The Risk Takers Podcast
Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports betting
https://www.goldenpants.com/
Episodes
148 episodes
Exactly How to Start your First Automated Trading Project + PM Doom & Gloom | Ep 148
This episode covers a lot of recent news, walks you through how to get started with automated API interaction and muses on would you rather have a beer w/ the PM doomers or evangelists?0:00 What would your first API proj...
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2:09:48
How to Make a Living Betting on What Someone is Going to Say w/ Foster| Ep 147
For months our podcast has neglected one of the most interesting segments of prediction markets - "Mention Markets". Well no longer! Today we interview Foster, one of the best mention market traders currently operating.He talks about bui...
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2:15:42
A Sustainable Approach to Downswings (+RFQ IDs) | Ep 146
We get deep in our feelings in this episode. SP and GP talk about some of their worst downswings and how they have learned to handle them. A long discussion of the pros & cons of requester ids follows and then some great Q&A....
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1:51:49
Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi "Death Markets" | Ep 145
NERD ALERT!!We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" m...
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1:44:22
(Rebroadcast) How to Build a Simple Sports Betting Model | Ep 144
*This is a re-broadcast episode because of being unable to record because of travel. MANY FAMOUS PODCASTS DO THIS SO IT MUST BE OKAY. This episode is a good listen for those who are looking to build a basic sports model that spits out a useful ...
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2:07:10
RFQ Lesson from Top Kalshi "Combo" Market Marker w/ Egzee | Ep 143
Today we have on college junior & top prediction market trader Eric (Egzee). Egzee started on OddsJam and quickly worked his way up to the top of Kalshi leaderboards as one of the biggest RFQ market makers in sports. He defends his decision...
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2:10:56
Super Bowl Recap, Cardi B-gate & Insider Trading Galore | Ep 142
The boys start to think insider trading MAY JUST BE A PROBLEM when thousands of minimum wage employees already know the resolution of 50 million contract markets. SP & GP also recap their superbowl betting experience on Kalshi and take ques...
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2:06:25
Small Data Problems & Gambling Twitter Actuaries w/ Mr. PeanutBettor | Ep 141
IN THIS EPISODE WE ARE JOINED BY ESTEEMED GAMBLING TWITTER POSTER AND ORIGINATOR MR PEANUTBETTOR. LISTEN TO HEAR MANY SMART THINGS AND SOME FUNNY JOKES.0:00 Intro10:15 Trading at Deck Prism27:00 Originating
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2:13:30
How to Best Monetize Great Projections in 2026 (ETR Debate) | Ep 140
A heated debate broke out on Twitter between sharp bettors. On one end Establish the Run, a well respected business that sells information to bettors. On the other - sharp sports bettors who either use or have to deal with that information in t...
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2:00:54
A Gambling Man and a Family Man w/ Adam aka TheBeagleBets | Ep 139
This week we interview long-time professional gambler Adam aka BeagleBets (https://x.com/thebeaglebets).Adam quickly rose to the top of the Heads Up SNG ladder, playing $5k buy-ins before dropping out of college to pursue poker full time...
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2:01:40
What Props & Derivatives You Should Bet & DK Pick6 Scandal | Ep 138
In this episode the boys talk about how to go about selecting props & derivatives markets to focus on and how to get started w/ modeling these. The Pick6 past-post scandal takes up a good chunk of the news and the Q&A is very meaty!...
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2:18:55
Sports Betting Legend Turned Sports Market Maker Rufus Peabody Joins | Ep 137
You may know him from Bet The Process. You may know him as Dogname atop the Kalshi leaderboard. You may know him as the best golf bettor (RIP GP) around...Rufus Peabody joins the show this week to talk about his betting philosophy and hi...
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2:14:12
2025 Recap and 2026 Predictions + "Ins & Outs"| Ep 136
We cap off the year with a fun episode where SP and GP recap their 2025 betting year before setting some 2026 goals. The episode ends with 2026 industry predictions and some sappy feelings.0:00 Intro6:00 2025 Recap<...
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1:55:21
Internal Market Making & Simulation Elitism w/ Louie from NoVig | Ep 135
We did it. We bagged another big guest's first ever podcast appearance. You may know Louie from Twitter (https://x.com/LMastro99) - but if you don't, he has had great success on both sides of the counter as a sportsbook trader and NBA originato...
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2:21:10
Hot Takes: Is "Directionally Correct" dead + Aging Curve in Betting? | Ep 134
Today we rip a hot takes episode and talk about how Kalshi has just invented the Parlay. Tons of great questions at the end - thanks for all those who asked a question!0:00 Intro2:20 Hot Takes35:00 News58:30 Question...
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2:09:26
Riggery & F*ckery in the Early Prediction Market Days w/ CSP Trading | Ep 133
This could be consider our first full Prediction Market focused guest. CSP Trading was an early MM on prediction markets before we had even heard of them. He walks us through the history of PMs through his experience trading on them and growing...
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2:00:52
When Manual > Automated & All Old Pick6 Strategies Revealed | Ep 132
SP and GP talk about times being manual has made them more money than being automated and have a huge post-mortem on the old version of Pick6 where they both lay out most of their strategies. News is crazy as always - Poly US coming, Kalshi &am...
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2:14:17
Devig To Ball Knowledge While Live Betting w/ Pads | Ep 131
Huge day - we get Pads (https://x.com/padadiso) to come on his first podcast ever! Pads is one of the most successful bettors of the post-PASPA era, making most of his money live betting on sportsbooks and now exchanges. He talks li...
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2:01:04
Lessons We Learned "Booking Bets" & FD/DK Defect | Ep 130
Today we share the biggest lessons we have learned from posting liquidity on exchanges and taking bets. GP has some more empathy for sportsbooks in some spots and none in others while SP is shocked with how few people have an opinion in today's...
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2:08:08
What Sports Bettors Can Learn From Casino APs w/ Richard Munchkin | Ep 129
AP of 50+ years, host of Gambling with an Edge and author of Gambling Wizards - Richard Munchkin (https://x.com/RWM21) joins the show. From his start as an AP in old Las Vegas to the end where he shares the most...interesting(?) Bayesian update...
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2:05:32
You're Probably Underbetting...Here's How You Bet More | Ep 128
We talk about why good gamblers bet too little in big spots, plus Polymarket coming to the US with low fees & why GP is on an anti-courtsiding tirade.We also give our take on why dating sites are like betting markets - and how to avo...
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1:30:16
Betting Huge on Madden Sims & The LLWS w/ Isaac | Ep 127
Today we are joined by Isaac (https://x.com/Ias0801) to talk about his path to pro betting right out of college. He shares stories about how he cracked the madden sim betting market during covid, texted correlated parlays to his bookie (that go...
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2:09:38
How to Not Lose on Prediction Markets & Kalshi Outage | Ep 126
We had so many good questions we had to pivot from our main topic to do a multi-part Q&A/News episode. The first part of the podcast is questions that involve strategy around winning (and not getting crushed) on exchanges. Then news with th...
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2:21:35
$400k PointsBet Heist & Exchange Warfare w/ Maple | Ep 125
You heard about him in Shippers episode. The person who leveraged a friendly VIP host and square looking action into a $400k win at PointsBet - a notoriously tight-fisted book.This week we welcome on the man, the myth, the legend Maple (...
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1:57:07
Failed Betting Projects & Kalshi Parlays | Ep 124
This episode SP and GP go over a few of the betting projects they started building that never came to fruition. The news is dominated by prediction markets - with a breakdown of the parlay product that Kalshi is offering. And we hit a few liste...
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1:49:18