The Risk Takers Podcast
Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports betting
https://www.goldenpants.com/
Episodes
173 episodes
Hot Takes III & Kalshi Crypto Drama | Ep 173
In this episode - GP & SP drop some hot takes. GP thinks his are actually hot takes this time. And a big news week that includes the Kalshi wash trading allegations, Polymarket & DraftKings in the news for the wrong reasons and the biza...
Miss Brown's Guide to Casino AP Moves w/ Gina Fiore | Episode 172
Pre-Order "Advantage Player": https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/826945/advantage-player-by-gina-fiore/This week GP and SP sit down w/ Gina Fiore, one of the most prolific winners in the history of advantage play. Gina has won coun...
Our Current Tech Stacks for Trading & Kalshi WMU v. Mich Controversy | Ep 171
SP and GP go through all of the software they are currently using in the prediction market trading and why they think it's useful. News is spicy with the incorrect settlement of the Mich/WMU that lead to absolute chaos on Kalshi and the long do...
Why Trading on a Prediction Market is Better Than Building One w/ Richard Lee | Ep 170
GP & SP sit down with Richard Lee - a PM trader that came a different route than most of our guests. Richard built his trading firm before PMs as a market maker of meme coins back in the 2017 crypto boom. After that he tried to build his ow...
What Will Be Important in NFL This Year & Private Projections | Ep 169
GP and SP start the episode off by listing 6 things they are focusing on for NFL this year on prediction markets. Then they get to the news - which includes Kalshi putting RFQ maker fees on and ETR & Rufus taking some public projections/ mo...
High Roller Poker Player Takes on PMs w/ Lewis Spencer | Ep 168
In this episode we are joined by high stakes cash/ tournament poker player Lewis Spencer. We talk to Lewis about his path to playing in the biggest poker games/ tournaments: what it takes to win, how the game has changed with AI, and the state ...
BetBash Recap & The Death of American Odds | Ep 167
GP and SP recap their experience at BetBash including the live podcast. Then we clear a backlog of the most important news topics and make a case for recreational gambling.0:00 BetBash Recap40:30 News
Building an Institutional Sports Market Maker w/ BigBuckHunter | Ep 166
On this episode we are joined by Henry Kerins - CEO of Manhattan Athletic Group and one of the earliest employees at NoVig. MAG spun off of NoVig as an internal trading team and now trades almost every sports market across multiple venues. This...
World Cup, NFL Predictions, State of Industry & Identifying Rec Flow | Ep 165
This week we have a Q&A extravaganza. 42 questions were asked on Twitter - and we get through all of them besides 2 golf questions that one of the hosts decided to cut out (not naming names). News includes someone gaming the mysterious worl...
"The Most Pure Form of Betting" Horse Racing w/ Dennis Montoro | Ep 164
This week we are joined by professional horse bettor Dennis Montoro (https://x.com/dennycaps1) about all things horse betting. Denny explains why getting a good fair is only one of the important modeling problems in horse racing and a lot of ge...
Non-Technical Traits All Top Bettors Have & ENG v. MEX | Ep 163
The news almost becomes the main topic in this episode, where GP and SP breakdown the record breaking England v. Mexico World Cup game that did most likely over a billion dollars of volume between all markets.The main topic is a look int...
Sharp Taker EvenSteven Talks About Maxing Efficiency | Ep 162
Today on the show we are joined by EvenSteven (https://x.com/evenstevengg) - a sports bettor with seven-figures of profit on prediction markets.Steven talks about why most top down bettors shouldn't try to originate or market make, how t...
World Cup Betting Including GPs Biggest Loss of All Time | Ep 161
This episode SP and GP get into the first World Cup on Prediction Markets. The insanity of this world cup has surpassed our wildest expectations and we discuss what makes it unlike anything we have ever seen before. Big news and a lot of questi...
From DFS Crusher to "Fantasy Football for Rich Kids" (Venture Capital) w/ James G | Ep 160
Today GP and SP talk to James Gettinger, founding partner of Gutter Capital - one of the top preforming VC funds in the world.Why is James on our podcast you might ask? Well, before venture capital, James was one of the most profitable D...
Dead Bottom-Up Edges and SPs Triumphant Return | Ep 159
First we welcome SP back to the podcast and he shares some exciting life news that explains his absence last week.Then SP and GP both give an example of an originating edge that they had at some point - not shocking that the "sports" ar...
Who Does AI Help in Sports Betting (PeanutBettor Guest Host) | Ep 158
This week SP is AFK so we get Mr. PeanutBettor to sub in as a guest host. We cover who we think will be most helped by AI along with a lot of news and great questions. Clearly SP holds the show together because this went off the rails and becam...
What Sportsbooks Can Teach You About Market Making & Kalish v. Kalshi | Ep 157
This week we kick it off with some lessons we learned retroactively from sportsbooks after we started market making on prediction markets. Then we cover the news - including the Matt Kalish v. Kalshi saga that is still going strong 2 weeks in. ...
Why the Edge in RFQs isn't the Pricing w/ TroyCuban | Ep 156
This week SP and GP are joined by Troy (https://x.com/troycuban) to talk about how he has made over $700k on Kalshi this year despite never originating a bet in his life.Troy is slightly different than our typical guest (only slightly) ...
Managing Risk Hidden Risk on Prediction Markets | Ep 155
Record breaking episode for most questions asked - if you asked a question and we didn't get to it, it's because this episode would have been 4 hours and we will answer on our next solo show.Today SP and GP talk about the non-obvious ri...
Million Dollar Manual Trading w/ Clay Alter | Ep 154
Today we interview Clay Alter (ClayA on Kalshi) about his start in sports betting and recent rise up the Kalshi leaderboard. Clay shocks SP and GP when he says he manages his orders fully from the orders tab on the Kalshi UI. Possibly the most ...
How Complex do Models Need to be in 2026 & PM News Breaks Contain | Ep 153
Nerd alert. The main topic is a discussion on deterministic v. probabilistic models in the current betting environment. News includes the solider who bet on himself to capture a foreign leader and made $440k before getting arrested and a rant o...
Play Sports Betting on "Hard Mode" by Betting Main Lines w/ Justin | Ep 152
Today we are joined by Justin (https://x.com/LazyBrain64) - a professional basketball bettor who bets only mainlines. That's right - no NBA props!This is a guy who bets his opinion, has lots of manual inputs into his model, and is doing ...
Masters Recap & Returning to "Sharp Taking" | Ep 151
GP tries to get back in the good graces of the sharp taking community while talking about the Masters. SP walks through the golf betting model he spun up just in time for the biggest event of the year. Some news goes the prediction markets way ...
Which Path Should You Choose in Betting/PMs & Golf Tick Size | Ep 150
In this episode we outline paths for people of all skill levels in the new betting/ predicting ecosystem. GP continues his twitter rant on deci-cent pricing in golf, and the boys answer the rest of the listener questions they missed last episod...
Bet Like a Lawyer & Lumberyard AP Strategy w/ Alex | Ep149
Today we welcome Alex to the podcast (https://x.com/Landtrader8375). In his first podcast appearance he tells us about leaving his 9 year career in law for full-time betting, how he comes to a hypothesis on big spots that is rarely "wrong", and...