats. TV Star, Tennis Bettor, and Author Isaac Rose-Berman.You may know him from the CNN gambling documentary, you may know him as roundrobin42 on twitter, or you may have seen him on Circle Ba...
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2:12:59
Sports Betting Simulations, CNN Gambling Doc & TSwift Engagement Insider Trading | Ep 118
Regardless of if you think we are in a simulation or not - there is no denying that simulations can make you money sports betting. GP & SP breakdown what a simulation model is, when you should use it, and how you can get started with your o...
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2:03:26
Building a "Scheme Team" w/ Dr. Plop | Ep 117
We are joined by Casino AP turned Sports Bettor Dan aka Dr. Plop. Dan talks to us about getting into advantage play by multi-accounting Instacart signup bonuses. Then his journey continues through blackjack, slots, churn plays and finally ends ...
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2:10:32